Prediction 4525
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Rio Grande do Sul |
Description:
Forecast (Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model). Authored by Tijs W. Alleman & Ana I. Bento.
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 13.0 | 32.0 | 49.0 | 67.0 |
| 2025-10-12 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 18.0 | 39.0 | 57.0 | 76.0 |
| 2025-10-19 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 16.0 | 40.0 | 61.0 | 83.0 |
| 2025-10-26 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 45.0 | 75.0 | 107.0 |
| 2025-11-02 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 19.0 | 50.0 | 78.0 | 109.0 |
| 2025-11-09 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 20.0 | 46.0 | 68.0 | 92.0 |
| 2025-11-16 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 21.0 | 44.0 | 63.0 | 83.0 |
| 2025-11-23 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 31.0 | 63.0 | 89.0 | 116.0 |
| 2025-11-30 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 31.0 | 73.0 | 110.0 | 149.0 |
| 2025-12-07 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 40.0 | 85.0 | 122.0 | 161.0 |
| 2025-12-14 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 41.0 | 92.0 | 136.0 | 183.0 |
| 2025-12-21 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 32.0 | 76.0 | 113.0 | 153.0 |
| 2025-12-28 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | 17.0 |
| 2026-01-04 | 18.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 54.0 | 112.0 | 161.0 | 212.0 |
| 2026-01-11 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 68.0 | 149.0 | 217.0 | 289.0 |
| 2026-01-18 | 30.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 98.0 | 213.0 | 310.0 | 412.0 |
| 2026-01-25 | 33.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 131.0 | 313.0 | 472.0 | 642.0 |
| 2026-02-01 | 43.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 173.0 | 412.0 | 621.0 | 844.0 |
| 2026-02-08 | 58.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 252.0 | 627.0 | 960.0 | 1319.0 |
| 2026-02-15 | 91.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 411.0 | 1043.0 | 1607.0 | 2217.0 |
| 2026-02-22 | 129.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 13.0 | 586.0 | 1491.0 | 2300.0 | 3174.0 |
| 2026-03-01 | 175.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 16.0 | 820.0 | 2114.0 | 3277.0 | 4537.0 |
| 2026-03-08 | 231.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 19.0 | 1159.0 | 3085.0 | 4840.0 | 6749.0 |
| 2026-03-15 | 303.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 26.0 | 1480.0 | 3892.0 | 6077.0 | 8450.0 |
| 2026-03-22 | 350.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 27.0 | 1815.0 | 4904.0 | 7734.0 | 10821.0 |
| 2026-03-29 | 415.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 33.0 | 2147.0 | 5798.0 | 9140.0 | 12785.0 |
| 2026-04-05 | 448.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 30.0 | 2511.0 | 7033.0 | 11231.0 | 15837.0 |
| 2026-04-12 | 498.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 33.0 | 2807.0 | 7878.0 | 12593.0 | 17766.0 |
| 2026-04-19 | 438.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 24.0 | 2748.0 | 8086.0 | 13139.0 | 18726.0 |
| 2026-04-26 | 447.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 27.0 | 2653.0 | 7625.0 | 12288.0 | 17424.0 |
| 2026-05-03 | 383.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 23.0 | 2287.0 | 6582.0 | 10613.0 | 15054.0 |
| 2026-05-10 | 290.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 1912.0 | 5753.0 | 9420.0 | 13487.0 |
| 2026-05-17 | 185.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 1652.0 | 5674.0 | 9716.0 | 14291.0 |
| 2026-05-24 | 138.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 991.0 | 3093.0 | 5129.0 | 7400.0 |
| 2026-05-31 | 91.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 597.0 | 1791.0 | 2930.0 | 4192.0 |
| 2026-06-07 | 35.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 260.0 | 822.0 | 1370.0 | 1981.0 |
| 2026-06-14 | 41.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 285.0 | 874.0 | 1442.0 | 2073.0 |
| 2026-06-21 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 157.0 | 708.0 | 1323.0 | 2048.0 |
| 2026-06-28 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 141.0 | 472.0 | 801.0 | 1173.0 |
| 2026-07-05 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 96.0 | 305.0 | 508.0 | 736.0 |
| 2026-07-12 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 53.0 | 157.0 | 255.0 | 363.0 |
| 2026-07-19 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 40.0 | 117.0 | 190.0 | 271.0 |
| 2026-07-26 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 36.0 | 101.0 | 161.0 | 228.0 |
| 2026-08-02 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 38.0 | 87.0 | 129.0 | 174.0 |
| 2026-08-09 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 25.0 | 70.0 | 113.0 | 160.0 |
| 2026-08-16 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 19.0 | 56.0 | 91.0 | 130.0 |
| 2026-08-23 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 17.0 | 43.0 | 66.0 | 92.0 |
| 2026-08-30 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 18.0 | 42.0 | 62.0 | 84.0 |
| 2026-09-06 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 12.0 | 39.0 | 66.0 | 97.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 16.0 | 42.0 | 65.0 | 90.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 13.0 | 38.0 | 62.0 | 89.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 12.0 | 40.0 | 66.0 | 96.0 |
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Confidence Interval
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Interval Bounds
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