Prediction 4494
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Rio de Janeiro |
Description:
Validation 3 (Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model). Authored by Tijs W. Alleman & Ana I. Bento.
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 122.0 | 10.0 | 17.0 | 29.0 | 61.0 | 213.0 | 326.0 | 408.0 | 489.0 |
| 2024-10-13 | 132.0 | 10.0 | 17.0 | 30.0 | 65.0 | 234.0 | 361.0 | 455.0 | 546.0 |
| 2024-10-20 | 143.0 | 10.0 | 17.0 | 31.0 | 69.0 | 259.0 | 404.0 | 511.0 | 616.0 |
| 2024-10-27 | 148.0 | 8.0 | 15.0 | 28.0 | 67.0 | 277.0 | 443.0 | 567.0 | 690.0 |
| 2024-11-03 | 165.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 23.0 | 66.0 | 336.0 | 566.0 | 740.0 | 915.0 |
| 2024-11-10 | 182.0 | 10.0 | 19.0 | 35.0 | 84.0 | 339.0 | 539.0 | 687.0 | 835.0 |
| 2024-11-17 | 213.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | 28.0 | 83.0 | 444.0 | 756.0 | 994.0 | 1234.0 |
| 2024-11-24 | 246.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | 28.0 | 91.0 | 531.0 | 922.0 | 1223.0 | 1527.0 |
| 2024-12-01 | 305.0 | 5.0 | 13.0 | 31.0 | 108.0 | 678.0 | 1195.0 | 1597.0 | 2003.0 |
| 2024-12-08 | 329.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 27.0 | 106.0 | 770.0 | 1400.0 | 1895.0 | 2400.0 |
| 2024-12-15 | 306.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 28.0 | 102.0 | 701.0 | 1259.0 | 1695.0 | 2139.0 |
| 2024-12-22 | 292.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 14.0 | 74.0 | 785.0 | 1541.0 | 2152.0 | 2783.0 |
| 2024-12-29 | 560.0 | 4.0 | 12.0 | 36.0 | 161.0 | 1402.0 | 2647.0 | 3639.0 | 4656.0 |
| 2025-01-05 | 650.0 | 5.0 | 15.0 | 45.0 | 194.0 | 1594.0 | 2977.0 | 4073.0 | 5194.0 |
| 2025-01-12 | 785.0 | 5.0 | 15.0 | 47.0 | 221.0 | 1994.0 | 3794.0 | 5232.0 | 6709.0 |
| 2025-01-19 | 885.0 | 4.0 | 14.0 | 48.0 | 238.0 | 2307.0 | 4454.0 | 6178.0 | 7955.0 |
| 2025-01-26 | 1006.0 | 4.0 | 14.0 | 48.0 | 258.0 | 2702.0 | 5297.0 | 7394.0 | 9560.0 |
| 2025-02-02 | 1154.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 41.0 | 260.0 | 3334.0 | 6791.0 | 9629.0 | 12580.0 |
| 2025-02-09 | 1342.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 35.0 | 268.0 | 4163.0 | 8795.0 | 12650.0 | 16687.0 |
| 2025-02-16 | 1538.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 35.0 | 289.0 | 4933.0 | 10599.0 | 15347.0 | 20333.0 |
| 2025-02-23 | 1692.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 43.0 | 331.0 | 5307.0 | 11276.0 | 16256.0 | 21476.0 |
| 2025-03-02 | 1857.0 | 3.0 | 14.0 | 59.0 | 400.0 | 5513.0 | 11391.0 | 16242.0 | 21300.0 |
| 2025-03-09 | 2075.0 | 5.0 | 19.0 | 76.0 | 474.0 | 5956.0 | 12092.0 | 17120.0 | 22348.0 |
| 2025-03-16 | 2115.0 | 6.0 | 23.0 | 86.0 | 503.0 | 5926.0 | 11883.0 | 16741.0 | 21780.0 |
| 2025-03-23 | 2107.0 | 9.0 | 32.0 | 108.0 | 554.0 | 5577.0 | 10848.0 | 15095.0 | 19477.0 |
| 2025-03-30 | 2373.0 | 10.0 | 35.0 | 119.0 | 618.0 | 6314.0 | 12316.0 | 17159.0 | 22158.0 |
| 2025-04-06 | 2305.0 | 9.0 | 31.0 | 110.0 | 587.0 | 6213.0 | 12204.0 | 17051.0 | 22060.0 |
| 2025-04-13 | 2134.0 | 10.0 | 34.0 | 113.0 | 569.0 | 5600.0 | 10845.0 | 15063.0 | 19411.0 |
| 2025-04-20 | 2052.0 | 14.0 | 43.0 | 131.0 | 591.0 | 5143.0 | 9716.0 | 13359.0 | 17096.0 |
| 2025-04-27 | 1902.0 | 16.0 | 46.0 | 135.0 | 572.0 | 4647.0 | 8657.0 | 11833.0 | 15083.0 |
| 2025-05-04 | 1812.0 | 16.0 | 47.0 | 133.0 | 553.0 | 4383.0 | 8122.0 | 11078.0 | 14099.0 |
| 2025-05-11 | 1567.0 | 19.0 | 50.0 | 133.0 | 509.0 | 3655.0 | 6635.0 | 8972.0 | 11352.0 |
| 2025-05-18 | 1236.0 | 13.0 | 35.0 | 98.0 | 390.0 | 2932.0 | 5374.0 | 7297.0 | 9257.0 |
| 2025-05-25 | 1013.0 | 16.0 | 40.0 | 100.0 | 349.0 | 2275.0 | 4044.0 | 5419.0 | 6814.0 |
| 2025-06-01 | 833.0 | 15.0 | 36.0 | 88.0 | 297.0 | 1836.0 | 3227.0 | 4304.0 | 5393.0 |
| 2025-06-08 | 703.0 | 13.0 | 32.0 | 77.0 | 254.0 | 1537.0 | 2690.0 | 3581.0 | 4481.0 |
| 2025-06-15 | 568.0 | 13.0 | 30.0 | 69.0 | 214.0 | 1207.0 | 2077.0 | 2745.0 | 3418.0 |
| 2025-06-22 | 436.0 | 12.0 | 26.0 | 58.0 | 171.0 | 906.0 | 1539.0 | 2021.0 | 2506.0 |
| 2025-06-29 | 385.0 | 16.0 | 32.0 | 64.0 | 166.0 | 749.0 | 1224.0 | 1581.0 | 1937.0 |
| 2025-07-06 | 309.0 | 18.0 | 33.0 | 61.0 | 143.0 | 574.0 | 911.0 | 1161.0 | 1409.0 |
| 2025-07-13 | 265.0 | 20.0 | 35.0 | 60.0 | 131.0 | 472.0 | 730.0 | 920.0 | 1107.0 |
| 2025-07-20 | 224.0 | 19.0 | 32.0 | 54.0 | 114.0 | 391.0 | 597.0 | 748.0 | 896.0 |
| 2025-07-27 | 207.0 | 13.0 | 24.0 | 43.0 | 99.0 | 378.0 | 594.0 | 753.0 | 910.0 |
| 2025-08-03 | 192.0 | 11.0 | 21.0 | 38.0 | 89.0 | 354.0 | 561.0 | 714.0 | 866.0 |
| 2025-08-10 | 172.0 | 12.0 | 21.0 | 37.0 | 83.0 | 310.0 | 483.0 | 610.0 | 735.0 |
| 2025-08-17 | 153.0 | 12.0 | 20.0 | 35.0 | 76.0 | 271.0 | 417.0 | 524.0 | 629.0 |
| 2025-08-24 | 135.0 | 13.0 | 21.0 | 34.0 | 70.0 | 232.0 | 350.0 | 435.0 | 519.0 |
| 2025-08-31 | 125.0 | 12.0 | 19.0 | 32.0 | 65.0 | 215.0 | 324.0 | 404.0 | 482.0 |
| 2025-09-07 | 131.0 | 11.0 | 18.0 | 31.0 | 67.0 | 230.0 | 351.0 | 439.0 | 526.0 |
| 2025-09-14 | 134.0 | 10.0 | 18.0 | 31.0 | 66.0 | 237.0 | 365.0 | 459.0 | 551.0 |
| 2025-09-21 | 125.0 | 10.0 | 17.0 | 29.0 | 63.0 | 219.0 | 336.0 | 421.0 | 505.0 |
| 2025-09-28 | 128.0 | 12.0 | 19.0 | 32.0 | 66.0 | 221.0 | 334.0 | 416.0 | 497.0 |
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Interval Bounds
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