Prediction 4483
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Espírito Santo |
Description:
Validation 3 (Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model). Authored by Tijs W. Alleman & Ana I. Bento.
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-27 | 563.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 94.0 | 1930.0 | 4287.0 | 6287.0 | 8401.0 |
| 2025-05-04 | 557.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 93.0 | 1911.0 | 4246.0 | 6228.0 | 8322.0 |
| 2025-05-11 | 495.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 82.0 | 1702.0 | 3785.0 | 5555.0 | 7424.0 |
| 2025-05-18 | 430.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 74.0 | 1449.0 | 3191.0 | 4664.0 | 6218.0 |
| 2025-05-25 | 409.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 72.0 | 1354.0 | 2957.0 | 4309.0 | 5732.0 |
| 2025-06-01 | 379.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 67.0 | 1253.0 | 2737.0 | 3988.0 | 5305.0 |
| 2025-06-08 | 365.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 75.0 | 1110.0 | 2320.0 | 3324.0 | 4373.0 |
| 2025-06-15 | 300.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 56.0 | 967.0 | 2084.0 | 3020.0 | 4003.0 |
| 2025-06-22 | 237.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 42.0 | 788.0 | 1723.0 | 2512.0 | 3343.0 |
| 2025-06-29 | 209.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 36.0 | 697.0 | 1529.0 | 2232.0 | 2973.0 |
| 2025-07-06 | 181.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 34.0 | 578.0 | 1239.0 | 1792.0 | 2373.0 |
| 2025-07-13 | 160.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 33.0 | 484.0 | 1009.0 | 1444.0 | 1899.0 |
| 2025-07-20 | 151.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 32.0 | 451.0 | 935.0 | 1335.0 | 1751.0 |
| 2025-07-27 | 145.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 32.0 | 427.0 | 877.0 | 1248.0 | 1634.0 |
| 2025-08-03 | 131.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 30.0 | 377.0 | 766.0 | 1085.0 | 1417.0 |
| 2025-08-10 | 121.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 30.0 | 331.0 | 656.0 | 919.0 | 1191.0 |
| 2025-08-17 | 110.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 26.0 | 311.0 | 627.0 | 885.0 | 1152.0 |
| 2025-08-24 | 100.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 25.0 | 273.0 | 540.0 | 755.0 | 978.0 |
| 2025-08-31 | 92.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 22.0 | 254.0 | 507.0 | 712.0 | 925.0 |
| 2025-09-07 | 109.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 26.0 | 305.0 | 611.0 | 861.0 | 1120.0 |
| 2025-09-14 | 101.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 24.0 | 283.0 | 570.0 | 803.0 | 1046.0 |
| 2025-09-21 | 94.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 21.0 | 272.0 | 553.0 | 784.0 | 1024.0 |
| 2025-09-28 | 98.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 21.0 | 293.0 | 606.0 | 864.0 | 1133.0 |
| 2024-10-06 | 96.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 22.0 | 277.0 | 561.0 | 794.0 | 1036.0 |
| 2024-10-13 | 110.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 27.0 | 298.0 | 587.0 | 822.0 | 1065.0 |
| 2024-10-20 | 107.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 27.0 | 290.0 | 570.0 | 798.0 | 1032.0 |
| 2024-10-27 | 117.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 31.0 | 305.0 | 589.0 | 817.0 | 1052.0 |
| 2024-11-03 | 136.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 38.0 | 347.0 | 661.0 | 912.0 | 1170.0 |
| 2024-11-10 | 131.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 38.0 | 325.0 | 611.0 | 838.0 | 1071.0 |
| 2024-11-17 | 152.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 44.0 | 380.0 | 716.0 | 984.0 | 1259.0 |
| 2024-11-24 | 182.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 13.0 | 55.0 | 441.0 | 819.0 | 1119.0 | 1425.0 |
| 2024-12-01 | 202.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 12.0 | 57.0 | 509.0 | 965.0 | 1329.0 | 1703.0 |
| 2024-12-08 | 216.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 14.0 | 63.0 | 537.0 | 1008.0 | 1382.0 | 1765.0 |
| 2024-12-15 | 217.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 17.0 | 69.0 | 513.0 | 936.0 | 1269.0 | 1609.0 |
| 2024-12-22 | 246.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 21.0 | 81.0 | 571.0 | 1033.0 | 1395.0 | 1763.0 |
| 2024-12-29 | 215.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 38.0 | 715.0 | 1564.0 | 2281.0 | 3035.0 |
| 2025-01-05 | 336.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 13.0 | 79.0 | 947.0 | 1906.0 | 2689.0 | 3502.0 |
| 2025-01-12 | 347.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 65.0 | 1115.0 | 2398.0 | 3473.0 | 4602.0 |
| 2025-01-19 | 357.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 63.0 | 1186.0 | 2594.0 | 3781.0 | 5031.0 |
| 2025-01-26 | 375.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 59.0 | 1323.0 | 2984.0 | 4402.0 | 5903.0 |
| 2025-02-02 | 406.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 57.0 | 1535.0 | 3576.0 | 5340.0 | 7219.0 |
| 2025-02-09 | 460.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 62.0 | 1775.0 | 4176.0 | 6261.0 | 8484.0 |
| 2025-02-16 | 500.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 61.0 | 2039.0 | 4929.0 | 7463.0 | 10178.0 |
| 2025-02-23 | 572.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 68.0 | 2353.0 | 5709.0 | 8658.0 | 11819.0 |
| 2025-03-02 | 615.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 75.0 | 2496.0 | 6018.0 | 9104.0 | 12410.0 |
| 2025-03-09 | 653.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 81.0 | 2635.0 | 6337.0 | 9577.0 | 13045.0 |
| 2025-03-16 | 633.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 81.0 | 2516.0 | 6006.0 | 9052.0 | 12309.0 |
| 2025-03-23 | 696.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 110.0 | 2453.0 | 5525.0 | 8147.0 | 10923.0 |
| 2025-03-30 | 645.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 92.0 | 2415.0 | 5602.0 | 8353.0 | 11280.0 |
| 2025-04-06 | 621.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 95.0 | 2236.0 | 5087.0 | 7530.0 | 10120.0 |
| 2025-04-13 | 601.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 95.0 | 2120.0 | 4778.0 | 7047.0 | 9450.0 |
| 2025-04-20 | 574.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 96.0 | 1962.0 | 4353.0 | 6382.0 | 8525.0 |
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