Prediction 4522
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Rio Grande do Norte |
Description:
Forecast (Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model). Authored by Tijs W. Alleman & Ana I. Bento.
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | 107.0 | 29.0 | 37.0 | 48.0 | 72.0 | 151.0 | 200.0 | 234.0 | 265.0 |
| 2025-10-12 | 108.0 | 36.0 | 44.0 | 55.0 | 77.0 | 147.0 | 188.0 | 216.0 | 242.0 |
| 2025-10-19 | 99.0 | 36.0 | 43.0 | 53.0 | 72.0 | 131.0 | 164.0 | 187.0 | 208.0 |
| 2025-10-26 | 97.0 | 32.0 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 70.0 | 131.0 | 167.0 | 192.0 | 215.0 |
| 2025-11-02 | 100.0 | 30.0 | 38.0 | 48.0 | 70.0 | 138.0 | 180.0 | 208.0 | 234.0 |
| 2025-11-09 | 101.0 | 36.0 | 44.0 | 54.0 | 74.0 | 134.0 | 169.0 | 193.0 | 215.0 |
| 2025-11-16 | 103.0 | 36.0 | 44.0 | 54.0 | 75.0 | 137.0 | 174.0 | 199.0 | 222.0 |
| 2025-11-23 | 101.0 | 29.0 | 36.0 | 47.0 | 69.0 | 142.0 | 186.0 | 217.0 | 245.0 |
| 2025-11-30 | 102.0 | 30.0 | 38.0 | 49.0 | 71.0 | 141.0 | 184.0 | 213.0 | 240.0 |
| 2025-12-07 | 102.0 | 26.0 | 33.0 | 44.0 | 68.0 | 147.0 | 197.0 | 231.0 | 263.0 |
| 2025-12-14 | 91.0 | 12.0 | 18.0 | 28.0 | 51.0 | 146.0 | 212.0 | 258.0 | 304.0 |
| 2025-12-21 | 80.0 | 10.0 | 16.0 | 24.0 | 45.0 | 130.0 | 190.0 | 232.0 | 273.0 |
| 2025-12-28 | 35.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 11.0 | 80.0 | 144.0 | 194.0 | 245.0 |
| 2026-01-04 | 122.0 | 14.0 | 22.0 | 34.0 | 66.0 | 203.0 | 300.0 | 370.0 | 438.0 |
| 2026-01-11 | 139.0 | 15.0 | 23.0 | 38.0 | 74.0 | 234.0 | 349.0 | 432.0 | 513.0 |
| 2026-01-18 | 160.0 | 11.0 | 19.0 | 34.0 | 77.0 | 288.0 | 449.0 | 568.0 | 685.0 |
| 2026-01-25 | 184.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 29.0 | 78.0 | 363.0 | 599.0 | 776.0 | 953.0 |
| 2026-02-01 | 228.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 26.0 | 85.0 | 490.0 | 848.0 | 1123.0 | 1401.0 |
| 2026-02-08 | 253.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 21.0 | 81.0 | 594.0 | 1081.0 | 1463.0 | 1853.0 |
| 2026-02-15 | 318.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 24.0 | 98.0 | 765.0 | 1412.0 | 1923.0 | 2444.0 |
| 2026-02-22 | 365.0 | 4.0 | 12.0 | 31.0 | 119.0 | 849.0 | 1540.0 | 2081.0 | 2631.0 |
| 2026-03-01 | 423.0 | 5.0 | 13.0 | 36.0 | 137.0 | 989.0 | 1797.0 | 2430.0 | 3076.0 |
| 2026-03-08 | 458.0 | 8.0 | 20.0 | 49.0 | 165.0 | 1004.0 | 1759.0 | 2342.0 | 2931.0 |
| 2026-03-15 | 501.0 | 13.0 | 29.0 | 64.0 | 193.0 | 1050.0 | 1793.0 | 2360.0 | 2931.0 |
| 2026-03-22 | 490.0 | 18.0 | 37.0 | 76.0 | 205.0 | 974.0 | 1611.0 | 2092.0 | 2572.0 |
| 2026-03-29 | 457.0 | 20.0 | 38.0 | 76.0 | 198.0 | 891.0 | 1456.0 | 1881.0 | 2304.0 |
| 2026-04-05 | 563.0 | 33.0 | 60.0 | 110.0 | 261.0 | 1047.0 | 1664.0 | 2122.0 | 2576.0 |
| 2026-04-12 | 613.0 | 46.0 | 78.0 | 136.0 | 300.0 | 1098.0 | 1704.0 | 2149.0 | 2589.0 |
| 2026-04-19 | 610.0 | 48.0 | 81.0 | 139.0 | 302.0 | 1084.0 | 1674.0 | 2107.0 | 2534.0 |
| 2026-04-26 | 616.0 | 53.0 | 88.0 | 148.0 | 312.0 | 1078.0 | 1649.0 | 2066.0 | 2475.0 |
| 2026-05-03 | 627.0 | 60.0 | 97.0 | 159.0 | 326.0 | 1078.0 | 1631.0 | 2033.0 | 2426.0 |
| 2026-05-10 | 614.0 | 70.0 | 109.0 | 172.0 | 333.0 | 1023.0 | 1517.0 | 1873.0 | 2220.0 |
| 2026-05-17 | 601.0 | 54.0 | 89.0 | 148.0 | 308.0 | 1043.0 | 1587.0 | 1983.0 | 2372.0 |
| 2026-05-24 | 534.0 | 40.0 | 69.0 | 120.0 | 262.0 | 954.0 | 1479.0 | 1865.0 | 2245.0 |
| 2026-05-31 | 493.0 | 32.0 | 57.0 | 102.0 | 234.0 | 902.0 | 1419.0 | 1801.0 | 2179.0 |
| 2026-06-07 | 496.0 | 34.0 | 60.0 | 106.0 | 239.0 | 898.0 | 1402.0 | 1774.0 | 2142.0 |
| 2026-06-14 | 448.0 | 39.0 | 65.0 | 109.0 | 228.0 | 783.0 | 1195.0 | 1496.0 | 1791.0 |
| 2026-06-21 | 417.0 | 41.0 | 66.0 | 107.0 | 218.0 | 715.0 | 1079.0 | 1343.0 | 1602.0 |
| 2026-06-28 | 376.0 | 43.0 | 67.0 | 106.0 | 204.0 | 626.0 | 927.0 | 1144.0 | 1356.0 |
| 2026-07-05 | 365.0 | 38.0 | 60.0 | 97.0 | 194.0 | 620.0 | 929.0 | 1152.0 | 1371.0 |
| 2026-07-12 | 350.0 | 37.0 | 58.0 | 93.0 | 186.0 | 592.0 | 887.0 | 1100.0 | 1308.0 |
| 2026-07-19 | 319.0 | 34.0 | 53.0 | 86.0 | 170.0 | 539.0 | 805.0 | 998.0 | 1186.0 |
| 2026-07-26 | 279.0 | 27.0 | 44.0 | 72.0 | 146.0 | 477.0 | 720.0 | 896.0 | 1068.0 |
| 2026-08-02 | 270.0 | 29.0 | 46.0 | 73.0 | 144.0 | 456.0 | 680.0 | 843.0 | 1002.0 |
| 2026-08-09 | 269.0 | 28.0 | 44.0 | 71.0 | 143.0 | 457.0 | 685.0 | 850.0 | 1011.0 |
| 2026-08-16 | 226.0 | 28.0 | 43.0 | 66.0 | 125.0 | 371.0 | 544.0 | 668.0 | 789.0 |
| 2026-08-23 | 191.0 | 25.0 | 38.0 | 58.0 | 107.0 | 309.0 | 450.0 | 551.0 | 649.0 |
| 2026-08-30 | 157.0 | 18.0 | 28.0 | 44.0 | 86.0 | 260.0 | 385.0 | 474.0 | 562.0 |
| 2026-09-06 | 155.0 | 29.0 | 40.0 | 57.0 | 95.0 | 236.0 | 329.0 | 394.0 | 456.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 141.0 | 27.0 | 38.0 | 53.0 | 88.0 | 214.0 | 296.0 | 354.0 | 410.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 130.0 | 29.0 | 39.0 | 53.0 | 84.0 | 192.0 | 261.0 | 310.0 | 355.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 113.0 | 29.0 | 38.0 | 50.0 | 76.0 | 162.0 | 215.0 | 252.0 | 286.0 |
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Interval Bounds
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