Prediction 4499
Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline |
---|---|
Author | Bento Lab |
ADM 1 | Santa Catarina |
Description:
Validation 3 (Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model). Authored by Tijs W. Alleman & Ana I. Bento.
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024-10-06 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | 55.0 | 88.0 | 124.0 |
2024-10-13 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 25.0 | 64.0 | 98.0 | 136.0 |
2024-10-20 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 22.0 | 62.0 | 99.0 | 140.0 |
2024-10-27 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 24.0 | 60.0 | 93.0 | 127.0 |
2024-11-03 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 30.0 | 81.0 | 127.0 | 178.0 |
2024-11-10 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 31.0 | 76.0 | 115.0 | 158.0 |
2024-11-17 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 51.0 | 132.0 | 205.0 | 283.0 |
2024-11-24 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 69.0 | 185.0 | 292.0 | 408.0 |
2024-12-01 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 83.0 | 245.0 | 399.0 | 569.0 |
2024-12-08 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 90.0 | 307.0 | 524.0 | 770.0 |
2024-12-15 | 15.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 96.0 | 282.0 | 458.0 | 653.0 |
2024-12-22 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 67.0 | 164.0 | 248.0 | 339.0 |
2024-12-29 | 26.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 88.0 | 194.0 | 284.0 | 379.0 |
2025-01-05 | 29.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 100.0 | 223.0 | 327.0 | 437.0 |
2025-01-12 | 34.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 134.0 | 318.0 | 480.0 | 652.0 |
2025-01-19 | 43.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 178.0 | 430.0 | 651.0 | 888.0 |
2025-01-26 | 46.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 239.0 | 650.0 | 1027.0 | 1439.0 |
2025-02-02 | 83.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 427.0 | 1150.0 | 1812.0 | 2533.0 |
2025-02-09 | 107.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 623.0 | 1777.0 | 2856.0 | 4042.0 |
2025-02-16 | 133.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 860.0 | 2564.0 | 4186.0 | 5982.0 |
2025-02-23 | 152.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 1134.0 | 3606.0 | 6016.0 | 8713.0 |
2025-03-02 | 236.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 12.0 | 1534.0 | 4591.0 | 7503.0 | 10731.0 |
2025-03-09 | 157.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1613.0 | 5875.0 | 10258.0 | 15261.0 |
2025-03-16 | 254.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 2371.0 | 8303.0 | 14310.0 | 21127.0 |
2025-03-23 | 347.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 2857.0 | 9477.0 | 16039.0 | 23428.0 |
2025-03-30 | 406.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 14.0 | 3248.0 | 10630.0 | 17912.0 | 26094.0 |
2025-04-06 | 460.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 17.0 | 3544.0 | 11411.0 | 19122.0 | 27765.0 |
2025-04-13 | 489.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | 3648.0 | 11586.0 | 19326.0 | 27983.0 |
2025-04-20 | 491.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 23.0 | 3361.0 | 10278.0 | 16925.0 | 24317.0 |
2025-04-27 | 416.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 17.0 | 3064.0 | 9684.0 | 16126.0 | 23325.0 |
2025-05-04 | 312.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 2766.0 | 9460.0 | 16177.0 | 23773.0 |
2025-05-11 | 246.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 2276.0 | 7934.0 | 13653.0 | 20139.0 |
2025-05-18 | 203.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 1501.0 | 4753.0 | 7919.0 | 11459.0 |
2025-05-25 | 132.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 1045.0 | 3412.0 | 5743.0 | 8362.0 |
2025-06-01 | 56.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 640.0 | 2439.0 | 4322.0 | 6485.0 |
2025-06-08 | 65.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 607.0 | 2127.0 | 3666.0 | 5414.0 |
2025-06-15 | 58.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 475.0 | 1575.0 | 2665.0 | 3891.0 |
2025-06-22 | 23.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 191.0 | 636.0 | 1078.0 | 1576.0 |
2025-06-29 | 19.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 153.0 | 501.0 | 844.0 | 1229.0 |
2025-07-06 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 96.0 | 340.0 | 590.0 | 874.0 |
2025-07-13 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 61.0 | 224.0 | 393.0 | 586.0 |
2025-07-20 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 56.0 | 156.0 | 248.0 | 350.0 |
2025-07-27 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 52.0 | 141.0 | 221.0 | 310.0 |
2025-08-03 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 30.0 | 100.0 | 171.0 | 250.0 |
2025-08-10 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 34.0 | 103.0 | 169.0 | 243.0 |
2025-08-17 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 23.0 | 81.0 | 140.0 | 208.0 |
2025-08-24 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 27.0 | 77.0 | 123.0 | 174.0 |
2025-08-31 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 19.0 | 69.0 | 121.0 | 181.0 |
2025-09-07 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 29.0 | 78.0 | 123.0 | 172.0 |
2025-09-14 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 23.0 | 75.0 | 126.0 | 183.0 |
2025-09-21 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 19.0 | 63.0 | 107.0 | 157.0 |
2025-09-28 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 21.0 | 52.0 | 78.0 | 106.0 |