Prediction 4513
Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline |
---|---|
Author | Bento Lab |
ADM 1 | Minas Gerais |
Description:
Forecast (Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model). Authored by Tijs W. Alleman & Ana I. Bento.
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025-10-05 | 237.0 | 23.0 | 38.0 | 62.0 | 124.0 | 404.0 | 608.0 | 756.0 | 900.0 |
2025-10-12 | 283.0 | 32.0 | 50.0 | 79.0 | 153.0 | 472.0 | 700.0 | 864.0 | 1025.0 |
2025-10-19 | 297.0 | 27.0 | 45.0 | 74.0 | 153.0 | 514.0 | 780.0 | 973.0 | 1163.0 |
2025-10-26 | 319.0 | 29.0 | 47.0 | 78.0 | 163.0 | 554.0 | 843.0 | 1053.0 | 1260.0 |
2025-11-02 | 387.0 | 23.0 | 42.0 | 77.0 | 180.0 | 717.0 | 1135.0 | 1446.0 | 1754.0 |
2025-11-09 | 411.0 | 21.0 | 40.0 | 76.0 | 186.0 | 777.0 | 1248.0 | 1598.0 | 1947.0 |
2025-11-16 | 550.0 | 25.0 | 49.0 | 95.0 | 242.0 | 1060.0 | 1721.0 | 2217.0 | 2710.0 |
2025-11-23 | 608.0 | 22.0 | 46.0 | 94.0 | 254.0 | 1212.0 | 2008.0 | 2609.0 | 3210.0 |
2025-11-30 | 728.0 | 30.0 | 59.0 | 118.0 | 310.0 | 1432.0 | 2353.0 | 3047.0 | 3740.0 |
2025-12-07 | 805.0 | 28.0 | 58.0 | 120.0 | 332.0 | 1618.0 | 2695.0 | 3510.0 | 4326.0 |
2025-12-14 | 775.0 | 27.0 | 56.0 | 116.0 | 320.0 | 1554.0 | 2585.0 | 3366.0 | 4147.0 |
2025-12-21 | 820.0 | 11.0 | 28.0 | 73.0 | 272.0 | 1887.0 | 3400.0 | 4583.0 | 5785.0 |
2025-12-28 | 200.0 | 68.0 | 83.0 | 103.0 | 144.0 | 270.0 | 344.0 | 394.0 | 441.0 |
2026-01-04 | 1832.0 | 26.0 | 67.0 | 172.0 | 619.0 | 4167.0 | 7459.0 | 10027.0 | 12633.0 |
2026-01-11 | 2420.0 | 38.0 | 94.0 | 237.0 | 834.0 | 5443.0 | 9682.0 | 12978.0 | 16321.0 |
2026-01-18 | 3043.0 | 34.0 | 92.0 | 250.0 | 973.0 | 7161.0 | 13068.0 | 17708.0 | 22437.0 |
2026-01-25 | 3746.0 | 24.0 | 75.0 | 233.0 | 1066.0 | 9456.0 | 17932.0 | 24695.0 | 31638.0 |
2026-02-01 | 4570.0 | 20.0 | 67.0 | 229.0 | 1190.0 | 12159.0 | 23721.0 | 33048.0 | 42676.0 |
2026-02-08 | 5185.0 | 18.0 | 64.0 | 230.0 | 1281.0 | 14219.0 | 28191.0 | 39535.0 | 51278.0 |
2026-02-15 | 6043.0 | 18.0 | 66.0 | 247.0 | 1443.0 | 16907.0 | 33873.0 | 47705.0 | 62050.0 |
2026-02-22 | 6933.0 | 14.0 | 59.0 | 238.0 | 1541.0 | 20212.0 | 41374.0 | 58772.0 | 76886.0 |
2026-03-01 | 7671.0 | 20.0 | 76.0 | 294.0 | 1784.0 | 21792.0 | 44010.0 | 62181.0 | 81055.0 |
2026-03-08 | 8363.0 | 30.0 | 106.0 | 377.0 | 2082.0 | 22839.0 | 45179.0 | 63302.0 | 82055.0 |
2026-03-15 | 9247.0 | 40.0 | 136.0 | 462.0 | 2403.0 | 24628.0 | 48075.0 | 66995.0 | 86524.0 |
2026-03-22 | 9600.0 | 44.0 | 147.0 | 494.0 | 2524.0 | 25394.0 | 49388.0 | 68722.0 | 88666.0 |
2026-03-29 | 9245.0 | 67.0 | 200.0 | 603.0 | 2684.0 | 23064.0 | 43460.0 | 59690.0 | 76334.0 |
2026-04-05 | 10156.0 | 83.0 | 241.0 | 705.0 | 3028.0 | 24942.0 | 46596.0 | 63770.0 | 81351.0 |
2026-04-12 | 10105.0 | 100.0 | 277.0 | 776.0 | 3142.0 | 24198.0 | 44580.0 | 60655.0 | 77068.0 |
2026-04-19 | 9284.0 | 127.0 | 327.0 | 847.0 | 3103.0 | 21275.0 | 38243.0 | 51495.0 | 64961.0 |
2026-04-26 | 8656.0 | 139.0 | 343.0 | 856.0 | 2994.0 | 19422.0 | 34499.0 | 46218.0 | 58098.0 |
2026-05-03 | 7813.0 | 132.0 | 322.0 | 794.0 | 2734.0 | 17408.0 | 30796.0 | 41186.0 | 51711.0 |
2026-05-10 | 6713.0 | 114.0 | 278.0 | 685.0 | 2352.0 | 14941.0 | 26418.0 | 35323.0 | 44342.0 |
2026-05-17 | 5370.0 | 92.0 | 225.0 | 551.0 | 1887.0 | 11933.0 | 21079.0 | 28172.0 | 35355.0 |
2026-05-24 | 3944.0 | 63.0 | 157.0 | 391.0 | 1365.0 | 8846.0 | 15710.0 | 21044.0 | 26452.0 |
2026-05-31 | 2754.0 | 50.0 | 120.0 | 291.0 | 979.0 | 6075.0 | 10687.0 | 14257.0 | 17870.0 |
2026-06-07 | 2198.0 | 55.0 | 123.0 | 276.0 | 841.0 | 4629.0 | 7929.0 | 10456.0 | 13000.0 |
2026-06-14 | 1635.0 | 52.0 | 110.0 | 232.0 | 659.0 | 3329.0 | 5590.0 | 7308.0 | 9030.0 |
2026-06-21 | 1164.0 | 46.0 | 92.0 | 185.0 | 492.0 | 2299.0 | 3790.0 | 4914.0 | 6036.0 |
2026-06-28 | 863.0 | 42.0 | 80.0 | 153.0 | 383.0 | 1651.0 | 2670.0 | 3432.0 | 4189.0 |
2026-07-05 | 656.0 | 36.0 | 67.0 | 125.0 | 300.0 | 1232.0 | 1967.0 | 2515.0 | 3058.0 |
2026-07-12 | 499.0 | 43.0 | 72.0 | 121.0 | 254.0 | 872.0 | 1332.0 | 1667.0 | 1997.0 |
2026-07-19 | 393.0 | 36.0 | 59.0 | 98.0 | 202.0 | 681.0 | 1034.0 | 1291.0 | 1543.0 |
2026-07-26 | 318.0 | 35.0 | 55.0 | 88.0 | 171.0 | 532.0 | 791.0 | 978.0 | 1160.0 |
2026-08-02 | 278.0 | 32.0 | 49.0 | 78.0 | 151.0 | 464.0 | 688.0 | 849.0 | 1006.0 |
2026-08-09 | 248.0 | 30.0 | 46.0 | 72.0 | 137.0 | 408.0 | 599.0 | 736.0 | 870.0 |
2026-08-16 | 234.0 | 31.0 | 47.0 | 71.0 | 132.0 | 380.0 | 554.0 | 678.0 | 798.0 |
2026-08-23 | 226.0 | 28.0 | 43.0 | 66.0 | 125.0 | 371.0 | 544.0 | 669.0 | 790.0 |
2026-08-30 | 198.0 | 26.0 | 39.0 | 60.0 | 111.0 | 323.0 | 471.0 | 577.0 | 680.0 |
2026-09-06 | 209.0 | 31.0 | 45.0 | 67.0 | 120.0 | 332.0 | 478.0 | 581.0 | 682.0 |
2026-09-13 | 236.0 | 33.0 | 49.0 | 74.0 | 134.0 | 378.0 | 547.0 | 668.0 | 784.0 |
2026-09-20 | 235.0 | 29.0 | 44.0 | 68.0 | 130.0 | 388.0 | 571.0 | 702.0 | 830.0 |
2026-09-27 | 234.0 | 33.0 | 49.0 | 73.0 | 134.0 | 377.0 | 545.0 | 665.0 | 782.0 |