Prediction 4526
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Santa Catarina |
Description:
Forecast (Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model). Authored by Tijs W. Alleman & Ana I. Bento.
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 28.0 | 80.0 | 127.0 | 179.0 |
| 2025-10-12 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 34.0 | 87.0 | 135.0 | 187.0 |
| 2025-10-19 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 31.0 | 86.0 | 138.0 | 195.0 |
| 2025-10-26 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 35.0 | 91.0 | 142.0 | 197.0 |
| 2025-11-02 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 41.0 | 111.0 | 175.0 | 245.0 |
| 2025-11-09 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 43.0 | 107.0 | 164.0 | 226.0 |
| 2025-11-16 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 63.0 | 159.0 | 246.0 | 339.0 |
| 2025-11-23 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 78.0 | 205.0 | 319.0 | 443.0 |
| 2025-11-30 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 99.0 | 285.0 | 458.0 | 649.0 |
| 2025-12-07 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 112.0 | 366.0 | 616.0 | 897.0 |
| 2025-12-14 | 19.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 114.0 | 324.0 | 521.0 | 738.0 |
| 2025-12-21 | 22.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 93.0 | 229.0 | 350.0 | 480.0 |
| 2025-12-28 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2026-01-04 | 34.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 119.0 | 268.0 | 395.0 | 530.0 |
| 2026-01-11 | 37.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 130.0 | 291.0 | 429.0 | 575.0 |
| 2026-01-18 | 41.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 161.0 | 382.0 | 574.0 | 780.0 |
| 2026-01-25 | 52.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 207.0 | 494.0 | 745.0 | 1013.0 |
| 2026-02-01 | 54.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 266.0 | 701.0 | 1096.0 | 1525.0 |
| 2026-02-08 | 93.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 445.0 | 1160.0 | 1806.0 | 2506.0 |
| 2026-02-15 | 118.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 636.0 | 1750.0 | 2778.0 | 3902.0 |
| 2026-02-22 | 147.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 876.0 | 2516.0 | 4055.0 | 5750.0 |
| 2026-03-01 | 169.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 1148.0 | 3500.0 | 5756.0 | 8264.0 |
| 2026-03-08 | 257.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 1541.0 | 4449.0 | 7182.0 | 10195.0 |
| 2026-03-15 | 184.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 1662.0 | 5733.0 | 9832.0 | 14474.0 |
| 2026-03-22 | 287.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 2406.0 | 8042.0 | 13646.0 | 19962.0 |
| 2026-03-29 | 383.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 2876.0 | 9161.0 | 15296.0 | 22161.0 |
| 2026-04-05 | 452.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 19.0 | 3290.0 | 10338.0 | 17183.0 | 24826.0 |
| 2026-04-12 | 509.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 23.0 | 3580.0 | 11083.0 | 18326.0 | 26395.0 |
| 2026-04-19 | 538.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 25.0 | 3672.0 | 11224.0 | 18478.0 | 26545.0 |
| 2026-04-26 | 544.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 30.0 | 3419.0 | 10068.0 | 16365.0 | 23326.0 |
| 2026-05-03 | 463.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 22.0 | 3117.0 | 9471.0 | 15560.0 | 22325.0 |
| 2026-05-10 | 358.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 13.0 | 2858.0 | 9352.0 | 15758.0 | 22955.0 |
| 2026-05-17 | 287.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 2385.0 | 7944.0 | 13464.0 | 19682.0 |
| 2026-05-24 | 239.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 1623.0 | 4945.0 | 8132.0 | 11673.0 |
| 2026-05-31 | 155.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 1116.0 | 3493.0 | 5798.0 | 8371.0 |
| 2026-06-07 | 56.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 640.0 | 2439.0 | 4322.0 | 6485.0 |
| 2026-06-14 | 65.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 607.0 | 2127.0 | 3666.0 | 5414.0 |
| 2026-06-21 | 58.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 475.0 | 1575.0 | 2665.0 | 3891.0 |
| 2026-06-28 | 36.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 317.0 | 1088.0 | 1861.0 | 2737.0 |
| 2026-07-05 | 28.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 226.0 | 744.0 | 1255.0 | 1830.0 |
| 2026-07-12 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 132.0 | 460.0 | 792.0 | 1168.0 |
| 2026-07-19 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 85.0 | 307.0 | 534.0 | 792.0 |
| 2026-07-26 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 85.0 | 244.0 | 393.0 | 556.0 |
| 2026-08-02 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 77.0 | 211.0 | 335.0 | 471.0 |
| 2026-08-09 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 45.0 | 154.0 | 263.0 | 386.0 |
| 2026-08-16 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 46.0 | 141.0 | 232.0 | 333.0 |
| 2026-08-23 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 33.0 | 117.0 | 202.0 | 298.0 |
| 2026-08-30 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 34.0 | 94.0 | 150.0 | 212.0 |
| 2026-09-06 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 24.0 | 85.0 | 146.0 | 215.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 35.0 | 92.0 | 143.0 | 199.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 29.0 | 92.0 | 154.0 | 222.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 25.0 | 82.0 | 138.0 | 202.0 |
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