Prediction 4511
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Goiás |
Description:
Forecast (Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model). Authored by Tijs W. Alleman & Ana I. Bento.
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | 477.0 | 208.0 | 242.0 | 284.0 | 367.0 | 606.0 | 740.0 | 829.0 | 911.0 |
| 2025-10-12 | 526.0 | 258.0 | 293.0 | 337.0 | 419.0 | 650.0 | 775.0 | 858.0 | 934.0 |
| 2025-10-19 | 520.0 | 255.0 | 289.0 | 333.0 | 414.0 | 642.0 | 766.0 | 847.0 | 922.0 |
| 2025-10-26 | 521.0 | 206.0 | 244.0 | 293.0 | 390.0 | 679.0 | 846.0 | 957.0 | 1060.0 |
| 2025-11-02 | 620.0 | 252.0 | 297.0 | 354.0 | 468.0 | 802.0 | 993.0 | 1121.0 | 1239.0 |
| 2025-11-09 | 672.0 | 251.0 | 301.0 | 366.0 | 495.0 | 887.0 | 1115.0 | 1267.0 | 1410.0 |
| 2025-11-16 | 780.0 | 253.0 | 312.0 | 390.0 | 552.0 | 1063.0 | 1370.0 | 1578.0 | 1773.0 |
| 2025-11-23 | 844.0 | 237.0 | 301.0 | 389.0 | 574.0 | 1187.0 | 1565.0 | 1824.0 | 2069.0 |
| 2025-11-30 | 959.0 | 263.0 | 335.0 | 436.0 | 648.0 | 1357.0 | 1795.0 | 2096.0 | 2381.0 |
| 2025-12-07 | 939.0 | 283.0 | 354.0 | 450.0 | 651.0 | 1301.0 | 1696.0 | 1965.0 | 2220.0 |
| 2025-12-14 | 758.0 | 216.0 | 273.0 | 352.0 | 518.0 | 1064.0 | 1400.0 | 1629.0 | 1846.0 |
| 2025-12-21 | 755.0 | 162.0 | 218.0 | 299.0 | 479.0 | 1122.0 | 1538.0 | 1828.0 | 2105.0 |
| 2025-12-28 | 380.0 | 8.0 | 18.0 | 43.0 | 139.0 | 822.0 | 1430.0 | 1899.0 | 2372.0 |
| 2026-01-04 | 1778.0 | 304.0 | 429.0 | 619.0 | 1063.0 | 2765.0 | 3910.0 | 4719.0 | 5499.0 |
| 2026-01-11 | 2103.0 | 362.0 | 510.0 | 734.0 | 1259.0 | 3266.0 | 4614.0 | 5567.0 | 6486.0 |
| 2026-01-18 | 2435.0 | 404.0 | 575.0 | 834.0 | 1445.0 | 3807.0 | 5404.0 | 6535.0 | 7626.0 |
| 2026-01-25 | 2788.0 | 423.0 | 614.0 | 909.0 | 1617.0 | 4430.0 | 6359.0 | 7731.0 | 9059.0 |
| 2026-02-01 | 3313.0 | 436.0 | 654.0 | 999.0 | 1856.0 | 5403.0 | 7889.0 | 9672.0 | 11404.0 |
| 2026-02-08 | 3405.0 | 454.0 | 678.0 | 1033.0 | 1913.0 | 5539.0 | 8077.0 | 9895.0 | 11661.0 |
| 2026-02-15 | 3539.0 | 384.0 | 601.0 | 960.0 | 1891.0 | 5968.0 | 8912.0 | 11041.0 | 13121.0 |
| 2026-02-22 | 3648.0 | 330.0 | 539.0 | 897.0 | 1866.0 | 6342.0 | 9659.0 | 12078.0 | 14453.0 |
| 2026-03-01 | 3859.0 | 338.0 | 556.0 | 932.0 | 1959.0 | 6746.0 | 10308.0 | 12912.0 | 15468.0 |
| 2026-03-08 | 3929.0 | 378.0 | 609.0 | 999.0 | 2040.0 | 6761.0 | 10228.0 | 12751.0 | 15222.0 |
| 2026-03-15 | 4130.0 | 419.0 | 666.0 | 1080.0 | 2171.0 | 7044.0 | 10595.0 | 13173.0 | 15695.0 |
| 2026-03-22 | 4092.0 | 454.0 | 708.0 | 1124.0 | 2199.0 | 6875.0 | 10238.0 | 12670.0 | 15043.0 |
| 2026-03-29 | 3879.0 | 487.0 | 737.0 | 1139.0 | 2147.0 | 6379.0 | 9368.0 | 11516.0 | 13606.0 |
| 2026-04-05 | 4148.0 | 457.0 | 713.0 | 1135.0 | 2225.0 | 6976.0 | 10398.0 | 12872.0 | 15287.0 |
| 2026-04-12 | 4020.0 | 484.0 | 740.0 | 1154.0 | 2203.0 | 6659.0 | 9827.0 | 12107.0 | 14329.0 |
| 2026-04-19 | 3913.0 | 458.0 | 705.0 | 1106.0 | 2130.0 | 6514.0 | 9644.0 | 11900.0 | 14100.0 |
| 2026-04-26 | 3914.0 | 480.0 | 731.0 | 1135.0 | 2155.0 | 6462.0 | 9514.0 | 11710.0 | 13847.0 |
| 2026-05-03 | 3917.0 | 517.0 | 775.0 | 1183.0 | 2195.0 | 6384.0 | 9319.0 | 11423.0 | 13467.0 |
| 2026-05-10 | 3598.0 | 477.0 | 714.0 | 1089.0 | 2018.0 | 5859.0 | 8548.0 | 10475.0 | 12347.0 |
| 2026-05-17 | 3093.0 | 438.0 | 645.0 | 970.0 | 1763.0 | 4979.0 | 7209.0 | 8802.0 | 10346.0 |
| 2026-05-24 | 2473.0 | 355.0 | 522.0 | 782.0 | 1415.0 | 3971.0 | 5739.0 | 7000.0 | 8223.0 |
| 2026-05-31 | 1925.0 | 243.0 | 367.0 | 567.0 | 1067.0 | 3162.0 | 4641.0 | 5703.0 | 6736.0 |
| 2026-06-07 | 1811.0 | 282.0 | 407.0 | 598.0 | 1057.0 | 2865.0 | 4099.0 | 4976.0 | 5825.0 |
| 2026-06-14 | 1530.0 | 256.0 | 363.0 | 526.0 | 909.0 | 2388.0 | 3386.0 | 4093.0 | 4774.0 |
| 2026-06-21 | 1248.0 | 248.0 | 339.0 | 473.0 | 775.0 | 1884.0 | 2611.0 | 3120.0 | 3609.0 |
| 2026-06-28 | 959.0 | 180.0 | 249.0 | 352.0 | 587.0 | 1464.0 | 2044.0 | 2452.0 | 2844.0 |
| 2026-07-05 | 807.0 | 173.0 | 232.0 | 319.0 | 511.0 | 1200.0 | 1646.0 | 1957.0 | 2255.0 |
| 2026-07-12 | 675.0 | 166.0 | 217.0 | 288.0 | 443.0 | 976.0 | 1313.0 | 1546.0 | 1767.0 |
| 2026-07-19 | 586.0 | 154.0 | 198.0 | 260.0 | 392.0 | 835.0 | 1112.0 | 1302.0 | 1482.0 |
| 2026-07-26 | 505.0 | 140.0 | 178.0 | 231.0 | 342.0 | 712.0 | 939.0 | 1096.0 | 1244.0 |
| 2026-08-02 | 505.0 | 151.0 | 189.0 | 241.0 | 349.0 | 701.0 | 915.0 | 1061.0 | 1199.0 |
| 2026-08-09 | 459.0 | 156.0 | 190.0 | 236.0 | 329.0 | 619.0 | 791.0 | 908.0 | 1017.0 |
| 2026-08-16 | 467.0 | 165.0 | 200.0 | 246.0 | 339.0 | 624.0 | 791.0 | 904.0 | 1010.0 |
| 2026-08-23 | 424.0 | 154.0 | 185.0 | 227.0 | 310.0 | 563.0 | 711.0 | 810.0 | 903.0 |
| 2026-08-30 | 396.0 | 127.0 | 157.0 | 197.0 | 280.0 | 542.0 | 699.0 | 805.0 | 905.0 |
| 2026-09-06 | 395.0 | 123.0 | 153.0 | 193.0 | 277.0 | 543.0 | 704.0 | 814.0 | 917.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 432.0 | 150.0 | 182.0 | 225.0 | 311.0 | 580.0 | 738.0 | 845.0 | 945.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 443.0 | 155.0 | 188.0 | 232.0 | 320.0 | 593.0 | 753.0 | 861.0 | 962.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 443.0 | 174.0 | 206.0 | 248.0 | 331.0 | 578.0 | 720.0 | 815.0 | 903.0 |
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