Prediction 4510
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Espírito Santo |
Description:
Forecast (Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model). Authored by Tijs W. Alleman & Ana I. Bento.
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | 110.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 26.0 | 306.0 | 610.0 | 858.0 | 1115.0 |
| 2025-10-12 | 126.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 32.0 | 337.0 | 659.0 | 920.0 | 1189.0 |
| 2025-10-19 | 125.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 32.0 | 338.0 | 664.0 | 927.0 | 1200.0 |
| 2025-10-26 | 134.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 37.0 | 344.0 | 659.0 | 912.0 | 1172.0 |
| 2025-11-02 | 159.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 44.0 | 408.0 | 778.0 | 1074.0 | 1379.0 |
| 2025-11-09 | 155.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 44.0 | 391.0 | 742.0 | 1021.0 | 1309.0 |
| 2025-11-16 | 183.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 50.0 | 474.0 | 910.0 | 1260.0 | 1621.0 |
| 2025-11-23 | 220.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 13.0 | 62.0 | 558.0 | 1061.0 | 1462.0 | 1875.0 |
| 2025-11-30 | 249.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 12.0 | 65.0 | 660.0 | 1287.0 | 1793.0 | 2315.0 |
| 2025-12-07 | 274.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 13.0 | 70.0 | 735.0 | 1441.0 | 2012.0 | 2602.0 |
| 2025-12-14 | 284.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 14.0 | 73.0 | 761.0 | 1490.0 | 2079.0 | 2687.0 |
| 2025-12-21 | 308.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 19.0 | 87.0 | 779.0 | 1478.0 | 2036.0 | 2609.0 |
| 2025-12-28 | 67.0 | 12.0 | 17.0 | 24.0 | 41.0 | 102.0 | 142.0 | 170.0 | 198.0 |
| 2026-01-04 | 253.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 46.0 | 822.0 | 1779.0 | 2582.0 | 3427.0 |
| 2026-01-11 | 382.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 16.0 | 93.0 | 1056.0 | 2103.0 | 2954.0 | 3836.0 |
| 2026-01-18 | 395.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 79.0 | 1218.0 | 2567.0 | 3688.0 | 4862.0 |
| 2026-01-25 | 406.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 77.0 | 1291.0 | 2763.0 | 3994.0 | 5285.0 |
| 2026-02-01 | 423.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 73.0 | 1416.0 | 3110.0 | 4541.0 | 6051.0 |
| 2026-02-08 | 450.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 70.0 | 1594.0 | 3600.0 | 5315.0 | 7130.0 |
| 2026-02-15 | 499.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 76.0 | 1803.0 | 4110.0 | 6087.0 | 8184.0 |
| 2026-02-22 | 542.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 75.0 | 2065.0 | 4829.0 | 7223.0 | 9774.0 |
| 2026-03-01 | 603.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 81.0 | 2327.0 | 5479.0 | 8215.0 | 11134.0 |
| 2026-03-08 | 643.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 88.0 | 2456.0 | 5754.0 | 8611.0 | 11657.0 |
| 2026-03-15 | 683.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 94.0 | 2594.0 | 6060.0 | 9061.0 | 12257.0 |
| 2026-03-22 | 663.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 94.0 | 2480.0 | 5751.0 | 8575.0 | 11579.0 |
| 2026-03-29 | 716.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 13.0 | 124.0 | 2406.0 | 5292.0 | 7733.0 | 10306.0 |
| 2026-04-05 | 672.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 106.0 | 2378.0 | 5366.0 | 7917.0 | 10619.0 |
| 2026-04-12 | 646.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 109.0 | 2201.0 | 4873.0 | 7139.0 | 9531.0 |
| 2026-04-19 | 627.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 12.0 | 110.0 | 2094.0 | 4591.0 | 6699.0 | 8922.0 |
| 2026-04-26 | 603.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 13.0 | 112.0 | 1949.0 | 4206.0 | 6100.0 | 8090.0 |
| 2026-05-03 | 587.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 13.0 | 108.0 | 1906.0 | 4121.0 | 5982.0 | 7938.0 |
| 2026-05-10 | 589.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 13.0 | 109.0 | 1908.0 | 4120.0 | 5978.0 | 7930.0 |
| 2026-05-17 | 528.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 97.0 | 1711.0 | 3697.0 | 5364.0 | 7117.0 |
| 2026-05-24 | 465.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 89.0 | 1477.0 | 3159.0 | 4566.0 | 6042.0 |
| 2026-05-31 | 427.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 83.0 | 1340.0 | 2848.0 | 4107.0 | 5427.0 |
| 2026-06-07 | 379.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 67.0 | 1253.0 | 2737.0 | 3988.0 | 5305.0 |
| 2026-06-14 | 365.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 75.0 | 1110.0 | 2320.0 | 3324.0 | 4373.0 |
| 2026-06-21 | 300.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 56.0 | 967.0 | 2084.0 | 3020.0 | 4003.0 |
| 2026-06-28 | 274.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 52.0 | 870.0 | 1861.0 | 2689.0 | 3559.0 |
| 2026-07-05 | 241.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 45.0 | 769.0 | 1649.0 | 2385.0 | 3159.0 |
| 2026-07-12 | 207.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 42.0 | 633.0 | 1327.0 | 1902.0 | 2504.0 |
| 2026-07-19 | 184.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 41.0 | 535.0 | 1096.0 | 1557.0 | 2037.0 |
| 2026-07-26 | 173.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 39.0 | 498.0 | 1012.0 | 1434.0 | 1872.0 |
| 2026-08-02 | 164.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 39.0 | 462.0 | 930.0 | 1311.0 | 1707.0 |
| 2026-08-09 | 148.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 36.0 | 409.0 | 815.0 | 1145.0 | 1487.0 |
| 2026-08-16 | 137.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 36.0 | 361.0 | 701.0 | 975.0 | 1258.0 |
| 2026-08-23 | 125.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 31.0 | 341.0 | 676.0 | 947.0 | 1227.0 |
| 2026-08-30 | 114.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 30.0 | 302.0 | 586.0 | 816.0 | 1052.0 |
| 2026-09-06 | 105.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 26.0 | 285.0 | 562.0 | 786.0 | 1018.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 122.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 31.0 | 330.0 | 648.0 | 905.0 | 1171.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 115.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 28.0 | 314.0 | 621.0 | 871.0 | 1129.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 108.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 26.0 | 304.0 | 611.0 | 861.0 | 1120.0 |
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