Prediction 4587
| Model | LNCC-AR_p-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Bahia |
Description:
Forecast for UF=BA (Model1 AR_p)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | 72.0 | 26.0 | 31.0 | 37.0 | 51.0 | 103.0 | 143.0 | 175.0 | 207.0 |
| 2025-10-12 | 68.0 | 24.0 | 29.0 | 35.0 | 48.0 | 98.0 | 137.0 | 167.0 | 199.0 |
| 2025-10-19 | 67.0 | 24.0 | 28.0 | 34.0 | 47.0 | 97.0 | 135.0 | 166.0 | 198.0 |
| 2025-10-26 | 69.0 | 24.0 | 28.0 | 34.0 | 48.0 | 99.0 | 139.0 | 170.0 | 203.0 |
| 2025-11-02 | 72.0 | 25.0 | 29.0 | 36.0 | 50.0 | 104.0 | 145.0 | 177.0 | 211.0 |
| 2025-11-09 | 75.0 | 26.0 | 31.0 | 37.0 | 52.0 | 110.0 | 153.0 | 186.0 | 221.0 |
| 2025-11-16 | 79.0 | 28.0 | 32.0 | 39.0 | 55.0 | 116.0 | 161.0 | 197.0 | 232.0 |
| 2025-11-23 | 84.0 | 29.0 | 34.0 | 42.0 | 58.0 | 122.0 | 171.0 | 208.0 | 245.0 |
| 2025-11-30 | 90.0 | 31.0 | 37.0 | 45.0 | 62.0 | 131.0 | 183.0 | 223.0 | 261.0 |
| 2025-12-07 | 98.0 | 34.0 | 40.0 | 49.0 | 68.0 | 143.0 | 200.0 | 244.0 | 285.0 |
| 2025-12-14 | 110.0 | 38.0 | 45.0 | 54.0 | 76.0 | 160.0 | 224.0 | 273.0 | 320.0 |
| 2025-12-21 | 126.0 | 43.0 | 51.0 | 62.0 | 86.0 | 183.0 | 257.0 | 313.0 | 370.0 |
| 2026-01-04 | 147.0 | 50.0 | 60.0 | 72.0 | 101.0 | 213.0 | 300.0 | 365.0 | 436.0 |
| 2026-01-11 | 173.0 | 59.0 | 70.0 | 85.0 | 119.0 | 250.0 | 352.0 | 431.0 | 517.0 |
| 2026-01-18 | 205.0 | 70.0 | 82.0 | 100.0 | 140.0 | 296.0 | 417.0 | 510.0 | 615.0 |
| 2026-01-25 | 243.0 | 83.0 | 98.0 | 119.0 | 167.0 | 352.0 | 494.0 | 605.0 | 730.0 |
| 2026-02-01 | 287.0 | 97.0 | 115.0 | 141.0 | 197.0 | 418.0 | 585.0 | 717.0 | 863.0 |
| 2026-02-08 | 339.0 | 114.0 | 136.0 | 166.0 | 233.0 | 493.0 | 689.0 | 845.0 | 1014.0 |
| 2026-02-15 | 394.0 | 132.0 | 158.0 | 194.0 | 270.0 | 574.0 | 801.0 | 983.0 | 1174.0 |
| 2026-02-22 | 451.0 | 151.0 | 180.0 | 222.0 | 310.0 | 656.0 | 917.0 | 1125.0 | 1338.0 |
| 2026-03-01 | 509.0 | 170.0 | 204.0 | 251.0 | 349.0 | 739.0 | 1034.0 | 1268.0 | 1503.0 |
| 2026-03-08 | 565.0 | 188.0 | 227.0 | 280.0 | 388.0 | 820.0 | 1148.0 | 1407.0 | 1664.0 |
| 2026-03-15 | 614.0 | 205.0 | 247.0 | 304.0 | 422.0 | 889.0 | 1245.0 | 1527.0 | 1804.0 |
| 2026-03-22 | 648.0 | 217.0 | 262.0 | 322.0 | 447.0 | 938.0 | 1315.0 | 1612.0 | 1903.0 |
| 2026-03-29 | 669.0 | 225.0 | 272.0 | 333.0 | 463.0 | 969.0 | 1359.0 | 1666.0 | 1966.0 |
| 2026-04-05 | 680.0 | 231.0 | 277.0 | 340.0 | 472.0 | 987.0 | 1385.0 | 1696.0 | 2004.0 |
| 2026-04-12 | 687.0 | 234.0 | 280.0 | 344.0 | 478.0 | 999.0 | 1400.0 | 1714.0 | 2032.0 |
| 2026-04-19 | 694.0 | 237.0 | 283.0 | 348.0 | 483.0 | 1010.0 | 1414.0 | 1730.0 | 2061.0 |
| 2026-04-26 | 701.0 | 238.0 | 285.0 | 351.0 | 488.0 | 1021.0 | 1427.0 | 1745.0 | 2089.0 |
| 2026-05-03 | 703.0 | 238.0 | 285.0 | 351.0 | 488.0 | 1024.0 | 1430.0 | 1750.0 | 2102.0 |
| 2026-05-10 | 699.0 | 235.0 | 281.0 | 347.0 | 484.0 | 1017.0 | 1421.0 | 1740.0 | 2094.0 |
| 2026-05-17 | 686.0 | 229.0 | 274.0 | 338.0 | 473.0 | 997.0 | 1395.0 | 1709.0 | 2055.0 |
| 2026-05-24 | 663.0 | 221.0 | 264.0 | 326.0 | 456.0 | 964.0 | 1349.0 | 1654.0 | 1984.0 |
| 2026-05-31 | 629.0 | 209.0 | 250.0 | 307.0 | 431.0 | 913.0 | 1280.0 | 1568.0 | 1875.0 |
| 2026-06-07 | 582.0 | 194.0 | 231.0 | 284.0 | 398.0 | 847.0 | 1188.0 | 1456.0 | 1734.0 |
| 2026-06-14 | 525.0 | 175.0 | 209.0 | 256.0 | 359.0 | 765.0 | 1076.0 | 1319.0 | 1566.0 |
| 2026-06-21 | 464.0 | 154.0 | 184.0 | 226.0 | 317.0 | 678.0 | 956.0 | 1174.0 | 1396.0 |
| 2026-06-28 | 408.0 | 135.0 | 162.0 | 198.0 | 278.0 | 598.0 | 845.0 | 1042.0 | 1243.0 |
| 2026-07-05 | 358.0 | 117.0 | 142.0 | 173.0 | 244.0 | 527.0 | 748.0 | 927.0 | 1113.0 |
| 2026-07-12 | 317.0 | 102.0 | 124.0 | 153.0 | 215.0 | 468.0 | 666.0 | 830.0 | 1003.0 |
| 2026-07-19 | 283.0 | 90.0 | 110.0 | 135.0 | 191.0 | 418.0 | 597.0 | 747.0 | 907.0 |
| 2026-07-26 | 254.0 | 80.0 | 97.0 | 120.0 | 171.0 | 376.0 | 539.0 | 675.0 | 821.0 |
| 2026-08-02 | 229.0 | 71.0 | 86.0 | 108.0 | 153.0 | 340.0 | 488.0 | 610.0 | 744.0 |
| 2026-08-09 | 207.0 | 64.0 | 77.0 | 97.0 | 138.0 | 308.0 | 445.0 | 554.0 | 675.0 |
| 2026-08-16 | 188.0 | 58.0 | 70.0 | 87.0 | 125.0 | 281.0 | 407.0 | 505.0 | 613.0 |
| 2026-08-23 | 172.0 | 52.0 | 63.0 | 79.0 | 114.0 | 258.0 | 373.0 | 462.0 | 559.0 |
| 2026-08-30 | 157.0 | 48.0 | 58.0 | 72.0 | 104.0 | 237.0 | 343.0 | 424.0 | 513.0 |
| 2026-09-06 | 145.0 | 44.0 | 53.0 | 66.0 | 96.0 | 220.0 | 318.0 | 393.0 | 475.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 135.0 | 41.0 | 49.0 | 61.0 | 89.0 | 205.0 | 298.0 | 369.0 | 446.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 128.0 | 38.0 | 47.0 | 58.0 | 84.0 | 195.0 | 283.0 | 352.0 | 425.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 123.0 | 36.0 | 45.0 | 55.0 | 81.0 | 188.0 | 273.0 | 339.0 | 410.0 |
| 2026-10-04 | 121.0 | 36.0 | 44.0 | 54.0 | 79.0 | 185.0 | 267.0 | 331.0 | 400.0 |
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Interval Bounds
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