Prediction 4515
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Mato Grosso |
Description:
Forecast (Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model). Authored by Tijs W. Alleman & Ana I. Bento.
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | 86.0 | 21.0 | 28.0 | 37.0 | 57.0 | 124.0 | 165.0 | 194.0 | 222.0 |
| 2025-10-12 | 102.0 | 28.0 | 36.0 | 46.0 | 69.0 | 143.0 | 189.0 | 220.0 | 250.0 |
| 2025-10-19 | 103.0 | 24.0 | 32.0 | 43.0 | 67.0 | 150.0 | 203.0 | 239.0 | 274.0 |
| 2025-10-26 | 116.0 | 28.0 | 37.0 | 49.0 | 76.0 | 167.0 | 224.0 | 264.0 | 302.0 |
| 2025-11-02 | 148.0 | 34.0 | 45.0 | 61.0 | 96.0 | 216.0 | 293.0 | 346.0 | 397.0 |
| 2025-11-09 | 167.0 | 32.0 | 44.0 | 62.0 | 103.0 | 254.0 | 353.0 | 422.0 | 489.0 |
| 2025-11-16 | 211.0 | 33.0 | 48.0 | 71.0 | 124.0 | 332.0 | 474.0 | 574.0 | 671.0 |
| 2025-11-23 | 253.0 | 30.0 | 47.0 | 73.0 | 139.0 | 419.0 | 617.0 | 759.0 | 898.0 |
| 2025-11-30 | 295.0 | 37.0 | 56.0 | 87.0 | 163.0 | 485.0 | 712.0 | 875.0 | 1033.0 |
| 2025-12-07 | 288.0 | 38.0 | 57.0 | 87.0 | 162.0 | 469.0 | 683.0 | 837.0 | 986.0 |
| 2025-12-14 | 232.0 | 28.0 | 43.0 | 68.0 | 128.0 | 382.0 | 561.0 | 689.0 | 815.0 |
| 2025-12-21 | 231.0 | 20.0 | 34.0 | 57.0 | 118.0 | 402.0 | 613.0 | 766.0 | 916.0 |
| 2025-12-28 | 49.0 | 21.0 | 25.0 | 29.0 | 38.0 | 62.0 | 75.0 | 84.0 | 92.0 |
| 2026-01-04 | 573.0 | 37.0 | 65.0 | 118.0 | 271.0 | 1051.0 | 1656.0 | 2103.0 | 2546.0 |
| 2026-01-11 | 660.0 | 43.0 | 76.0 | 137.0 | 313.0 | 1206.0 | 1896.0 | 2406.0 | 2910.0 |
| 2026-01-18 | 725.0 | 52.0 | 90.0 | 158.0 | 352.0 | 1307.0 | 2036.0 | 2574.0 | 3104.0 |
| 2026-01-25 | 778.0 | 62.0 | 104.0 | 179.0 | 386.0 | 1379.0 | 2127.0 | 2675.0 | 3215.0 |
| 2026-02-01 | 823.0 | 77.0 | 125.0 | 206.0 | 424.0 | 1421.0 | 2156.0 | 2691.0 | 3216.0 |
| 2026-02-08 | 819.0 | 88.0 | 138.0 | 221.0 | 437.0 | 1383.0 | 2067.0 | 2561.0 | 3045.0 |
| 2026-02-15 | 834.0 | 103.0 | 157.0 | 243.0 | 460.0 | 1373.0 | 2019.0 | 2483.0 | 2934.0 |
| 2026-02-22 | 789.0 | 101.0 | 152.0 | 234.0 | 439.0 | 1291.0 | 1890.0 | 2320.0 | 2739.0 |
| 2026-03-01 | 791.0 | 107.0 | 159.0 | 242.0 | 446.0 | 1284.0 | 1869.0 | 2287.0 | 2694.0 |
| 2026-03-08 | 758.0 | 117.0 | 169.0 | 250.0 | 442.0 | 1199.0 | 1717.0 | 2084.0 | 2440.0 |
| 2026-03-15 | 768.0 | 128.0 | 182.0 | 264.0 | 457.0 | 1198.0 | 1698.0 | 2052.0 | 2394.0 |
| 2026-03-22 | 744.0 | 132.0 | 185.0 | 265.0 | 449.0 | 1147.0 | 1613.0 | 1942.0 | 2258.0 |
| 2026-03-29 | 678.0 | 124.0 | 173.0 | 245.0 | 412.0 | 1040.0 | 1457.0 | 1751.0 | 2033.0 |
| 2026-04-05 | 695.0 | 116.0 | 165.0 | 239.0 | 413.0 | 1084.0 | 1536.0 | 1857.0 | 2166.0 |
| 2026-04-12 | 713.0 | 106.0 | 155.0 | 230.0 | 412.0 | 1138.0 | 1637.0 | 1992.0 | 2336.0 |
| 2026-04-19 | 665.0 | 61.0 | 100.0 | 165.0 | 342.0 | 1151.0 | 1749.0 | 2184.0 | 2611.0 |
| 2026-04-26 | 630.0 | 58.0 | 94.0 | 156.0 | 324.0 | 1091.0 | 1658.0 | 2071.0 | 2476.0 |
| 2026-05-03 | 609.0 | 49.0 | 82.0 | 141.0 | 303.0 | 1079.0 | 1662.0 | 2089.0 | 2510.0 |
| 2026-05-10 | 575.0 | 41.0 | 72.0 | 126.0 | 279.0 | 1035.0 | 1611.0 | 2036.0 | 2454.0 |
| 2026-05-17 | 513.0 | 33.0 | 59.0 | 106.0 | 243.0 | 939.0 | 1477.0 | 1875.0 | 2268.0 |
| 2026-05-24 | 442.0 | 31.0 | 54.0 | 95.0 | 214.0 | 799.0 | 1248.0 | 1578.0 | 1904.0 |
| 2026-05-31 | 336.0 | 34.0 | 54.0 | 88.0 | 177.0 | 573.0 | 861.0 | 1071.0 | 1275.0 |
| 2026-06-07 | 308.0 | 30.0 | 49.0 | 80.0 | 161.0 | 526.0 | 791.0 | 984.0 | 1173.0 |
| 2026-06-14 | 270.0 | 27.0 | 43.0 | 70.0 | 141.0 | 461.0 | 694.0 | 863.0 | 1029.0 |
| 2026-06-21 | 246.0 | 21.0 | 35.0 | 59.0 | 125.0 | 431.0 | 657.0 | 823.0 | 986.0 |
| 2026-06-28 | 209.0 | 22.0 | 35.0 | 57.0 | 112.0 | 352.0 | 525.0 | 650.0 | 772.0 |
| 2026-07-05 | 189.0 | 18.0 | 29.0 | 48.0 | 98.0 | 324.0 | 488.0 | 608.0 | 725.0 |
| 2026-07-12 | 153.0 | 21.0 | 32.0 | 48.0 | 87.0 | 245.0 | 355.0 | 433.0 | 509.0 |
| 2026-07-19 | 130.0 | 20.0 | 29.0 | 43.0 | 76.0 | 206.0 | 295.0 | 358.0 | 419.0 |
| 2026-07-26 | 120.0 | 18.0 | 26.0 | 39.0 | 69.0 | 190.0 | 273.0 | 332.0 | 389.0 |
| 2026-08-02 | 119.0 | 20.0 | 29.0 | 41.0 | 71.0 | 184.0 | 259.0 | 313.0 | 364.0 |
| 2026-08-09 | 107.0 | 18.0 | 26.0 | 37.0 | 64.0 | 166.0 | 234.0 | 282.0 | 329.0 |
| 2026-08-16 | 106.0 | 25.0 | 33.0 | 44.0 | 69.0 | 153.0 | 207.0 | 244.0 | 279.0 |
| 2026-08-23 | 90.0 | 23.0 | 30.0 | 40.0 | 60.0 | 129.0 | 171.0 | 200.0 | 228.0 |
| 2026-08-30 | 79.0 | 23.0 | 29.0 | 37.0 | 54.0 | 110.0 | 144.0 | 167.0 | 189.0 |
| 2026-09-06 | 83.0 | 28.0 | 34.0 | 42.0 | 59.0 | 111.0 | 142.0 | 163.0 | 182.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 87.0 | 34.0 | 40.0 | 49.0 | 65.0 | 113.0 | 140.0 | 158.0 | 175.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 85.0 | 28.0 | 34.0 | 43.0 | 60.0 | 115.0 | 147.0 | 169.0 | 189.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 78.0 | 24.0 | 30.0 | 38.0 | 55.0 | 107.0 | 139.0 | 160.0 | 181.0 |
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Interval Bounds
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