Prediction 4498
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Rio Grande do Sul |
Description:
Validation 3 (Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model). Authored by Tijs W. Alleman & Ana I. Bento.
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 13.0 | 18.0 | 24.0 |
| 2024-10-13 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 15.0 | 21.0 | 26.0 |
| 2024-10-20 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 16.0 | 23.0 | 29.0 |
| 2024-10-27 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 19.0 | 30.0 | 41.0 |
| 2024-11-03 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 22.0 | 33.0 | 44.0 |
| 2024-11-10 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 22.0 | 31.0 | 40.0 |
| 2024-11-17 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 14.0 | 27.0 | 37.0 | 48.0 |
| 2024-11-24 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 19.0 | 36.0 | 49.0 | 62.0 |
| 2024-12-01 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 22.0 | 51.0 | 76.0 | 102.0 |
| 2024-12-08 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 34.0 | 72.0 | 103.0 | 136.0 |
| 2024-12-15 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 35.0 | 80.0 | 118.0 | 160.0 |
| 2024-12-22 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 27.0 | 64.0 | 97.0 | 131.0 |
| 2024-12-29 | 15.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 44.0 | 93.0 | 132.0 | 174.0 |
| 2025-01-05 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 55.0 | 120.0 | 175.0 | 233.0 |
| 2025-01-12 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 85.0 | 187.0 | 273.0 | 364.0 |
| 2025-01-19 | 28.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 117.0 | 285.0 | 433.0 | 592.0 |
| 2025-01-26 | 38.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 160.0 | 391.0 | 594.0 | 812.0 |
| 2025-02-02 | 52.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 239.0 | 611.0 | 946.0 | 1307.0 |
| 2025-02-09 | 81.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 393.0 | 1027.0 | 1601.0 | 2223.0 |
| 2025-02-16 | 114.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 555.0 | 1455.0 | 2270.0 | 3154.0 |
| 2025-02-23 | 156.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 13.0 | 783.0 | 2083.0 | 3265.0 | 4551.0 |
| 2025-03-02 | 206.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 1111.0 | 3057.0 | 4853.0 | 6817.0 |
| 2025-03-09 | 263.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 20.0 | 1374.0 | 3721.0 | 5873.0 | 8221.0 |
| 2025-03-16 | 302.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 21.0 | 1676.0 | 4672.0 | 7450.0 | 10494.0 |
| 2025-03-23 | 345.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 24.0 | 1882.0 | 5206.0 | 8278.0 | 11641.0 |
| 2025-03-30 | 360.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 22.0 | 2117.0 | 6054.0 | 9739.0 | 13794.0 |
| 2025-04-06 | 406.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 25.0 | 2418.0 | 6953.0 | 11209.0 | 15897.0 |
| 2025-04-13 | 354.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 17.0 | 2359.0 | 7133.0 | 11700.0 | 16769.0 |
| 2025-04-20 | 349.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | 2144.0 | 6254.0 | 10133.0 | 14414.0 |
| 2025-04-27 | 298.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 17.0 | 1837.0 | 5362.0 | 8689.0 | 12362.0 |
| 2025-05-04 | 217.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 1457.0 | 4417.0 | 7251.0 | 10399.0 |
| 2025-05-11 | 132.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1221.0 | 4250.0 | 7312.0 | 10783.0 |
| 2025-05-18 | 89.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 576.0 | 1718.0 | 2805.0 | 4010.0 |
| 2025-05-25 | 69.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 464.0 | 1409.0 | 2315.0 | 3320.0 |
| 2025-06-01 | 35.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 260.0 | 822.0 | 1370.0 | 1981.0 |
| 2025-06-08 | 41.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 285.0 | 874.0 | 1442.0 | 2073.0 |
| 2025-06-15 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 157.0 | 708.0 | 1323.0 | 2048.0 |
| 2025-06-22 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 52.0 | 145.0 | 232.0 | 326.0 |
| 2025-06-29 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 49.0 | 143.0 | 232.0 | 329.0 |
| 2025-07-06 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 33.0 | 91.0 | 145.0 | 205.0 |
| 2025-07-13 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 21.0 | 55.0 | 87.0 | 121.0 |
| 2025-07-20 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 18.0 | 46.0 | 71.0 | 98.0 |
| 2025-07-27 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 19.0 | 40.0 | 56.0 | 73.0 |
| 2025-08-03 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 39.0 | 62.0 | 86.0 |
| 2025-08-10 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 29.0 | 45.0 | 63.0 |
| 2025-08-17 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 19.0 | 28.0 | 37.0 |
| 2025-08-24 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 19.0 | 27.0 | 36.0 |
| 2025-08-31 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | 19.0 | 26.0 |
| 2025-09-07 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 15.0 | 22.0 | 29.0 |
| 2025-09-14 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 17.0 | 26.0 | 35.0 |
| 2025-09-21 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 14.0 | 22.0 | 30.0 |
| 2025-09-28 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 17.0 | 24.0 | 32.0 |
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