Prediction 4527
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Sergipe |
Description:
Forecast (Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model). Authored by Tijs W. Alleman & Ana I. Bento.
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | 31.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 14.0 | 58.0 | 93.0 | 119.0 | 144.0 |
| 2025-10-12 | 30.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 12.0 | 59.0 | 98.0 | 127.0 | 156.0 |
| 2025-10-19 | 28.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | 54.0 | 87.0 | 112.0 | 137.0 |
| 2025-10-26 | 30.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 63.0 | 107.0 | 141.0 | 174.0 |
| 2025-11-02 | 34.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 81.0 | 148.0 | 201.0 | 255.0 |
| 2025-11-09 | 31.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 74.0 | 136.0 | 185.0 | 235.0 |
| 2025-11-16 | 33.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 87.0 | 168.0 | 233.0 | 300.0 |
| 2025-11-23 | 30.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 76.0 | 145.0 | 200.0 | 256.0 |
| 2025-11-30 | 27.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 66.0 | 120.0 | 164.0 | 208.0 |
| 2025-12-07 | 24.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 54.0 | 97.0 | 131.0 | 165.0 |
| 2025-12-14 | 15.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 31.0 | 51.0 | 66.0 | 82.0 |
| 2025-12-21 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 26.0 | 46.0 | 61.0 | 77.0 |
| 2025-12-28 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 38.0 | 80.0 | 114.0 | 151.0 |
| 2026-01-04 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 37.0 | 65.0 | 87.0 | 110.0 |
| 2026-01-11 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 38.0 | 62.0 | 79.0 | 97.0 |
| 2026-01-18 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 39.0 | 70.0 | 94.0 | 119.0 |
| 2026-01-25 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 44.0 | 76.0 | 100.0 | 125.0 |
| 2026-02-01 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 54.0 | 104.0 | 145.0 | 187.0 |
| 2026-02-08 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 67.0 | 130.0 | 181.0 | 233.0 |
| 2026-02-15 | 28.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 75.0 | 146.0 | 203.0 | 262.0 |
| 2026-02-22 | 26.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 66.0 | 124.0 | 171.0 | 219.0 |
| 2026-03-01 | 32.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 75.0 | 135.0 | 182.0 | 230.0 |
| 2026-03-08 | 29.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 69.0 | 128.0 | 175.0 | 223.0 |
| 2026-03-15 | 36.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 12.0 | 80.0 | 143.0 | 192.0 | 241.0 |
| 2026-03-22 | 38.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 14.0 | 81.0 | 140.0 | 185.0 | 230.0 |
| 2026-03-29 | 39.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 15.0 | 82.0 | 140.0 | 185.0 | 229.0 |
| 2026-04-05 | 47.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 18.0 | 99.0 | 170.0 | 225.0 | 280.0 |
| 2026-04-12 | 50.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 21.0 | 99.0 | 162.0 | 209.0 | 256.0 |
| 2026-04-19 | 49.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 22.0 | 93.0 | 150.0 | 192.0 | 234.0 |
| 2026-04-26 | 47.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 22.0 | 85.0 | 133.0 | 168.0 | 203.0 |
| 2026-05-03 | 55.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | 26.0 | 102.0 | 160.0 | 204.0 | 247.0 |
| 2026-05-10 | 61.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 16.0 | 32.0 | 105.0 | 158.0 | 197.0 | 234.0 |
| 2026-05-17 | 64.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 16.0 | 33.0 | 110.0 | 166.0 | 207.0 | 246.0 |
| 2026-05-24 | 62.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 14.0 | 31.0 | 109.0 | 167.0 | 210.0 | 251.0 |
| 2026-05-31 | 54.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 25.0 | 100.0 | 159.0 | 203.0 | 247.0 |
| 2026-06-07 | 61.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 29.0 | 113.0 | 178.0 | 227.0 | 275.0 |
| 2026-06-14 | 56.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 24.0 | 108.0 | 177.0 | 229.0 | 280.0 |
| 2026-06-21 | 52.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 23.0 | 102.0 | 166.0 | 214.0 | 262.0 |
| 2026-06-28 | 49.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 18.0 | 107.0 | 186.0 | 247.0 | 309.0 |
| 2026-07-05 | 58.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 22.0 | 122.0 | 210.0 | 276.0 | 343.0 |
| 2026-07-12 | 58.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 24.0 | 115.0 | 190.0 | 247.0 | 303.0 |
| 2026-07-19 | 54.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 22.0 | 107.0 | 177.0 | 230.0 | 283.0 |
| 2026-07-26 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 16.0 | 118.0 | 216.0 | 293.0 | 371.0 |
| 2026-08-02 | 48.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 18.0 | 104.0 | 180.0 | 239.0 | 298.0 |
| 2026-08-09 | 51.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 22.0 | 101.0 | 165.0 | 213.0 | 261.0 |
| 2026-08-16 | 50.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 22.0 | 96.0 | 155.0 | 200.0 | 244.0 |
| 2026-08-23 | 44.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 18.0 | 89.0 | 149.0 | 194.0 | 239.0 |
| 2026-08-30 | 36.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 15.0 | 72.0 | 118.0 | 153.0 | 188.0 |
| 2026-09-06 | 43.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 18.0 | 86.0 | 142.0 | 185.0 | 228.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 39.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 14.0 | 85.0 | 148.0 | 197.0 | 246.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 14.0 | 87.0 | 154.0 | 205.0 | 257.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 31.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 12.0 | 67.0 | 115.0 | 152.0 | 189.0 |
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Interval Bounds
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