Prediction 4486
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Minas Gerais |
Description:
Validation 3 (Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model). Authored by Tijs W. Alleman & Ana I. Bento.
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 211.0 | 26.0 | 39.0 | 61.0 | 116.0 | 347.0 | 511.0 | 628.0 | 742.0 |
| 2024-10-13 | 257.0 | 32.0 | 49.0 | 76.0 | 143.0 | 422.0 | 619.0 | 760.0 | 898.0 |
| 2024-10-20 | 267.0 | 28.0 | 45.0 | 72.0 | 142.0 | 450.0 | 671.0 | 832.0 | 988.0 |
| 2024-10-27 | 285.0 | 30.0 | 48.0 | 77.0 | 152.0 | 480.0 | 717.0 | 889.0 | 1057.0 |
| 2024-11-03 | 347.0 | 23.0 | 40.0 | 72.0 | 165.0 | 635.0 | 998.0 | 1266.0 | 1531.0 |
| 2024-11-10 | 366.0 | 21.0 | 39.0 | 72.0 | 170.0 | 680.0 | 1080.0 | 1377.0 | 1671.0 |
| 2024-11-17 | 492.0 | 24.0 | 46.0 | 89.0 | 220.0 | 937.0 | 1512.0 | 1941.0 | 2367.0 |
| 2024-11-24 | 544.0 | 21.0 | 42.0 | 85.0 | 229.0 | 1078.0 | 1780.0 | 2310.0 | 2839.0 |
| 2024-12-01 | 658.0 | 27.0 | 53.0 | 107.0 | 281.0 | 1290.0 | 2119.0 | 2742.0 | 3364.0 |
| 2024-12-08 | 731.0 | 25.0 | 51.0 | 107.0 | 299.0 | 1475.0 | 2463.0 | 3211.0 | 3961.0 |
| 2024-12-15 | 710.0 | 23.0 | 49.0 | 103.0 | 289.0 | 1438.0 | 2405.0 | 3139.0 | 3874.0 |
| 2024-12-22 | 775.0 | 8.0 | 22.0 | 61.0 | 245.0 | 1839.0 | 3371.0 | 4577.0 | 5807.0 |
| 2024-12-29 | 1790.0 | 21.0 | 56.0 | 150.0 | 577.0 | 4190.0 | 7624.0 | 10319.0 | 13064.0 |
| 2025-01-05 | 2352.0 | 30.0 | 78.0 | 206.0 | 773.0 | 5446.0 | 9845.0 | 13289.0 | 16792.0 |
| 2025-01-12 | 2952.0 | 26.0 | 75.0 | 215.0 | 897.0 | 7164.0 | 13297.0 | 18148.0 | 23108.0 |
| 2025-01-19 | 3624.0 | 18.0 | 60.0 | 196.0 | 974.0 | 9464.0 | 18278.0 | 25362.0 | 32659.0 |
| 2025-01-26 | 4460.0 | 15.0 | 53.0 | 194.0 | 1094.0 | 12286.0 | 24414.0 | 34271.0 | 44479.0 |
| 2025-02-02 | 5054.0 | 13.0 | 50.0 | 192.0 | 1172.0 | 14380.0 | 29066.0 | 41080.0 | 53561.0 |
| 2025-02-09 | 5898.0 | 13.0 | 51.0 | 206.0 | 1321.0 | 17122.0 | 34971.0 | 49633.0 | 64893.0 |
| 2025-02-16 | 6783.0 | 10.0 | 46.0 | 199.0 | 1411.0 | 20543.0 | 42881.0 | 61388.0 | 80724.0 |
| 2025-02-23 | 7626.0 | 15.0 | 62.0 | 254.0 | 1675.0 | 22389.0 | 45995.0 | 65431.0 | 85679.0 |
| 2025-03-02 | 8349.0 | 23.0 | 88.0 | 332.0 | 1973.0 | 23502.0 | 47235.0 | 66608.0 | 86713.0 |
| 2025-03-09 | 9206.0 | 31.0 | 112.0 | 406.0 | 2270.0 | 25283.0 | 50160.0 | 70365.0 | 91282.0 |
| 2025-03-16 | 9565.0 | 34.0 | 122.0 | 435.0 | 2389.0 | 26068.0 | 51511.0 | 72141.0 | 93484.0 |
| 2025-03-23 | 9199.0 | 53.0 | 168.0 | 534.0 | 2545.0 | 23620.0 | 45209.0 | 62496.0 | 80275.0 |
| 2025-03-30 | 10168.0 | 67.0 | 206.0 | 635.0 | 2900.0 | 25640.0 | 48596.0 | 66907.0 | 85704.0 |
| 2025-04-06 | 10164.0 | 83.0 | 242.0 | 709.0 | 3035.0 | 24939.0 | 46567.0 | 63716.0 | 81270.0 |
| 2025-04-13 | 9379.0 | 110.0 | 293.0 | 788.0 | 3028.0 | 21949.0 | 39925.0 | 54031.0 | 68398.0 |
| 2025-04-20 | 8622.0 | 115.0 | 297.0 | 773.0 | 2861.0 | 19842.0 | 35755.0 | 48194.0 | 60841.0 |
| 2025-04-27 | 7792.0 | 110.0 | 280.0 | 720.0 | 2618.0 | 17796.0 | 31930.0 | 42960.0 | 54165.0 |
| 2025-05-04 | 6642.0 | 93.0 | 237.0 | 612.0 | 2229.0 | 15182.0 | 27254.0 | 36676.0 | 46248.0 |
| 2025-05-11 | 5321.0 | 75.0 | 192.0 | 494.0 | 1792.0 | 12138.0 | 21761.0 | 29269.0 | 36895.0 |
| 2025-05-18 | 3946.0 | 53.0 | 137.0 | 356.0 | 1313.0 | 9070.0 | 16330.0 | 22004.0 | 27772.0 |
| 2025-05-25 | 2916.0 | 55.0 | 130.0 | 313.0 | 1044.0 | 6403.0 | 11235.0 | 14971.0 | 18750.0 |
| 2025-06-01 | 2198.0 | 55.0 | 123.0 | 276.0 | 841.0 | 4629.0 | 7929.0 | 10456.0 | 13000.0 |
| 2025-06-08 | 1635.0 | 52.0 | 110.0 | 232.0 | 659.0 | 3329.0 | 5590.0 | 7308.0 | 9030.0 |
| 2025-06-15 | 1164.0 | 46.0 | 92.0 | 185.0 | 492.0 | 2299.0 | 3790.0 | 4914.0 | 6036.0 |
| 2025-06-22 | 750.0 | 46.0 | 83.0 | 151.0 | 351.0 | 1386.0 | 2193.0 | 2791.0 | 3382.0 |
| 2025-06-29 | 570.0 | 41.0 | 71.0 | 124.0 | 277.0 | 1026.0 | 1598.0 | 2020.0 | 2435.0 |
| 2025-07-06 | 438.0 | 50.0 | 78.0 | 122.0 | 237.0 | 731.0 | 1085.0 | 1340.0 | 1588.0 |
| 2025-07-13 | 343.0 | 43.0 | 65.0 | 101.0 | 190.0 | 562.0 | 824.0 | 1013.0 | 1195.0 |
| 2025-07-20 | 283.0 | 39.0 | 58.0 | 88.0 | 161.0 | 457.0 | 662.0 | 809.0 | 951.0 |
| 2025-07-27 | 246.0 | 37.0 | 54.0 | 80.0 | 143.0 | 390.0 | 560.0 | 680.0 | 797.0 |
| 2025-08-03 | 221.0 | 34.0 | 49.0 | 73.0 | 129.0 | 350.0 | 500.0 | 607.0 | 710.0 |
| 2025-08-10 | 208.0 | 36.0 | 50.0 | 73.0 | 125.0 | 323.0 | 456.0 | 550.0 | 641.0 |
| 2025-08-17 | 196.0 | 36.0 | 51.0 | 72.0 | 120.0 | 300.0 | 418.0 | 502.0 | 582.0 |
| 2025-08-24 | 176.0 | 30.0 | 42.0 | 61.0 | 105.0 | 273.0 | 386.0 | 466.0 | 543.0 |
| 2025-08-31 | 183.0 | 40.0 | 53.0 | 73.0 | 116.0 | 270.0 | 369.0 | 437.0 | 503.0 |
| 2025-09-07 | 211.0 | 37.0 | 53.0 | 75.0 | 127.0 | 324.0 | 456.0 | 548.0 | 637.0 |
| 2025-09-14 | 208.0 | 34.0 | 49.0 | 71.0 | 123.0 | 325.0 | 461.0 | 557.0 | 650.0 |
| 2025-09-21 | 207.0 | 39.0 | 54.0 | 76.0 | 127.0 | 316.0 | 441.0 | 528.0 | 612.0 |
| 2025-09-28 | 212.0 | 29.0 | 43.0 | 65.0 | 120.0 | 342.0 | 496.0 | 607.0 | 714.0 |
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