Prediction 4493
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Paraná |
Description:
Validation 3 (Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model). Authored by Tijs W. Alleman & Ana I. Bento.
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 74.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 30.0 | 152.0 | 255.0 | 334.0 | 412.0 |
| 2024-10-13 | 89.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 36.0 | 182.0 | 307.0 | 401.0 | 496.0 |
| 2024-10-20 | 99.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 16.0 | 43.0 | 192.0 | 313.0 | 404.0 | 495.0 |
| 2024-10-27 | 109.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 17.0 | 46.0 | 217.0 | 358.0 | 464.0 | 571.0 |
| 2024-11-03 | 137.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 16.0 | 51.0 | 293.0 | 506.0 | 669.0 | 834.0 |
| 2024-11-10 | 149.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 15.0 | 53.0 | 329.0 | 580.0 | 774.0 | 970.0 |
| 2024-11-17 | 201.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 21.0 | 72.0 | 442.0 | 777.0 | 1036.0 | 1298.0 |
| 2024-11-24 | 229.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 27.0 | 85.0 | 490.0 | 847.0 | 1121.0 | 1398.0 |
| 2024-12-01 | 278.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 28.0 | 97.0 | 620.0 | 1097.0 | 1468.0 | 1843.0 |
| 2024-12-08 | 346.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 27.0 | 109.0 | 821.0 | 1506.0 | 2044.0 | 2594.0 |
| 2024-12-15 | 322.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 25.0 | 101.0 | 763.0 | 1399.0 | 1900.0 | 2410.0 |
| 2024-12-22 | 297.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 24.0 | 94.0 | 703.0 | 1288.0 | 1748.0 | 2217.0 |
| 2024-12-29 | 402.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 18.0 | 100.0 | 1093.0 | 2159.0 | 3023.0 | 3917.0 |
| 2025-01-05 | 534.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 19.0 | 122.0 | 1534.0 | 3116.0 | 4412.0 | 5759.0 |
| 2025-01-12 | 712.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 23.0 | 154.0 | 2112.0 | 4362.0 | 6218.0 | 8153.0 |
| 2025-01-19 | 872.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 25.0 | 180.0 | 2650.0 | 5544.0 | 7943.0 | 10450.0 |
| 2025-01-26 | 1083.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 40.0 | 249.0 | 3095.0 | 6268.0 | 8866.0 | 11566.0 |
| 2025-02-02 | 1362.0 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 45.0 | 299.0 | 4000.0 | 8219.0 | 11693.0 | 15312.0 |
| 2025-02-09 | 1687.0 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 50.0 | 352.0 | 5101.0 | 10639.0 | 15226.0 | 20017.0 |
| 2025-02-16 | 1920.0 | 4.0 | 16.0 | 66.0 | 428.0 | 5587.0 | 11427.0 | 16226.0 | 21222.0 |
| 2025-02-23 | 2228.0 | 5.0 | 20.0 | 81.0 | 506.0 | 6411.0 | 13036.0 | 18468.0 | 24116.0 |
| 2025-03-02 | 2588.0 | 5.0 | 21.0 | 86.0 | 567.0 | 7605.0 | 15631.0 | 22240.0 | 29126.0 |
| 2025-03-09 | 2973.0 | 7.0 | 28.0 | 111.0 | 685.0 | 8495.0 | 17206.0 | 24339.0 | 31751.0 |
| 2025-03-16 | 3324.0 | 8.0 | 32.0 | 123.0 | 763.0 | 9511.0 | 19278.0 | 27278.0 | 35593.0 |
| 2025-03-23 | 3403.0 | 9.0 | 34.0 | 132.0 | 796.0 | 9637.0 | 19429.0 | 27433.0 | 35742.0 |
| 2025-03-30 | 3611.0 | 9.0 | 36.0 | 138.0 | 838.0 | 10267.0 | 20745.0 | 29316.0 | 38219.0 |
| 2025-04-06 | 3639.0 | 9.0 | 36.0 | 139.0 | 846.0 | 10336.0 | 20871.0 | 29487.0 | 38436.0 |
| 2025-04-13 | 3390.0 | 8.0 | 31.0 | 122.0 | 768.0 | 9773.0 | 19887.0 | 28184.0 | 36814.0 |
| 2025-04-20 | 2919.0 | 8.0 | 31.0 | 118.0 | 695.0 | 8180.0 | 16401.0 | 23106.0 | 30061.0 |
| 2025-04-27 | 2719.0 | 5.0 | 20.0 | 84.0 | 579.0 | 8120.0 | 16829.0 | 24024.0 | 31531.0 |
| 2025-05-04 | 2375.0 | 3.0 | 13.0 | 60.0 | 464.0 | 7445.0 | 15818.0 | 22803.0 | 30124.0 |
| 2025-05-11 | 1774.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 39.0 | 328.0 | 5738.0 | 12384.0 | 17962.0 | 23825.0 |
| 2025-05-18 | 1220.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 32.0 | 244.0 | 3776.0 | 7968.0 | 11455.0 | 15107.0 |
| 2025-05-25 | 787.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 20.0 | 156.0 | 2453.0 | 5195.0 | 7480.0 | 9873.0 |
| 2025-06-01 | 553.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 16.0 | 114.0 | 1678.0 | 3507.0 | 5023.0 | 6608.0 |
| 2025-06-08 | 488.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 13.0 | 99.0 | 1496.0 | 3141.0 | 4507.0 | 5936.0 |
| 2025-06-15 | 364.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 70.0 | 1153.0 | 2464.0 | 3559.0 | 4709.0 |
| 2025-06-22 | 207.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 13.0 | 60.0 | 518.0 | 976.0 | 1341.0 | 1716.0 |
| 2025-06-29 | 152.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 42.0 | 390.0 | 746.0 | 1031.0 | 1324.0 |
| 2025-07-06 | 122.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 35.0 | 306.0 | 578.0 | 795.0 | 1017.0 |
| 2025-07-13 | 93.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 25.0 | 240.0 | 461.0 | 639.0 | 821.0 |
| 2025-07-20 | 83.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 24.0 | 211.0 | 401.0 | 552.0 | 707.0 |
| 2025-07-27 | 75.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 24.0 | 177.0 | 322.0 | 435.0 | 551.0 |
| 2025-08-03 | 64.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 21.0 | 150.0 | 272.0 | 368.0 | 465.0 |
| 2025-08-10 | 62.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 22.0 | 137.0 | 240.0 | 320.0 | 401.0 |
| 2025-08-17 | 63.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 22.0 | 138.0 | 241.0 | 322.0 | 403.0 |
| 2025-08-24 | 59.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 23.0 | 124.0 | 210.0 | 277.0 | 343.0 |
| 2025-08-31 | 58.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 23.0 | 119.0 | 200.0 | 262.0 | 324.0 |
| 2025-09-07 | 61.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 23.0 | 131.0 | 227.0 | 300.0 | 374.0 |
| 2025-09-14 | 62.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 23.0 | 133.0 | 230.0 | 304.0 | 379.0 |
| 2025-09-21 | 67.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 27.0 | 136.0 | 228.0 | 298.0 | 368.0 |
| 2025-09-28 | 72.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 28.0 | 148.0 | 250.0 | 327.0 | 405.0 |
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