Prediction 4484
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Goiás |
Description:
Validation 3 (Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model). Authored by Tijs W. Alleman & Ana I. Bento.
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 462.0 | 203.0 | 236.0 | 277.0 | 357.0 | 586.0 | 714.0 | 799.0 | 878.0 |
| 2024-10-13 | 514.0 | 252.0 | 286.0 | 329.0 | 409.0 | 634.0 | 757.0 | 837.0 | 911.0 |
| 2024-10-20 | 497.0 | 240.0 | 273.0 | 315.0 | 394.0 | 616.0 | 737.0 | 817.0 | 890.0 |
| 2024-10-27 | 496.0 | 209.0 | 244.0 | 290.0 | 378.0 | 637.0 | 783.0 | 880.0 | 971.0 |
| 2024-11-03 | 601.0 | 295.0 | 335.0 | 385.0 | 479.0 | 742.0 | 885.0 | 979.0 | 1066.0 |
| 2024-11-10 | 641.0 | 251.0 | 298.0 | 358.0 | 478.0 | 837.0 | 1043.0 | 1181.0 | 1309.0 |
| 2024-11-17 | 735.0 | 258.0 | 313.0 | 385.0 | 532.0 | 985.0 | 1251.0 | 1431.0 | 1600.0 |
| 2024-11-24 | 799.0 | 234.0 | 294.0 | 377.0 | 550.0 | 1114.0 | 1459.0 | 1694.0 | 1917.0 |
| 2024-12-01 | 905.0 | 261.0 | 329.0 | 423.0 | 620.0 | 1267.0 | 1664.0 | 1936.0 | 2192.0 |
| 2024-12-08 | 892.0 | 278.0 | 345.0 | 436.0 | 624.0 | 1228.0 | 1593.0 | 1842.0 | 2076.0 |
| 2024-12-15 | 714.0 | 217.0 | 271.0 | 345.0 | 497.0 | 987.0 | 1285.0 | 1487.0 | 1679.0 |
| 2024-12-22 | 713.0 | 156.0 | 209.0 | 285.0 | 454.0 | 1056.0 | 1444.0 | 1714.0 | 1972.0 |
| 2024-12-29 | 1777.0 | 282.0 | 405.0 | 594.0 | 1042.0 | 2800.0 | 3996.0 | 4846.0 | 5666.0 |
| 2025-01-05 | 2071.0 | 330.0 | 474.0 | 694.0 | 1217.0 | 3262.0 | 4653.0 | 5640.0 | 6594.0 |
| 2025-01-12 | 2422.0 | 372.0 | 538.0 | 794.0 | 1409.0 | 3841.0 | 5505.0 | 6688.0 | 7833.0 |
| 2025-01-19 | 2752.0 | 385.0 | 569.0 | 857.0 | 1564.0 | 4439.0 | 6436.0 | 7864.0 | 9248.0 |
| 2025-01-26 | 3280.0 | 395.0 | 604.0 | 941.0 | 1797.0 | 5433.0 | 8017.0 | 9877.0 | 11689.0 |
| 2025-02-02 | 3365.0 | 410.0 | 625.0 | 972.0 | 1849.0 | 5563.0 | 8197.0 | 10093.0 | 11938.0 |
| 2025-02-09 | 3497.0 | 343.0 | 550.0 | 898.0 | 1823.0 | 5999.0 | 9058.0 | 11281.0 | 13459.0 |
| 2025-02-16 | 3619.0 | 293.0 | 492.0 | 839.0 | 1804.0 | 6406.0 | 9867.0 | 12405.0 | 14901.0 |
| 2025-02-23 | 3873.0 | 306.0 | 516.0 | 886.0 | 1919.0 | 6882.0 | 10628.0 | 13378.0 | 16084.0 |
| 2025-03-02 | 3954.0 | 347.0 | 571.0 | 957.0 | 2009.0 | 6906.0 | 10549.0 | 13211.0 | 15825.0 |
| 2025-03-09 | 4139.0 | 381.0 | 620.0 | 1028.0 | 2127.0 | 7173.0 | 10902.0 | 13620.0 | 16287.0 |
| 2025-03-16 | 4114.0 | 418.0 | 665.0 | 1078.0 | 2164.0 | 7014.0 | 10547.0 | 13112.0 | 15620.0 |
| 2025-03-23 | 3881.0 | 446.0 | 690.0 | 1087.0 | 2103.0 | 6479.0 | 9611.0 | 11871.0 | 14075.0 |
| 2025-03-30 | 4156.0 | 418.0 | 666.0 | 1082.0 | 2180.0 | 7099.0 | 10687.0 | 13294.0 | 15844.0 |
| 2025-04-06 | 4036.0 | 447.0 | 697.0 | 1107.0 | 2167.0 | 6782.0 | 10103.0 | 12504.0 | 14847.0 |
| 2025-04-13 | 3925.0 | 421.0 | 661.0 | 1058.0 | 2091.0 | 6631.0 | 9914.0 | 12290.0 | 14612.0 |
| 2025-04-20 | 3884.0 | 434.0 | 675.0 | 1071.0 | 2090.0 | 6518.0 | 9700.0 | 11999.0 | 14243.0 |
| 2025-04-27 | 3880.0 | 469.0 | 716.0 | 1116.0 | 2128.0 | 6423.0 | 9474.0 | 11670.0 | 13810.0 |
| 2025-05-04 | 3535.0 | 429.0 | 655.0 | 1019.0 | 1940.0 | 5847.0 | 8621.0 | 10617.0 | 12561.0 |
| 2025-05-11 | 3055.0 | 396.0 | 596.0 | 913.0 | 1705.0 | 4994.0 | 7305.0 | 8962.0 | 10574.0 |
| 2025-05-18 | 2486.0 | 331.0 | 494.0 | 754.0 | 1396.0 | 4045.0 | 5900.0 | 7228.0 | 8519.0 |
| 2025-05-25 | 2068.0 | 304.0 | 444.0 | 662.0 | 1190.0 | 3305.0 | 4764.0 | 5803.0 | 6809.0 |
| 2025-06-01 | 1811.0 | 282.0 | 407.0 | 598.0 | 1057.0 | 2865.0 | 4099.0 | 4976.0 | 5825.0 |
| 2025-06-08 | 1530.0 | 256.0 | 363.0 | 526.0 | 909.0 | 2388.0 | 3386.0 | 4093.0 | 4774.0 |
| 2025-06-15 | 1248.0 | 248.0 | 339.0 | 473.0 | 775.0 | 1884.0 | 2611.0 | 3120.0 | 3609.0 |
| 2025-06-22 | 875.0 | 193.0 | 258.0 | 351.0 | 558.0 | 1295.0 | 1769.0 | 2099.0 | 2415.0 |
| 2025-06-29 | 728.0 | 202.0 | 257.0 | 333.0 | 494.0 | 1026.0 | 1355.0 | 1581.0 | 1795.0 |
| 2025-07-06 | 619.0 | 182.0 | 229.0 | 293.0 | 427.0 | 863.0 | 1129.0 | 1311.0 | 1483.0 |
| 2025-07-13 | 543.0 | 162.0 | 203.0 | 259.0 | 376.0 | 754.0 | 985.0 | 1142.0 | 1290.0 |
| 2025-07-20 | 463.0 | 158.0 | 192.0 | 238.0 | 332.0 | 624.0 | 797.0 | 914.0 | 1024.0 |
| 2025-07-27 | 461.0 | 177.0 | 210.0 | 254.0 | 342.0 | 605.0 | 758.0 | 859.0 | 955.0 |
| 2025-08-03 | 427.0 | 169.0 | 200.0 | 241.0 | 320.0 | 556.0 | 691.0 | 781.0 | 865.0 |
| 2025-08-10 | 438.0 | 174.0 | 206.0 | 247.0 | 328.0 | 570.0 | 709.0 | 801.0 | 888.0 |
| 2025-08-17 | 398.0 | 163.0 | 192.0 | 228.0 | 301.0 | 513.0 | 634.0 | 714.0 | 789.0 |
| 2025-08-24 | 375.0 | 128.0 | 156.0 | 193.0 | 269.0 | 505.0 | 645.0 | 740.0 | 828.0 |
| 2025-08-31 | 373.0 | 124.0 | 152.0 | 189.0 | 266.0 | 506.0 | 649.0 | 746.0 | 836.0 |
| 2025-09-07 | 410.0 | 150.0 | 180.0 | 220.0 | 300.0 | 543.0 | 685.0 | 781.0 | 870.0 |
| 2025-09-14 | 425.0 | 151.0 | 183.0 | 225.0 | 309.0 | 567.0 | 719.0 | 822.0 | 917.0 |
| 2025-09-21 | 432.0 | 167.0 | 199.0 | 240.0 | 321.0 | 565.0 | 705.0 | 799.0 | 887.0 |
| 2025-09-28 | 473.0 | 189.0 | 224.0 | 268.0 | 355.0 | 614.0 | 762.0 | 861.0 | 953.0 |
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