Prediction 4513

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Spatio-Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1

Model Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline
Author Bento Lab
ADM 1 Minas Gerais

Description:

Forecast (Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model). Authored by Tijs W. Alleman & Ana I. Bento.


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2025-10-05 237.0 23.0 38.0 62.0 124.0 404.0 608.0 756.0 900.0
2025-10-12 283.0 32.0 50.0 79.0 153.0 472.0 700.0 864.0 1025.0
2025-10-19 297.0 27.0 45.0 74.0 153.0 514.0 780.0 973.0 1163.0
2025-10-26 319.0 29.0 47.0 78.0 163.0 554.0 843.0 1053.0 1260.0
2025-11-02 387.0 23.0 42.0 77.0 180.0 717.0 1135.0 1446.0 1754.0
2025-11-09 411.0 21.0 40.0 76.0 186.0 777.0 1248.0 1598.0 1947.0
2025-11-16 550.0 25.0 49.0 95.0 242.0 1060.0 1721.0 2217.0 2710.0
2025-11-23 608.0 22.0 46.0 94.0 254.0 1212.0 2008.0 2609.0 3210.0
2025-11-30 728.0 30.0 59.0 118.0 310.0 1432.0 2353.0 3047.0 3740.0
2025-12-07 805.0 28.0 58.0 120.0 332.0 1618.0 2695.0 3510.0 4326.0
2025-12-14 775.0 27.0 56.0 116.0 320.0 1554.0 2585.0 3366.0 4147.0
2025-12-21 820.0 11.0 28.0 73.0 272.0 1887.0 3400.0 4583.0 5785.0
2025-12-28 200.0 68.0 83.0 103.0 144.0 270.0 344.0 394.0 441.0
2026-01-04 1832.0 26.0 67.0 172.0 619.0 4167.0 7459.0 10027.0 12633.0
2026-01-11 2420.0 38.0 94.0 237.0 834.0 5443.0 9682.0 12978.0 16321.0
2026-01-18 3043.0 34.0 92.0 250.0 973.0 7161.0 13068.0 17708.0 22437.0
2026-01-25 3746.0 24.0 75.0 233.0 1066.0 9456.0 17932.0 24695.0 31638.0
2026-02-01 4570.0 20.0 67.0 229.0 1190.0 12159.0 23721.0 33048.0 42676.0
2026-02-08 5185.0 18.0 64.0 230.0 1281.0 14219.0 28191.0 39535.0 51278.0
2026-02-15 6043.0 18.0 66.0 247.0 1443.0 16907.0 33873.0 47705.0 62050.0
2026-02-22 6933.0 14.0 59.0 238.0 1541.0 20212.0 41374.0 58772.0 76886.0
2026-03-01 7671.0 20.0 76.0 294.0 1784.0 21792.0 44010.0 62181.0 81055.0
2026-03-08 8363.0 30.0 106.0 377.0 2082.0 22839.0 45179.0 63302.0 82055.0
2026-03-15 9247.0 40.0 136.0 462.0 2403.0 24628.0 48075.0 66995.0 86524.0
2026-03-22 9600.0 44.0 147.0 494.0 2524.0 25394.0 49388.0 68722.0 88666.0
2026-03-29 9245.0 67.0 200.0 603.0 2684.0 23064.0 43460.0 59690.0 76334.0
2026-04-05 10156.0 83.0 241.0 705.0 3028.0 24942.0 46596.0 63770.0 81351.0
2026-04-12 10105.0 100.0 277.0 776.0 3142.0 24198.0 44580.0 60655.0 77068.0
2026-04-19 9284.0 127.0 327.0 847.0 3103.0 21275.0 38243.0 51495.0 64961.0
2026-04-26 8656.0 139.0 343.0 856.0 2994.0 19422.0 34499.0 46218.0 58098.0
2026-05-03 7813.0 132.0 322.0 794.0 2734.0 17408.0 30796.0 41186.0 51711.0
2026-05-10 6713.0 114.0 278.0 685.0 2352.0 14941.0 26418.0 35323.0 44342.0
2026-05-17 5370.0 92.0 225.0 551.0 1887.0 11933.0 21079.0 28172.0 35355.0
2026-05-24 3944.0 63.0 157.0 391.0 1365.0 8846.0 15710.0 21044.0 26452.0
2026-05-31 2754.0 50.0 120.0 291.0 979.0 6075.0 10687.0 14257.0 17870.0
2026-06-07 2198.0 55.0 123.0 276.0 841.0 4629.0 7929.0 10456.0 13000.0
2026-06-14 1635.0 52.0 110.0 232.0 659.0 3329.0 5590.0 7308.0 9030.0
2026-06-21 1164.0 46.0 92.0 185.0 492.0 2299.0 3790.0 4914.0 6036.0
2026-06-28 863.0 42.0 80.0 153.0 383.0 1651.0 2670.0 3432.0 4189.0
2026-07-05 656.0 36.0 67.0 125.0 300.0 1232.0 1967.0 2515.0 3058.0
2026-07-12 499.0 43.0 72.0 121.0 254.0 872.0 1332.0 1667.0 1997.0
2026-07-19 393.0 36.0 59.0 98.0 202.0 681.0 1034.0 1291.0 1543.0
2026-07-26 318.0 35.0 55.0 88.0 171.0 532.0 791.0 978.0 1160.0
2026-08-02 278.0 32.0 49.0 78.0 151.0 464.0 688.0 849.0 1006.0
2026-08-09 248.0 30.0 46.0 72.0 137.0 408.0 599.0 736.0 870.0
2026-08-16 234.0 31.0 47.0 71.0 132.0 380.0 554.0 678.0 798.0
2026-08-23 226.0 28.0 43.0 66.0 125.0 371.0 544.0 669.0 790.0
2026-08-30 198.0 26.0 39.0 60.0 111.0 323.0 471.0 577.0 680.0
2026-09-06 209.0 31.0 45.0 67.0 120.0 332.0 478.0 581.0 682.0
2026-09-13 236.0 33.0 49.0 74.0 134.0 378.0 547.0 668.0 784.0
2026-09-20 235.0 29.0 44.0 68.0 130.0 388.0 571.0 702.0 830.0
2026-09-27 234.0 33.0 49.0 73.0 134.0 377.0 545.0 665.0 782.0
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