Prediction 4507
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Bahia |
Description:
Forecast (Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model). Authored by Tijs W. Alleman & Ana I. Bento.
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | 189.0 | 42.0 | 56.0 | 76.0 | 121.0 | 279.0 | 380.0 | 451.0 | 518.0 |
| 2025-10-12 | 197.0 | 48.0 | 63.0 | 83.0 | 129.0 | 285.0 | 383.0 | 451.0 | 516.0 |
| 2025-10-19 | 191.0 | 50.0 | 64.0 | 85.0 | 128.0 | 273.0 | 364.0 | 426.0 | 485.0 |
| 2025-10-26 | 189.0 | 42.0 | 56.0 | 76.0 | 121.0 | 279.0 | 380.0 | 451.0 | 519.0 |
| 2025-11-02 | 206.0 | 40.0 | 55.0 | 77.0 | 128.0 | 312.0 | 433.0 | 518.0 | 599.0 |
| 2025-11-09 | 214.0 | 46.0 | 62.0 | 85.0 | 136.0 | 318.0 | 436.0 | 517.0 | 596.0 |
| 2025-11-16 | 238.0 | 44.0 | 61.0 | 87.0 | 145.0 | 362.0 | 506.0 | 607.0 | 704.0 |
| 2025-11-23 | 260.0 | 37.0 | 54.0 | 82.0 | 149.0 | 418.0 | 604.0 | 737.0 | 866.0 |
| 2025-11-30 | 278.0 | 38.0 | 57.0 | 86.0 | 158.0 | 449.0 | 652.0 | 796.0 | 936.0 |
| 2025-12-07 | 265.0 | 38.0 | 56.0 | 84.0 | 152.0 | 423.0 | 609.0 | 742.0 | 871.0 |
| 2025-12-14 | 231.0 | 32.0 | 48.0 | 72.0 | 132.0 | 371.0 | 537.0 | 655.0 | 770.0 |
| 2025-12-21 | 225.0 | 22.0 | 36.0 | 59.0 | 118.0 | 384.0 | 577.0 | 717.0 | 855.0 |
| 2025-12-28 | 63.0 | 25.0 | 30.0 | 36.0 | 48.0 | 82.0 | 101.0 | 114.0 | 126.0 |
| 2026-01-04 | 433.0 | 90.0 | 122.0 | 169.0 | 272.0 | 647.0 | 890.0 | 1059.0 | 1222.0 |
| 2026-01-11 | 513.0 | 86.0 | 122.0 | 177.0 | 305.0 | 800.0 | 1132.0 | 1368.0 | 1595.0 |
| 2026-01-18 | 603.0 | 130.0 | 174.0 | 239.0 | 382.0 | 896.0 | 1229.0 | 1461.0 | 1682.0 |
| 2026-01-25 | 720.0 | 125.0 | 176.0 | 253.0 | 432.0 | 1115.0 | 1574.0 | 1897.0 | 2209.0 |
| 2026-02-01 | 888.0 | 117.0 | 175.0 | 268.0 | 497.0 | 1448.0 | 2115.0 | 2592.0 | 3056.0 |
| 2026-02-08 | 1026.0 | 92.0 | 151.0 | 252.0 | 524.0 | 1786.0 | 2720.0 | 3403.0 | 4072.0 |
| 2026-02-15 | 1236.0 | 77.0 | 138.0 | 250.0 | 581.0 | 2278.0 | 3598.0 | 4576.0 | 5544.0 |
| 2026-02-22 | 1465.0 | 60.0 | 118.0 | 237.0 | 624.0 | 2880.0 | 4734.0 | 6131.0 | 7525.0 |
| 2026-03-01 | 1640.0 | 53.0 | 111.0 | 235.0 | 663.0 | 3334.0 | 5593.0 | 7308.0 | 9026.0 |
| 2026-03-08 | 1803.0 | 57.0 | 119.0 | 254.0 | 725.0 | 3681.0 | 6190.0 | 8097.0 | 10009.0 |
| 2026-03-15 | 1944.0 | 69.0 | 142.0 | 292.0 | 803.0 | 3897.0 | 6483.0 | 8440.0 | 10398.0 |
| 2026-03-22 | 1970.0 | 66.0 | 137.0 | 287.0 | 803.0 | 3986.0 | 6667.0 | 8701.0 | 10737.0 |
| 2026-03-29 | 1889.0 | 81.0 | 158.0 | 313.0 | 813.0 | 3688.0 | 6038.0 | 7805.0 | 9566.0 |
| 2026-04-05 | 2067.0 | 90.0 | 175.0 | 345.0 | 893.0 | 4028.0 | 6586.0 | 8508.0 | 10424.0 |
| 2026-04-12 | 2021.0 | 105.0 | 195.0 | 370.0 | 909.0 | 3835.0 | 6169.0 | 7912.0 | 9644.0 |
| 2026-04-19 | 1908.0 | 100.0 | 187.0 | 352.0 | 861.0 | 3611.0 | 5801.0 | 7435.0 | 9058.0 |
| 2026-04-26 | 1851.0 | 141.0 | 241.0 | 416.0 | 911.0 | 3307.0 | 5124.0 | 6459.0 | 7775.0 |
| 2026-05-03 | 1808.0 | 149.0 | 249.0 | 423.0 | 905.0 | 3189.0 | 4903.0 | 6158.0 | 7393.0 |
| 2026-05-10 | 1748.0 | 152.0 | 251.0 | 422.0 | 886.0 | 3056.0 | 4671.0 | 5851.0 | 7010.0 |
| 2026-05-17 | 1547.0 | 132.0 | 219.0 | 370.0 | 782.0 | 2713.0 | 4154.0 | 5208.0 | 6244.0 |
| 2026-05-24 | 1318.0 | 111.0 | 185.0 | 312.0 | 664.0 | 2318.0 | 3555.0 | 4460.0 | 5349.0 |
| 2026-05-31 | 1108.0 | 84.0 | 144.0 | 249.0 | 545.0 | 1980.0 | 3067.0 | 3867.0 | 4654.0 |
| 2026-06-07 | 1038.0 | 97.0 | 158.0 | 261.0 | 536.0 | 1793.0 | 2719.0 | 3393.0 | 4054.0 |
| 2026-06-14 | 844.0 | 76.0 | 125.0 | 208.0 | 433.0 | 1466.0 | 2231.0 | 2789.0 | 3336.0 |
| 2026-06-21 | 652.0 | 54.0 | 90.0 | 154.0 | 328.0 | 1149.0 | 1764.0 | 2214.0 | 2656.0 |
| 2026-06-28 | 608.0 | 63.0 | 100.0 | 161.0 | 322.0 | 1031.0 | 1546.0 | 1919.0 | 2284.0 |
| 2026-07-05 | 594.0 | 56.0 | 91.0 | 150.0 | 308.0 | 1025.0 | 1553.0 | 1937.0 | 2314.0 |
| 2026-07-12 | 551.0 | 48.0 | 80.0 | 134.0 | 280.0 | 961.0 | 1466.0 | 1836.0 | 2198.0 |
| 2026-07-19 | 477.0 | 39.0 | 66.0 | 112.0 | 239.0 | 841.0 | 1291.0 | 1621.0 | 1945.0 |
| 2026-07-26 | 406.0 | 44.0 | 69.0 | 110.0 | 217.0 | 685.0 | 1022.0 | 1266.0 | 1505.0 |
| 2026-08-02 | 381.0 | 45.0 | 70.0 | 109.0 | 209.0 | 630.0 | 930.0 | 1145.0 | 1355.0 |
| 2026-08-09 | 339.0 | 47.0 | 70.0 | 106.0 | 193.0 | 546.0 | 791.0 | 965.0 | 1134.0 |
| 2026-08-16 | 297.0 | 44.0 | 64.0 | 96.0 | 171.0 | 473.0 | 679.0 | 826.0 | 969.0 |
| 2026-08-23 | 268.0 | 46.0 | 65.0 | 93.0 | 160.0 | 416.0 | 588.0 | 710.0 | 827.0 |
| 2026-08-30 | 249.0 | 36.0 | 53.0 | 79.0 | 143.0 | 398.0 | 573.0 | 697.0 | 818.0 |
| 2026-09-06 | 229.0 | 31.0 | 46.0 | 71.0 | 130.0 | 371.0 | 539.0 | 659.0 | 775.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 223.0 | 36.0 | 52.0 | 76.0 | 132.0 | 349.0 | 495.0 | 599.0 | 699.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 208.0 | 37.0 | 52.0 | 75.0 | 126.0 | 320.0 | 449.0 | 539.0 | 626.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 204.0 | 46.0 | 62.0 | 84.0 | 131.0 | 299.0 | 407.0 | 481.0 | 552.0 |
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Confidence Interval
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Interval Bounds
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