Prediction 4524
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Roraima |
Description:
Forecast (Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model). Authored by Tijs W. Alleman & Ana I. Bento.
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 19.0 | 32.0 | 42.0 | 53.0 |
| 2025-10-12 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 18.0 | 31.0 | 41.0 | 52.0 |
| 2025-10-19 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 14.0 | 27.0 | 37.0 | 47.0 |
| 2025-10-26 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 17.0 | 31.0 | 41.0 | 51.0 |
| 2025-11-02 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 20.0 | 37.0 | 50.0 | 64.0 |
| 2025-11-09 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 21.0 | 39.0 | 53.0 | 67.0 |
| 2025-11-16 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 18.0 | 40.0 | 58.0 | 78.0 |
| 2025-11-23 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 18.0 | 34.0 | 48.0 | 62.0 |
| 2025-11-30 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 18.0 | 35.0 | 48.0 | 62.0 |
| 2025-12-07 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 20.0 | 38.0 | 53.0 | 68.0 |
| 2025-12-14 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 19.0 | 39.0 | 55.0 | 71.0 |
| 2025-12-21 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 12.0 | 25.0 | 35.0 | 45.0 |
| 2025-12-28 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 15.0 | 23.0 | 32.0 |
| 2026-01-04 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 16.0 | 28.0 | 37.0 | 46.0 |
| 2026-01-11 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 20.0 | 37.0 | 50.0 | 63.0 |
| 2026-01-18 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 21.0 | 36.0 | 48.0 | 60.0 |
| 2026-01-25 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 22.0 | 39.0 | 52.0 | 66.0 |
| 2026-02-01 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 23.0 | 44.0 | 61.0 | 78.0 |
| 2026-02-08 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 26.0 | 51.0 | 72.0 | 93.0 |
| 2026-02-15 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 23.0 | 45.0 | 61.0 | 79.0 |
| 2026-02-22 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 23.0 | 44.0 | 62.0 | 80.0 |
| 2026-03-01 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 28.0 | 60.0 | 87.0 | 114.0 |
| 2026-03-08 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 26.0 | 51.0 | 70.0 | 90.0 |
| 2026-03-15 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 32.0 | 62.0 | 85.0 | 109.0 |
| 2026-03-22 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 33.0 | 66.0 | 92.0 | 119.0 |
| 2026-03-29 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 29.0 | 59.0 | 84.0 | 109.0 |
| 2026-04-05 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 37.0 | 78.0 | 112.0 | 148.0 |
| 2026-04-12 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 30.0 | 61.0 | 87.0 | 113.0 |
| 2026-04-19 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 33.0 | 68.0 | 98.0 | 129.0 |
| 2026-04-26 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 31.0 | 61.0 | 85.0 | 111.0 |
| 2026-05-03 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 33.0 | 72.0 | 105.0 | 140.0 |
| 2026-05-10 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 36.0 | 75.0 | 107.0 | 140.0 |
| 2026-05-17 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 41.0 | 92.0 | 135.0 | 181.0 |
| 2026-05-24 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 56.0 | 126.0 | 185.0 | 248.0 |
| 2026-05-31 | 18.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 64.0 | 144.0 | 212.0 | 284.0 |
| 2026-06-07 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 59.0 | 152.0 | 236.0 | 327.0 |
| 2026-06-14 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 58.0 | 129.0 | 190.0 | 254.0 |
| 2026-06-21 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 52.0 | 111.0 | 160.0 | 212.0 |
| 2026-06-28 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 50.0 | 112.0 | 164.0 | 220.0 |
| 2026-07-05 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 38.0 | 74.0 | 104.0 | 134.0 |
| 2026-07-12 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 43.0 | 82.0 | 114.0 | 147.0 |
| 2026-07-19 | 15.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 37.0 | 71.0 | 98.0 | 125.0 |
| 2026-07-26 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 30.0 | 61.0 | 86.0 | 112.0 |
| 2026-08-02 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 42.0 | 82.0 | 114.0 | 147.0 |
| 2026-08-09 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 42.0 | 81.0 | 112.0 | 144.0 |
| 2026-08-16 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 39.0 | 68.0 | 91.0 | 114.0 |
| 2026-08-23 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 30.0 | 51.0 | 67.0 | 83.0 |
| 2026-08-30 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 27.0 | 48.0 | 64.0 | 80.0 |
| 2026-09-06 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 28.0 | 53.0 | 73.0 | 94.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 27.0 | 52.0 | 73.0 | 93.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 26.0 | 45.0 | 61.0 | 76.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 19.0 | 35.0 | 47.0 | 59.0 |
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