Prediction 4480
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Bahia |
Description:
Validation 3 (Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model). Authored by Tijs W. Alleman & Ana I. Bento.
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 183.0 | 38.0 | 52.0 | 72.0 | 116.0 | 274.0 | 376.0 | 448.0 | 516.0 |
| 2024-10-13 | 190.0 | 44.0 | 59.0 | 79.0 | 123.0 | 277.0 | 375.0 | 442.0 | 507.0 |
| 2024-10-20 | 186.0 | 47.0 | 61.0 | 80.0 | 123.0 | 267.0 | 357.0 | 419.0 | 478.0 |
| 2024-10-27 | 182.0 | 38.0 | 52.0 | 72.0 | 115.0 | 271.0 | 371.0 | 442.0 | 509.0 |
| 2024-11-03 | 199.0 | 37.0 | 51.0 | 73.0 | 122.0 | 304.0 | 425.0 | 510.0 | 591.0 |
| 2024-11-10 | 209.0 | 42.0 | 58.0 | 80.0 | 131.0 | 314.0 | 433.0 | 516.0 | 596.0 |
| 2024-11-17 | 230.0 | 40.0 | 57.0 | 81.0 | 139.0 | 355.0 | 499.0 | 601.0 | 699.0 |
| 2024-11-24 | 252.0 | 33.0 | 49.0 | 76.0 | 141.0 | 410.0 | 598.0 | 733.0 | 863.0 |
| 2024-12-01 | 269.0 | 34.0 | 52.0 | 80.0 | 150.0 | 441.0 | 646.0 | 793.0 | 936.0 |
| 2024-12-08 | 254.0 | 35.0 | 52.0 | 78.0 | 144.0 | 411.0 | 597.0 | 730.0 | 859.0 |
| 2024-12-15 | 220.0 | 29.0 | 44.0 | 67.0 | 124.0 | 356.0 | 518.0 | 634.0 | 747.0 |
| 2024-12-22 | 217.0 | 19.0 | 32.0 | 54.0 | 111.0 | 377.0 | 573.0 | 715.0 | 856.0 |
| 2024-12-29 | 430.0 | 84.0 | 115.0 | 161.0 | 266.0 | 651.0 | 904.0 | 1081.0 | 1251.0 |
| 2025-01-05 | 508.0 | 79.0 | 114.0 | 168.0 | 297.0 | 804.0 | 1150.0 | 1396.0 | 1633.0 |
| 2025-01-12 | 598.0 | 120.0 | 164.0 | 228.0 | 373.0 | 901.0 | 1246.0 | 1487.0 | 1718.0 |
| 2025-01-19 | 709.0 | 114.0 | 163.0 | 239.0 | 418.0 | 1114.0 | 1586.0 | 1921.0 | 2245.0 |
| 2025-01-26 | 893.0 | 108.0 | 165.0 | 257.0 | 490.0 | 1476.0 | 2175.0 | 2678.0 | 3168.0 |
| 2025-02-02 | 1030.0 | 84.0 | 140.0 | 239.0 | 514.0 | 1821.0 | 2803.0 | 3522.0 | 4230.0 |
| 2025-02-09 | 1246.0 | 70.0 | 128.0 | 238.0 | 571.0 | 2334.0 | 3726.0 | 4761.0 | 5788.0 |
| 2025-02-16 | 1487.0 | 54.0 | 110.0 | 227.0 | 618.0 | 2971.0 | 4931.0 | 6413.0 | 7895.0 |
| 2025-02-23 | 1690.0 | 51.0 | 108.0 | 233.0 | 673.0 | 3471.0 | 5857.0 | 7674.0 | 9497.0 |
| 2025-03-02 | 1863.0 | 55.0 | 118.0 | 254.0 | 738.0 | 3837.0 | 6486.0 | 8505.0 | 10530.0 |
| 2025-03-09 | 1996.0 | 66.0 | 137.0 | 288.0 | 810.0 | 4049.0 | 6782.0 | 8857.0 | 10935.0 |
| 2025-03-16 | 2023.0 | 62.0 | 132.0 | 282.0 | 810.0 | 4142.0 | 6977.0 | 9133.0 | 11295.0 |
| 2025-03-23 | 1935.0 | 76.0 | 152.0 | 307.0 | 818.0 | 3824.0 | 6306.0 | 8178.0 | 10047.0 |
| 2025-03-30 | 2125.0 | 86.0 | 170.0 | 341.0 | 903.0 | 4184.0 | 6884.0 | 8918.0 | 10949.0 |
| 2025-04-06 | 2083.0 | 102.0 | 193.0 | 371.0 | 925.0 | 3986.0 | 6445.0 | 8285.0 | 10114.0 |
| 2025-04-13 | 1979.0 | 101.0 | 189.0 | 359.0 | 886.0 | 3765.0 | 6066.0 | 7786.0 | 9494.0 |
| 2025-04-20 | 1883.0 | 133.0 | 230.0 | 406.0 | 909.0 | 3408.0 | 5322.0 | 6734.0 | 8128.0 |
| 2025-04-27 | 1851.0 | 144.0 | 244.0 | 420.0 | 914.0 | 3298.0 | 5101.0 | 6426.0 | 7730.0 |
| 2025-05-04 | 1786.0 | 146.0 | 244.0 | 416.0 | 892.0 | 3155.0 | 4855.0 | 6100.0 | 7325.0 |
| 2025-05-11 | 1582.0 | 127.0 | 214.0 | 366.0 | 788.0 | 2803.0 | 4320.0 | 5432.0 | 6526.0 |
| 2025-05-18 | 1354.0 | 108.0 | 182.0 | 312.0 | 674.0 | 2400.0 | 3700.0 | 4654.0 | 5592.0 |
| 2025-05-25 | 1203.0 | 112.0 | 181.0 | 300.0 | 620.0 | 2082.0 | 3160.0 | 3946.0 | 4717.0 |
| 2025-06-01 | 1038.0 | 97.0 | 158.0 | 261.0 | 536.0 | 1793.0 | 2719.0 | 3393.0 | 4054.0 |
| 2025-06-08 | 844.0 | 76.0 | 125.0 | 208.0 | 433.0 | 1466.0 | 2231.0 | 2789.0 | 3336.0 |
| 2025-06-15 | 652.0 | 54.0 | 90.0 | 154.0 | 328.0 | 1149.0 | 1764.0 | 2214.0 | 2656.0 |
| 2025-06-22 | 570.0 | 57.0 | 92.0 | 149.0 | 299.0 | 972.0 | 1463.0 | 1819.0 | 2167.0 |
| 2025-06-29 | 561.0 | 50.0 | 82.0 | 137.0 | 286.0 | 977.0 | 1489.0 | 1863.0 | 2230.0 |
| 2025-07-06 | 522.0 | 42.0 | 71.0 | 122.0 | 261.0 | 921.0 | 1417.0 | 1780.0 | 2137.0 |
| 2025-07-13 | 452.0 | 34.0 | 59.0 | 102.0 | 222.0 | 806.0 | 1247.0 | 1572.0 | 1892.0 |
| 2025-07-20 | 388.0 | 39.0 | 62.0 | 101.0 | 203.0 | 662.0 | 996.0 | 1239.0 | 1477.0 |
| 2025-07-27 | 364.0 | 40.0 | 63.0 | 100.0 | 196.0 | 611.0 | 909.0 | 1124.0 | 1334.0 |
| 2025-08-03 | 325.0 | 43.0 | 64.0 | 98.0 | 182.0 | 529.0 | 772.0 | 946.0 | 1115.0 |
| 2025-08-10 | 283.0 | 40.0 | 59.0 | 89.0 | 162.0 | 456.0 | 659.0 | 804.0 | 944.0 |
| 2025-08-17 | 257.0 | 42.0 | 60.0 | 87.0 | 152.0 | 402.0 | 571.0 | 691.0 | 807.0 |
| 2025-08-24 | 240.0 | 32.0 | 48.0 | 74.0 | 136.0 | 389.0 | 565.0 | 690.0 | 813.0 |
| 2025-08-31 | 221.0 | 28.0 | 42.0 | 65.0 | 123.0 | 362.0 | 530.0 | 650.0 | 767.0 |
| 2025-09-07 | 213.0 | 33.0 | 48.0 | 71.0 | 125.0 | 336.0 | 480.0 | 582.0 | 681.0 |
| 2025-09-14 | 201.0 | 34.0 | 48.0 | 70.0 | 120.0 | 312.0 | 440.0 | 531.0 | 618.0 |
| 2025-09-21 | 198.0 | 43.0 | 58.0 | 79.0 | 126.0 | 293.0 | 400.0 | 474.0 | 546.0 |
| 2025-09-28 | 192.0 | 39.0 | 53.0 | 74.0 | 120.0 | 289.0 | 399.0 | 476.0 | 550.0 |
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