Prediction 4501
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | São Paulo |
Description:
Validation 3 (Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model). Authored by Tijs W. Alleman & Ana I. Bento.
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 275.0 | 44.0 | 63.0 | 93.0 | 162.0 | 432.0 | 615.0 | 745.0 | 870.0 |
| 2024-10-13 | 298.0 | 48.0 | 69.0 | 101.0 | 176.0 | 467.0 | 664.0 | 804.0 | 939.0 |
| 2024-10-20 | 307.0 | 48.0 | 69.0 | 102.0 | 179.0 | 484.0 | 692.0 | 840.0 | 982.0 |
| 2024-10-27 | 336.0 | 53.0 | 77.0 | 113.0 | 198.0 | 530.0 | 755.0 | 916.0 | 1070.0 |
| 2024-11-03 | 391.0 | 47.0 | 72.0 | 113.0 | 214.0 | 645.0 | 951.0 | 1171.0 | 1385.0 |
| 2024-11-10 | 425.0 | 55.0 | 83.0 | 127.0 | 237.0 | 693.0 | 1013.0 | 1243.0 | 1466.0 |
| 2024-11-17 | 511.0 | 50.0 | 80.0 | 131.0 | 266.0 | 876.0 | 1323.0 | 1648.0 | 1966.0 |
| 2024-11-24 | 599.0 | 56.0 | 91.0 | 150.0 | 309.0 | 1036.0 | 1572.0 | 1962.0 | 2345.0 |
| 2024-12-01 | 712.0 | 55.0 | 93.0 | 161.0 | 352.0 | 1269.0 | 1963.0 | 2472.0 | 2974.0 |
| 2024-12-08 | 812.0 | 52.0 | 92.0 | 166.0 | 383.0 | 1491.0 | 2352.0 | 2989.0 | 3619.0 |
| 2024-12-15 | 813.0 | 58.0 | 101.0 | 177.0 | 394.0 | 1467.0 | 2288.0 | 2892.0 | 3488.0 |
| 2024-12-22 | 834.0 | 47.0 | 86.0 | 160.0 | 383.0 | 1560.0 | 2489.0 | 3179.0 | 3864.0 |
| 2024-12-29 | 1569.0 | 56.0 | 115.0 | 237.0 | 649.0 | 3144.0 | 5227.0 | 6804.0 | 8381.0 |
| 2025-01-05 | 2069.0 | 70.0 | 144.0 | 302.0 | 844.0 | 4182.0 | 6991.0 | 9121.0 | 11255.0 |
| 2025-01-12 | 2753.0 | 62.0 | 141.0 | 325.0 | 1026.0 | 5895.0 | 10193.0 | 13498.0 | 16831.0 |
| 2025-01-19 | 3533.0 | 58.0 | 142.0 | 353.0 | 1227.0 | 7907.0 | 14023.0 | 18774.0 | 23589.0 |
| 2025-01-26 | 4534.0 | 90.0 | 212.0 | 503.0 | 1645.0 | 9875.0 | 17244.0 | 22933.0 | 28680.0 |
| 2025-02-02 | 5519.0 | 96.0 | 233.0 | 569.0 | 1943.0 | 12249.0 | 21623.0 | 28890.0 | 36249.0 |
| 2025-02-09 | 6682.0 | 111.0 | 272.0 | 674.0 | 2330.0 | 14920.0 | 26428.0 | 35363.0 | 44415.0 |
| 2025-02-16 | 7608.0 | 112.0 | 283.0 | 720.0 | 2582.0 | 17269.0 | 30876.0 | 41481.0 | 52246.0 |
| 2025-02-23 | 8999.0 | 110.0 | 290.0 | 772.0 | 2930.0 | 20953.0 | 38003.0 | 51367.0 | 64971.0 |
| 2025-03-02 | 10073.0 | 111.0 | 300.0 | 819.0 | 3207.0 | 23777.0 | 43456.0 | 58927.0 | 74699.0 |
| 2025-03-09 | 11446.0 | 126.0 | 341.0 | 930.0 | 3644.0 | 27020.0 | 49385.0 | 66969.0 | 84895.0 |
| 2025-03-16 | 12285.0 | 111.0 | 314.0 | 899.0 | 3744.0 | 29773.0 | 55219.0 | 75341.0 | 95913.0 |
| 2025-03-23 | 12481.0 | 135.0 | 366.0 | 1004.0 | 3957.0 | 29538.0 | 54063.0 | 73356.0 | 93030.0 |
| 2025-03-30 | 13668.0 | 135.0 | 375.0 | 1049.0 | 4248.0 | 32736.0 | 60317.0 | 82072.0 | 104284.0 |
| 2025-04-06 | 13885.0 | 117.0 | 339.0 | 984.0 | 4175.0 | 33925.0 | 63201.0 | 86393.0 | 110123.0 |
| 2025-04-13 | 13675.0 | 130.0 | 366.0 | 1032.0 | 4220.0 | 32893.0 | 60749.0 | 82740.0 | 105205.0 |
| 2025-04-20 | 12523.0 | 97.0 | 287.0 | 850.0 | 3697.0 | 30934.0 | 57974.0 | 79446.0 | 101441.0 |
| 2025-04-27 | 11518.0 | 71.0 | 222.0 | 695.0 | 3237.0 | 29298.0 | 55792.0 | 76964.0 | 98717.0 |
| 2025-05-04 | 10059.0 | 36.0 | 129.0 | 460.0 | 2517.0 | 27386.0 | 54085.0 | 75729.0 | 98118.0 |
| 2025-05-11 | 8383.0 | 23.0 | 88.0 | 332.0 | 1977.0 | 23620.0 | 47497.0 | 66992.0 | 87224.0 |
| 2025-05-18 | 5933.0 | 14.0 | 56.0 | 218.0 | 1358.0 | 17012.0 | 34524.0 | 48872.0 | 63789.0 |
| 2025-05-25 | 4243.0 | 15.0 | 54.0 | 193.0 | 1060.0 | 11565.0 | 22852.0 | 32005.0 | 41473.0 |
| 2025-06-01 | 3010.0 | 13.0 | 44.0 | 151.0 | 783.0 | 8012.0 | 15632.0 | 21780.0 | 28126.0 |
| 2025-06-08 | 2457.0 | 9.0 | 31.0 | 112.0 | 614.0 | 6695.0 | 13227.0 | 18523.0 | 24002.0 |
| 2025-06-15 | 1906.0 | 6.0 | 22.0 | 82.0 | 465.0 | 5264.0 | 10476.0 | 14714.0 | 19104.0 |
| 2025-06-22 | 948.0 | 33.0 | 68.0 | 141.0 | 390.0 | 1908.0 | 3180.0 | 4144.0 | 5109.0 |
| 2025-06-29 | 650.0 | 26.0 | 52.0 | 105.0 | 276.0 | 1278.0 | 2102.0 | 2723.0 | 3342.0 |
| 2025-07-06 | 556.0 | 32.0 | 59.0 | 108.0 | 257.0 | 1036.0 | 1647.0 | 2102.0 | 2552.0 |
| 2025-07-13 | 451.0 | 28.0 | 50.0 | 91.0 | 211.0 | 833.0 | 1317.0 | 1676.0 | 2031.0 |
| 2025-07-20 | 387.0 | 24.0 | 43.0 | 78.0 | 182.0 | 713.0 | 1127.0 | 1433.0 | 1736.0 |
| 2025-07-27 | 347.0 | 28.0 | 47.0 | 80.0 | 173.0 | 613.0 | 943.0 | 1185.0 | 1422.0 |
| 2025-08-03 | 304.0 | 32.0 | 51.0 | 82.0 | 162.0 | 513.0 | 767.0 | 951.0 | 1130.0 |
| 2025-08-10 | 265.0 | 27.0 | 43.0 | 70.0 | 140.0 | 451.0 | 676.0 | 839.0 | 999.0 |
| 2025-08-17 | 245.0 | 29.0 | 45.0 | 70.0 | 134.0 | 407.0 | 600.0 | 740.0 | 876.0 |
| 2025-08-24 | 228.0 | 30.0 | 45.0 | 68.0 | 127.0 | 371.0 | 541.0 | 663.0 | 782.0 |
| 2025-08-31 | 224.0 | 28.0 | 43.0 | 66.0 | 125.0 | 368.0 | 538.0 | 661.0 | 780.0 |
| 2025-09-07 | 251.0 | 34.0 | 51.0 | 77.0 | 142.0 | 407.0 | 591.0 | 723.0 | 851.0 |
| 2025-09-14 | 262.0 | 40.0 | 58.0 | 86.0 | 153.0 | 415.0 | 594.0 | 721.0 | 845.0 |
| 2025-09-21 | 250.0 | 36.0 | 54.0 | 80.0 | 144.0 | 400.0 | 576.0 | 701.0 | 822.0 |
| 2025-09-28 | 263.0 | 35.0 | 53.0 | 80.0 | 148.0 | 426.0 | 619.0 | 757.0 | 892.0 |
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Interval Bounds
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