Prediction 4521
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Rio de Janeiro |
Description:
Forecast (Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model). Authored by Tijs W. Alleman & Ana I. Bento.
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | 132.0 | 11.0 | 18.0 | 31.0 | 67.0 | 232.0 | 356.0 | 446.0 | 535.0 |
| 2025-10-12 | 141.0 | 11.0 | 19.0 | 33.0 | 71.0 | 249.0 | 382.0 | 480.0 | 576.0 |
| 2025-10-19 | 155.0 | 11.0 | 19.0 | 33.0 | 75.0 | 279.0 | 435.0 | 550.0 | 663.0 |
| 2025-10-26 | 158.0 | 9.0 | 17.0 | 31.0 | 73.0 | 294.0 | 468.0 | 596.0 | 723.0 |
| 2025-11-02 | 176.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 26.0 | 73.0 | 353.0 | 587.0 | 764.0 | 941.0 |
| 2025-11-09 | 189.0 | 12.0 | 22.0 | 39.0 | 90.0 | 346.0 | 544.0 | 690.0 | 835.0 |
| 2025-11-16 | 218.0 | 7.0 | 15.0 | 31.0 | 88.0 | 443.0 | 743.0 | 971.0 | 1199.0 |
| 2025-11-23 | 253.0 | 6.0 | 14.0 | 32.0 | 97.0 | 531.0 | 907.0 | 1195.0 | 1485.0 |
| 2025-11-30 | 311.0 | 6.0 | 15.0 | 35.0 | 114.0 | 670.0 | 1163.0 | 1542.0 | 1925.0 |
| 2025-12-07 | 334.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | 31.0 | 113.0 | 760.0 | 1359.0 | 1826.0 | 2301.0 |
| 2025-12-14 | 308.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | 31.0 | 108.0 | 686.0 | 1214.0 | 1623.0 | 2038.0 |
| 2025-12-21 | 295.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 16.0 | 80.0 | 768.0 | 1479.0 | 2051.0 | 2639.0 |
| 2025-12-28 | 51.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 16.0 | 122.0 | 223.0 | 303.0 | 385.0 |
| 2026-01-04 | 563.0 | 5.0 | 14.0 | 40.0 | 170.0 | 1370.0 | 2547.0 | 3479.0 | 4432.0 |
| 2026-01-11 | 655.0 | 6.0 | 18.0 | 51.0 | 205.0 | 1562.0 | 2872.0 | 3903.0 | 4956.0 |
| 2026-01-18 | 786.0 | 6.0 | 18.0 | 53.0 | 232.0 | 1942.0 | 3641.0 | 4990.0 | 6371.0 |
| 2026-01-25 | 891.0 | 5.0 | 17.0 | 55.0 | 252.0 | 2255.0 | 4284.0 | 5903.0 | 7566.0 |
| 2026-02-01 | 1022.0 | 5.0 | 17.0 | 56.0 | 277.0 | 2655.0 | 5114.0 | 7088.0 | 9121.0 |
| 2026-02-08 | 1188.0 | 3.0 | 13.0 | 49.0 | 286.0 | 3304.0 | 6600.0 | 9284.0 | 12066.0 |
| 2026-02-15 | 1383.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 43.0 | 296.0 | 4120.0 | 8526.0 | 12164.0 | 15959.0 |
| 2026-02-22 | 1561.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 42.0 | 314.0 | 4819.0 | 10158.0 | 14598.0 | 19245.0 |
| 2026-03-01 | 1679.0 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 48.0 | 346.0 | 5115.0 | 10709.0 | 15350.0 | 20200.0 |
| 2026-03-08 | 1841.0 | 4.0 | 16.0 | 66.0 | 416.0 | 5317.0 | 10832.0 | 15357.0 | 20064.0 |
| 2026-03-15 | 2047.0 | 6.0 | 22.0 | 83.0 | 488.0 | 5732.0 | 11490.0 | 16185.0 | 21054.0 |
| 2026-03-22 | 2081.0 | 7.0 | 26.0 | 93.0 | 516.0 | 5700.0 | 11291.0 | 15829.0 | 20525.0 |
| 2026-03-29 | 2061.0 | 11.0 | 35.0 | 114.0 | 559.0 | 5351.0 | 10304.0 | 14279.0 | 18372.0 |
| 2026-04-05 | 2327.0 | 12.0 | 39.0 | 127.0 | 627.0 | 6066.0 | 11705.0 | 16235.0 | 20902.0 |
| 2026-04-12 | 2266.0 | 10.0 | 35.0 | 118.0 | 599.0 | 5976.0 | 11603.0 | 16135.0 | 20807.0 |
| 2026-04-19 | 2085.0 | 11.0 | 37.0 | 119.0 | 573.0 | 5371.0 | 10298.0 | 14246.0 | 18307.0 |
| 2026-04-26 | 2017.0 | 16.0 | 48.0 | 140.0 | 601.0 | 4954.0 | 9254.0 | 12665.0 | 16156.0 |
| 2026-05-03 | 1866.0 | 18.0 | 51.0 | 142.0 | 579.0 | 4473.0 | 8247.0 | 11224.0 | 14263.0 |
| 2026-05-10 | 1789.0 | 19.0 | 52.0 | 143.0 | 566.0 | 4237.0 | 7759.0 | 10529.0 | 13354.0 |
| 2026-05-17 | 1547.0 | 21.0 | 55.0 | 142.0 | 519.0 | 3535.0 | 6344.0 | 8537.0 | 10764.0 |
| 2026-05-24 | 1226.0 | 15.0 | 40.0 | 106.0 | 402.0 | 2844.0 | 5147.0 | 6950.0 | 8785.0 |
| 2026-05-31 | 965.0 | 15.0 | 38.0 | 96.0 | 334.0 | 2165.0 | 3843.0 | 5147.0 | 6469.0 |
| 2026-06-07 | 833.0 | 15.0 | 36.0 | 88.0 | 297.0 | 1836.0 | 3227.0 | 4304.0 | 5393.0 |
| 2026-06-14 | 703.0 | 13.0 | 32.0 | 77.0 | 254.0 | 1537.0 | 2690.0 | 3581.0 | 4481.0 |
| 2026-06-21 | 568.0 | 13.0 | 30.0 | 69.0 | 214.0 | 1207.0 | 2077.0 | 2745.0 | 3418.0 |
| 2026-06-28 | 476.0 | 14.0 | 30.0 | 66.0 | 190.0 | 976.0 | 1646.0 | 2156.0 | 2667.0 |
| 2026-07-05 | 418.0 | 19.0 | 37.0 | 72.0 | 183.0 | 808.0 | 1315.0 | 1695.0 | 2074.0 |
| 2026-07-12 | 334.0 | 20.0 | 37.0 | 67.0 | 156.0 | 615.0 | 973.0 | 1237.0 | 1499.0 |
| 2026-07-19 | 291.0 | 21.0 | 37.0 | 64.0 | 142.0 | 522.0 | 810.0 | 1022.0 | 1232.0 |
| 2026-07-26 | 246.0 | 20.0 | 34.0 | 57.0 | 123.0 | 433.0 | 666.0 | 836.0 | 1003.0 |
| 2026-08-02 | 227.0 | 15.0 | 26.0 | 47.0 | 108.0 | 416.0 | 655.0 | 831.0 | 1005.0 |
| 2026-08-09 | 208.0 | 13.0 | 23.0 | 42.0 | 98.0 | 383.0 | 605.0 | 769.0 | 932.0 |
| 2026-08-16 | 186.0 | 13.0 | 23.0 | 41.0 | 90.0 | 333.0 | 518.0 | 654.0 | 787.0 |
| 2026-08-23 | 168.0 | 13.0 | 22.0 | 38.0 | 83.0 | 300.0 | 463.0 | 583.0 | 702.0 |
| 2026-08-30 | 148.0 | 13.0 | 22.0 | 37.0 | 76.0 | 256.0 | 389.0 | 485.0 | 580.0 |
| 2026-09-06 | 141.0 | 11.0 | 19.0 | 32.0 | 70.0 | 249.0 | 384.0 | 482.0 | 579.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 149.0 | 10.0 | 18.0 | 32.0 | 72.0 | 269.0 | 420.0 | 530.0 | 640.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 146.0 | 11.0 | 19.0 | 33.0 | 72.0 | 260.0 | 402.0 | 506.0 | 609.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 137.0 | 11.0 | 18.0 | 32.0 | 68.0 | 242.0 | 372.0 | 468.0 | 561.0 |
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Interval Bounds
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