Prediction 4529
| Model | Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline |
|---|---|
| Author | Bento Lab |
| ADM 1 | Tocantins |
Description:
Forecast (Cornell PEH - NegBinom Baseline model). Authored by Tijs W. Alleman & Ana I. Bento.
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | 24.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 13.0 | 40.0 | 60.0 | 74.0 | 88.0 |
| 2025-10-12 | 31.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 17.0 | 50.0 | 74.0 | 91.0 | 107.0 |
| 2025-10-19 | 35.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 19.0 | 58.0 | 86.0 | 105.0 | 125.0 |
| 2025-10-26 | 41.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 22.0 | 69.0 | 103.0 | 127.0 | 151.0 |
| 2025-11-02 | 47.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | 23.0 | 83.0 | 128.0 | 161.0 | 193.0 |
| 2025-11-09 | 61.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 28.0 | 114.0 | 182.0 | 232.0 | 281.0 |
| 2025-11-16 | 82.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 15.0 | 36.0 | 156.0 | 251.0 | 322.0 | 392.0 |
| 2025-11-23 | 102.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 13.0 | 39.0 | 214.0 | 365.0 | 481.0 | 598.0 |
| 2025-11-30 | 109.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 37.0 | 247.0 | 442.0 | 595.0 | 749.0 |
| 2025-12-07 | 124.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 14.0 | 45.0 | 269.0 | 469.0 | 622.0 | 778.0 |
| 2025-12-14 | 90.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 13.0 | 37.0 | 183.0 | 306.0 | 400.0 | 493.0 |
| 2025-12-21 | 79.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | 18.0 | 40.0 | 140.0 | 215.0 | 270.0 | 324.0 |
| 2025-12-28 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 31.0 | 50.0 | 65.0 | 80.0 |
| 2026-01-04 | 144.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 18.0 | 56.0 | 302.0 | 514.0 | 677.0 | 840.0 |
| 2026-01-11 | 163.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 22.0 | 64.0 | 336.0 | 568.0 | 745.0 | 922.0 |
| 2026-01-18 | 183.0 | 8.0 | 16.0 | 31.0 | 80.0 | 355.0 | 577.0 | 745.0 | 911.0 |
| 2026-01-25 | 206.0 | 12.0 | 22.0 | 40.0 | 95.0 | 382.0 | 606.0 | 772.0 | 937.0 |
| 2026-02-01 | 221.0 | 13.0 | 23.0 | 43.0 | 102.0 | 413.0 | 657.0 | 838.0 | 1017.0 |
| 2026-02-08 | 235.0 | 16.0 | 28.0 | 50.0 | 113.0 | 427.0 | 667.0 | 845.0 | 1020.0 |
| 2026-02-15 | 242.0 | 23.0 | 37.0 | 61.0 | 126.0 | 417.0 | 631.0 | 786.0 | 938.0 |
| 2026-02-22 | 234.0 | 27.0 | 42.0 | 66.0 | 127.0 | 391.0 | 579.0 | 715.0 | 847.0 |
| 2026-03-01 | 236.0 | 29.0 | 44.0 | 69.0 | 130.0 | 388.0 | 569.0 | 700.0 | 826.0 |
| 2026-03-08 | 237.0 | 42.0 | 59.0 | 85.0 | 143.0 | 364.0 | 511.0 | 615.0 | 715.0 |
| 2026-03-15 | 243.0 | 37.0 | 53.0 | 79.0 | 141.0 | 386.0 | 553.0 | 672.0 | 786.0 |
| 2026-03-22 | 250.0 | 37.0 | 55.0 | 81.0 | 145.0 | 398.0 | 571.0 | 694.0 | 814.0 |
| 2026-03-29 | 232.0 | 33.0 | 49.0 | 73.0 | 133.0 | 372.0 | 537.0 | 655.0 | 768.0 |
| 2026-04-05 | 248.0 | 40.0 | 58.0 | 84.0 | 147.0 | 388.0 | 551.0 | 667.0 | 779.0 |
| 2026-04-12 | 251.0 | 45.0 | 64.0 | 91.0 | 153.0 | 386.0 | 541.0 | 650.0 | 755.0 |
| 2026-04-19 | 244.0 | 42.0 | 60.0 | 86.0 | 146.0 | 377.0 | 531.0 | 640.0 | 745.0 |
| 2026-04-26 | 240.0 | 48.0 | 66.0 | 91.0 | 150.0 | 362.0 | 501.0 | 598.0 | 691.0 |
| 2026-05-03 | 238.0 | 46.0 | 64.0 | 89.0 | 147.0 | 361.0 | 501.0 | 600.0 | 694.0 |
| 2026-05-10 | 221.0 | 43.0 | 60.0 | 83.0 | 137.0 | 334.0 | 463.0 | 553.0 | 640.0 |
| 2026-05-17 | 213.0 | 46.0 | 62.0 | 85.0 | 136.0 | 316.0 | 433.0 | 514.0 | 591.0 |
| 2026-05-24 | 176.0 | 31.0 | 43.0 | 62.0 | 106.0 | 273.0 | 384.0 | 462.0 | 538.0 |
| 2026-05-31 | 147.0 | 27.0 | 37.0 | 53.0 | 89.0 | 224.0 | 313.0 | 376.0 | 436.0 |
| 2026-06-07 | 123.0 | 21.0 | 30.0 | 44.0 | 74.0 | 190.0 | 267.0 | 321.0 | 374.0 |
| 2026-06-14 | 108.0 | 16.0 | 24.0 | 36.0 | 63.0 | 171.0 | 245.0 | 297.0 | 348.0 |
| 2026-06-21 | 84.0 | 14.0 | 20.0 | 29.0 | 50.0 | 130.0 | 184.0 | 222.0 | 259.0 |
| 2026-06-28 | 69.0 | 10.0 | 15.0 | 23.0 | 41.0 | 109.0 | 155.0 | 188.0 | 220.0 |
| 2026-07-05 | 58.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | 19.0 | 34.0 | 92.0 | 132.0 | 160.0 | 187.0 |
| 2026-07-12 | 48.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 14.0 | 27.0 | 79.0 | 114.0 | 140.0 | 165.0 |
| 2026-07-19 | 42.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | 23.0 | 69.0 | 102.0 | 125.0 | 148.0 |
| 2026-07-26 | 38.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 21.0 | 61.0 | 89.0 | 109.0 | 128.0 |
| 2026-08-02 | 39.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 22.0 | 62.0 | 90.0 | 109.0 | 128.0 |
| 2026-08-09 | 33.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 19.0 | 52.0 | 75.0 | 91.0 | 106.0 |
| 2026-08-16 | 35.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 20.0 | 56.0 | 80.0 | 98.0 | 115.0 |
| 2026-08-23 | 29.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 17.0 | 45.0 | 64.0 | 77.0 | 90.0 |
| 2026-08-30 | 26.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 42.0 | 62.0 | 76.0 | 90.0 |
| 2026-09-06 | 22.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | 36.0 | 52.0 | 63.0 | 74.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 25.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 40.0 | 58.0 | 71.0 | 83.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 24.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 38.0 | 56.0 | 68.0 | 80.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 23.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 42.0 | 64.0 | 81.0 | 97.0 |
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Interval Bounds
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