Prediction 4512
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Maranhão |
Description:
Forecast (Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model). Authored by Tijs W. Alleman & Ana I. Bento.
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | 25.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 41.0 | 59.0 | 72.0 | 85.0 |
| 2025-10-12 | 26.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 44.0 | 66.0 | 82.0 | 97.0 |
| 2025-10-19 | 21.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 33.0 | 48.0 | 58.0 | 68.0 |
| 2025-10-26 | 27.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 17.0 | 42.0 | 58.0 | 69.0 | 80.0 |
| 2025-11-02 | 27.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 17.0 | 40.0 | 55.0 | 65.0 | 75.0 |
| 2025-11-09 | 27.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 46.0 | 69.0 | 85.0 | 101.0 |
| 2025-11-16 | 30.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 17.0 | 46.0 | 65.0 | 79.0 | 92.0 |
| 2025-11-23 | 30.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 16.0 | 50.0 | 74.0 | 91.0 | 107.0 |
| 2025-11-30 | 34.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 17.0 | 60.0 | 93.0 | 116.0 | 139.0 |
| 2025-12-07 | 29.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 14.0 | 52.0 | 79.0 | 99.0 | 119.0 |
| 2025-12-14 | 22.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 45.0 | 75.0 | 97.0 | 120.0 |
| 2025-12-21 | 27.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | 49.0 | 77.0 | 98.0 | 118.0 |
| 2025-12-28 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 24.0 | 95.0 | 170.0 | 258.0 |
| 2026-01-04 | 56.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 14.0 | 29.0 | 95.0 | 143.0 | 177.0 | 211.0 |
| 2026-01-11 | 88.0 | 8.0 | 13.0 | 22.0 | 45.0 | 150.0 | 227.0 | 283.0 | 338.0 |
| 2026-01-18 | 104.0 | 8.0 | 14.0 | 24.0 | 52.0 | 184.0 | 283.0 | 355.0 | 426.0 |
| 2026-01-25 | 108.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 19.0 | 48.0 | 204.0 | 328.0 | 421.0 | 512.0 |
| 2026-02-01 | 127.0 | 8.0 | 14.0 | 26.0 | 60.0 | 231.0 | 363.0 | 461.0 | 557.0 |
| 2026-02-08 | 160.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 28.0 | 71.0 | 308.0 | 498.0 | 641.0 | 783.0 |
| 2026-02-15 | 202.0 | 11.0 | 21.0 | 39.0 | 93.0 | 379.0 | 603.0 | 771.0 | 936.0 |
| 2026-02-22 | 216.0 | 13.0 | 23.0 | 42.0 | 100.0 | 401.0 | 635.0 | 810.0 | 982.0 |
| 2026-03-01 | 243.0 | 10.0 | 20.0 | 40.0 | 104.0 | 475.0 | 777.0 | 1005.0 | 1232.0 |
| 2026-03-08 | 243.0 | 11.0 | 22.0 | 42.0 | 107.0 | 469.0 | 761.0 | 979.0 | 1197.0 |
| 2026-03-15 | 243.0 | 14.0 | 26.0 | 48.0 | 113.0 | 451.0 | 714.0 | 909.0 | 1102.0 |
| 2026-03-22 | 233.0 | 11.0 | 21.0 | 41.0 | 104.0 | 445.0 | 718.0 | 923.0 | 1126.0 |
| 2026-03-29 | 214.0 | 9.0 | 18.0 | 36.0 | 93.0 | 415.0 | 676.0 | 872.0 | 1068.0 |
| 2026-04-05 | 222.0 | 13.0 | 24.0 | 44.0 | 103.0 | 412.0 | 654.0 | 833.0 | 1010.0 |
| 2026-04-12 | 212.0 | 14.0 | 24.0 | 44.0 | 101.0 | 387.0 | 608.0 | 772.0 | 933.0 |
| 2026-04-19 | 227.0 | 14.0 | 26.0 | 46.0 | 107.0 | 418.0 | 658.0 | 836.0 | 1012.0 |
| 2026-04-26 | 211.0 | 21.0 | 33.0 | 55.0 | 111.0 | 362.0 | 545.0 | 678.0 | 808.0 |
| 2026-05-03 | 190.0 | 25.0 | 38.0 | 58.0 | 107.0 | 308.0 | 448.0 | 548.0 | 645.0 |
| 2026-05-10 | 169.0 | 29.0 | 42.0 | 60.0 | 102.0 | 261.0 | 368.0 | 443.0 | 515.0 |
| 2026-05-17 | 156.0 | 26.0 | 37.0 | 54.0 | 93.0 | 243.0 | 344.0 | 415.0 | 484.0 |
| 2026-05-24 | 129.0 | 21.0 | 30.0 | 44.0 | 76.0 | 201.0 | 286.0 | 345.0 | 403.0 |
| 2026-05-31 | 101.0 | 10.0 | 16.0 | 26.0 | 53.0 | 173.0 | 261.0 | 324.0 | 387.0 |
| 2026-06-07 | 101.0 | 14.0 | 21.0 | 32.0 | 58.0 | 162.0 | 233.0 | 284.0 | 333.0 |
| 2026-06-14 | 93.0 | 15.0 | 21.0 | 31.0 | 55.0 | 146.0 | 207.0 | 251.0 | 293.0 |
| 2026-06-21 | 80.0 | 11.0 | 17.0 | 25.0 | 46.0 | 128.0 | 185.0 | 226.0 | 265.0 |
| 2026-06-28 | 69.0 | 9.0 | 14.0 | 21.0 | 39.0 | 111.0 | 162.0 | 197.0 | 232.0 |
| 2026-07-05 | 65.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 19.0 | 36.0 | 106.0 | 156.0 | 192.0 | 226.0 |
| 2026-07-12 | 59.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 15.0 | 31.0 | 101.0 | 151.0 | 188.0 | 224.0 |
| 2026-07-19 | 55.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 14.0 | 29.0 | 94.0 | 140.0 | 174.0 | 207.0 |
| 2026-07-26 | 49.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | 24.0 | 88.0 | 135.0 | 170.0 | 204.0 |
| 2026-08-02 | 55.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 25.0 | 102.0 | 163.0 | 208.0 | 253.0 |
| 2026-08-09 | 58.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 26.0 | 111.0 | 179.0 | 229.0 | 280.0 |
| 2026-08-16 | 58.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | 26.0 | 109.0 | 173.0 | 221.0 | 269.0 |
| 2026-08-23 | 50.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 21.0 | 98.0 | 161.0 | 208.0 | 255.0 |
| 2026-08-30 | 42.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 20.0 | 77.0 | 121.0 | 153.0 | 186.0 |
| 2026-09-06 | 42.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 21.0 | 75.0 | 114.0 | 144.0 | 172.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 40.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 22.0 | 65.0 | 96.0 | 118.0 | 139.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 37.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 21.0 | 59.0 | 86.0 | 105.0 | 123.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 24.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | 43.0 | 67.0 | 84.0 | 101.0 |
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Interval Bounds
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