Prediction 4487
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Mato Grosso do Sul |
Description:
Validation 3 (Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model). Authored by Tijs W. Alleman & Ana I. Bento.
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 53.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 16.0 | 30.0 | 86.0 | 125.0 | 153.0 | 180.0 |
| 2024-10-13 | 65.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 19.0 | 36.0 | 106.0 | 155.0 | 189.0 | 223.0 |
| 2024-10-20 | 68.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 15.0 | 33.0 | 122.0 | 189.0 | 238.0 | 287.0 |
| 2024-10-27 | 80.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | 18.0 | 40.0 | 142.0 | 218.0 | 274.0 | 329.0 |
| 2024-11-03 | 107.0 | 8.0 | 14.0 | 24.0 | 53.0 | 190.0 | 293.0 | 369.0 | 443.0 |
| 2024-11-10 | 122.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 24.0 | 56.0 | 225.0 | 357.0 | 455.0 | 552.0 |
| 2024-11-17 | 158.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 27.0 | 69.0 | 305.0 | 495.0 | 638.0 | 781.0 |
| 2024-11-24 | 171.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 23.0 | 68.0 | 352.0 | 594.0 | 779.0 | 964.0 |
| 2024-12-01 | 193.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | 26.0 | 76.0 | 400.0 | 677.0 | 889.0 | 1101.0 |
| 2024-12-08 | 204.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 24.0 | 77.0 | 436.0 | 751.0 | 993.0 | 1237.0 |
| 2024-12-15 | 168.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 15.0 | 57.0 | 383.0 | 687.0 | 923.0 | 1164.0 |
| 2024-12-22 | 174.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 44.0 | 469.0 | 921.0 | 1286.0 | 1664.0 |
| 2024-12-29 | 400.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 29.0 | 121.0 | 973.0 | 1808.0 | 2469.0 | 3145.0 |
| 2025-01-05 | 531.0 | 3.0 | 11.0 | 33.0 | 151.0 | 1338.0 | 2536.0 | 3492.0 | 4472.0 |
| 2025-01-12 | 669.0 | 4.0 | 12.0 | 39.0 | 186.0 | 1709.0 | 3261.0 | 4504.0 | 5780.0 |
| 2025-01-19 | 783.0 | 5.0 | 15.0 | 47.0 | 220.0 | 1995.0 | 3801.0 | 5244.0 | 6728.0 |
| 2025-01-26 | 856.0 | 6.0 | 18.0 | 56.0 | 249.0 | 2132.0 | 4014.0 | 5511.0 | 7046.0 |
| 2025-02-02 | 886.0 | 7.0 | 21.0 | 62.0 | 265.0 | 2173.0 | 4056.0 | 5549.0 | 7077.0 |
| 2025-02-09 | 937.0 | 10.0 | 28.0 | 77.0 | 299.0 | 2205.0 | 4025.0 | 5455.0 | 6912.0 |
| 2025-02-16 | 923.0 | 11.0 | 31.0 | 81.0 | 304.0 | 2136.0 | 3860.0 | 5209.0 | 6582.0 |
| 2025-02-23 | 964.0 | 12.0 | 31.0 | 83.0 | 315.0 | 2239.0 | 4055.0 | 5478.0 | 6926.0 |
| 2025-03-02 | 980.0 | 13.0 | 33.0 | 88.0 | 325.0 | 2257.0 | 4068.0 | 5483.0 | 6923.0 |
| 2025-03-09 | 1042.0 | 18.0 | 45.0 | 109.0 | 370.0 | 2303.0 | 4054.0 | 5410.0 | 6783.0 |
| 2025-03-16 | 1039.0 | 26.0 | 58.0 | 130.0 | 397.0 | 2190.0 | 3753.0 | 4951.0 | 6156.0 |
| 2025-03-23 | 977.0 | 27.0 | 59.0 | 129.0 | 382.0 | 2030.0 | 3450.0 | 4534.0 | 5623.0 |
| 2025-03-30 | 948.0 | 33.0 | 67.0 | 140.0 | 389.0 | 1908.0 | 3182.0 | 4147.0 | 5112.0 |
| 2025-04-06 | 913.0 | 28.0 | 60.0 | 128.0 | 367.0 | 1866.0 | 3139.0 | 4107.0 | 5077.0 |
| 2025-04-13 | 840.0 | 31.0 | 64.0 | 130.0 | 351.0 | 1671.0 | 2767.0 | 3594.0 | 4421.0 |
| 2025-04-20 | 735.0 | 26.0 | 53.0 | 110.0 | 303.0 | 1475.0 | 2455.0 | 3196.0 | 3938.0 |
| 2025-04-27 | 677.0 | 19.0 | 41.0 | 90.0 | 266.0 | 1402.0 | 2377.0 | 3121.0 | 3868.0 |
| 2025-05-04 | 567.0 | 15.0 | 33.0 | 74.0 | 220.0 | 1184.0 | 2016.0 | 2653.0 | 3292.0 |
| 2025-05-11 | 434.0 | 11.0 | 25.0 | 56.0 | 168.0 | 905.0 | 1542.0 | 2028.0 | 2517.0 |
| 2025-05-18 | 317.0 | 10.0 | 21.0 | 45.0 | 129.0 | 645.0 | 1080.0 | 1411.0 | 1742.0 |
| 2025-05-25 | 250.0 | 6.0 | 14.0 | 32.0 | 97.0 | 521.0 | 888.0 | 1169.0 | 1451.0 |
| 2025-06-01 | 200.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 26.0 | 77.0 | 418.0 | 712.0 | 936.0 | 1162.0 |
| 2025-06-08 | 165.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 18.0 | 60.0 | 356.0 | 619.0 | 822.0 | 1026.0 |
| 2025-06-15 | 149.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 21.0 | 61.0 | 301.0 | 503.0 | 656.0 | 809.0 |
| 2025-06-22 | 124.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 16.0 | 48.0 | 257.0 | 436.0 | 573.0 | 710.0 |
| 2025-06-29 | 103.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 15.0 | 43.0 | 206.0 | 342.0 | 445.0 | 547.0 |
| 2025-07-06 | 82.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 33.0 | 168.0 | 282.0 | 369.0 | 456.0 |
| 2025-07-13 | 67.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 26.0 | 140.0 | 237.0 | 311.0 | 386.0 |
| 2025-07-20 | 60.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 26.0 | 118.0 | 192.0 | 248.0 | 304.0 |
| 2025-07-27 | 60.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | 27.0 | 113.0 | 181.0 | 231.0 | 281.0 |
| 2025-08-03 | 53.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | 27.0 | 92.0 | 140.0 | 175.0 | 210.0 |
| 2025-08-10 | 50.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | 24.0 | 89.0 | 138.0 | 173.0 | 209.0 |
| 2025-08-17 | 45.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 23.0 | 76.0 | 114.0 | 142.0 | 169.0 |
| 2025-08-24 | 46.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | 23.0 | 80.0 | 121.0 | 151.0 | 181.0 |
| 2025-08-31 | 41.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 23.0 | 68.0 | 99.0 | 121.0 | 143.0 |
| 2025-09-07 | 49.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 14.0 | 27.0 | 81.0 | 120.0 | 148.0 | 175.0 |
| 2025-09-14 | 49.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 14.0 | 27.0 | 81.0 | 119.0 | 146.0 | 172.0 |
| 2025-09-21 | 54.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 17.0 | 31.0 | 86.0 | 124.0 | 151.0 | 177.0 |
| 2025-09-28 | 52.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 14.0 | 28.0 | 87.0 | 128.0 | 159.0 | 188.0 |
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Interval Bounds
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