Prediction 4482
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Distrito Federal |
Description:
Validation 3 (Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model). Authored by Tijs W. Alleman & Ana I. Bento.
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 58.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 21.0 | 125.0 | 217.0 | 287.0 | 358.0 |
| 2024-10-13 | 62.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 21.0 | 139.0 | 246.0 | 329.0 | 414.0 |
| 2024-10-20 | 55.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 20.0 | 118.0 | 205.0 | 272.0 | 339.0 |
| 2024-10-27 | 61.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 25.0 | 124.0 | 207.0 | 270.0 | 333.0 |
| 2024-11-03 | 68.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 25.0 | 149.0 | 261.0 | 348.0 | 435.0 |
| 2024-11-10 | 79.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 29.0 | 168.0 | 291.0 | 386.0 | 481.0 |
| 2024-11-17 | 93.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 30.0 | 215.0 | 389.0 | 525.0 | 663.0 |
| 2024-11-24 | 101.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 29.0 | 255.0 | 483.0 | 665.0 | 851.0 |
| 2024-12-01 | 132.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 37.0 | 333.0 | 632.0 | 871.0 | 1116.0 |
| 2024-12-08 | 159.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 41.0 | 424.0 | 828.0 | 1155.0 | 1492.0 |
| 2024-12-15 | 162.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 40.0 | 446.0 | 885.0 | 1243.0 | 1612.0 |
| 2024-12-22 | 170.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 38.0 | 497.0 | 1017.0 | 1444.0 | 1889.0 |
| 2024-12-29 | 326.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 63.0 | 1028.0 | 2190.0 | 3161.0 | 4178.0 |
| 2025-01-05 | 352.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 72.0 | 1075.0 | 2253.0 | 3231.0 | 4253.0 |
| 2025-01-12 | 457.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 82.0 | 1500.0 | 3259.0 | 4740.0 | 6298.0 |
| 2025-01-19 | 566.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 88.0 | 2024.0 | 4591.0 | 6786.0 | 9114.0 |
| 2025-01-26 | 672.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 104.0 | 2398.0 | 5433.0 | 8030.0 | 10781.0 |
| 2025-02-02 | 732.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 13.0 | 125.0 | 2474.0 | 5458.0 | 7984.0 | 10648.0 |
| 2025-02-09 | 734.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 13.0 | 126.0 | 2474.0 | 5450.0 | 7968.0 | 10623.0 |
| 2025-02-16 | 785.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 14.0 | 131.0 | 2684.0 | 5954.0 | 8729.0 | 11658.0 |
| 2025-02-23 | 865.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 21.0 | 166.0 | 2737.0 | 5843.0 | 8439.0 | 11162.0 |
| 2025-03-02 | 880.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 28.0 | 189.0 | 2617.0 | 5412.0 | 7719.0 | 10125.0 |
| 2025-03-09 | 909.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 36.0 | 214.0 | 2564.0 | 5159.0 | 7277.0 | 9476.0 |
| 2025-03-16 | 923.0 | 3.0 | 11.0 | 41.0 | 230.0 | 2519.0 | 4981.0 | 6978.0 | 9045.0 |
| 2025-03-23 | 871.0 | 7.0 | 21.0 | 61.0 | 262.0 | 2128.0 | 3965.0 | 5420.0 | 6909.0 |
| 2025-03-30 | 914.0 | 8.0 | 22.0 | 65.0 | 276.0 | 2231.0 | 4152.0 | 5673.0 | 7229.0 |
| 2025-04-06 | 982.0 | 12.0 | 32.0 | 86.0 | 323.0 | 2274.0 | 4111.0 | 5550.0 | 7013.0 |
| 2025-04-13 | 916.0 | 12.0 | 32.0 | 84.0 | 307.0 | 2099.0 | 3771.0 | 5077.0 | 6404.0 |
| 2025-04-20 | 880.0 | 17.0 | 40.0 | 96.0 | 317.0 | 1925.0 | 3368.0 | 4483.0 | 5610.0 |
| 2025-04-27 | 876.0 | 25.0 | 55.0 | 119.0 | 346.0 | 1808.0 | 3059.0 | 4012.0 | 4970.0 |
| 2025-05-04 | 833.0 | 33.0 | 66.0 | 132.0 | 352.0 | 1644.0 | 2709.0 | 3513.0 | 4315.0 |
| 2025-05-11 | 765.0 | 22.0 | 48.0 | 103.0 | 302.0 | 1580.0 | 2673.0 | 3507.0 | 4344.0 |
| 2025-05-18 | 664.0 | 17.0 | 38.0 | 84.0 | 256.0 | 1395.0 | 2383.0 | 3140.0 | 3901.0 |
| 2025-05-25 | 605.0 | 17.0 | 37.0 | 81.0 | 238.0 | 1253.0 | 2125.0 | 2791.0 | 3459.0 |
| 2025-06-01 | 488.0 | 13.0 | 29.0 | 65.0 | 191.0 | 1011.0 | 1716.0 | 2253.0 | 2793.0 |
| 2025-06-08 | 403.0 | 15.0 | 31.0 | 63.0 | 169.0 | 800.0 | 1323.0 | 1718.0 | 2112.0 |
| 2025-06-15 | 291.0 | 11.0 | 23.0 | 47.0 | 124.0 | 573.0 | 943.0 | 1221.0 | 1499.0 |
| 2025-06-22 | 206.0 | 7.0 | 15.0 | 31.0 | 85.0 | 412.0 | 684.0 | 890.0 | 1095.0 |
| 2025-06-29 | 166.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 25.0 | 69.0 | 333.0 | 553.0 | 720.0 | 887.0 |
| 2025-07-06 | 145.0 | 6.0 | 13.0 | 25.0 | 64.0 | 278.0 | 451.0 | 581.0 | 710.0 |
| 2025-07-13 | 122.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 23.0 | 56.0 | 229.0 | 365.0 | 467.0 | 568.0 |
| 2025-07-20 | 99.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 17.0 | 43.0 | 191.0 | 310.0 | 399.0 | 488.0 |
| 2025-07-27 | 93.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 15.0 | 40.0 | 181.0 | 296.0 | 382.0 | 468.0 |
| 2025-08-03 | 76.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 32.0 | 151.0 | 249.0 | 324.0 | 398.0 |
| 2025-08-10 | 75.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 32.0 | 147.0 | 243.0 | 314.0 | 386.0 |
| 2025-08-17 | 63.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 24.0 | 130.0 | 220.0 | 288.0 | 357.0 |
| 2025-08-24 | 63.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 23.0 | 136.0 | 236.0 | 313.0 | 390.0 |
| 2025-08-31 | 64.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 22.0 | 146.0 | 261.0 | 350.0 | 440.0 |
| 2025-09-07 | 71.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 26.0 | 153.0 | 264.0 | 350.0 | 436.0 |
| 2025-09-14 | 61.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 21.0 | 139.0 | 249.0 | 335.0 | 421.0 |
| 2025-09-21 | 72.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 27.0 | 151.0 | 257.0 | 339.0 | 421.0 |
| 2025-09-28 | 63.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 22.0 | 140.0 | 248.0 | 331.0 | 415.0 |
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Confidence Interval
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Interval Bounds
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