Prediction 4590
| Model | LNCC-AR_p-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Espírito Santo |
Description:
Forecast for UF=ES (Model1 AR_p)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | 220.0 | 40.0 | 52.0 | 71.0 | 120.0 | 384.0 | 643.0 | 874.0 | 1129.0 |
| 2025-10-12 | 187.0 | 32.0 | 42.0 | 58.0 | 101.0 | 339.0 | 576.0 | 792.0 | 1034.0 |
| 2025-10-19 | 192.0 | 31.0 | 41.0 | 57.0 | 101.0 | 361.0 | 625.0 | 868.0 | 1148.0 |
| 2025-10-26 | 183.0 | 28.0 | 38.0 | 53.0 | 95.0 | 340.0 | 594.0 | 831.0 | 1094.0 |
| 2025-11-02 | 185.0 | 27.0 | 37.0 | 52.0 | 95.0 | 349.0 | 621.0 | 877.0 | 1187.0 |
| 2025-11-09 | 170.0 | 24.0 | 32.0 | 46.0 | 86.0 | 333.0 | 600.0 | 857.0 | 1151.0 |
| 2025-11-16 | 172.0 | 24.0 | 32.0 | 46.0 | 85.0 | 338.0 | 616.0 | 882.0 | 1211.0 |
| 2025-11-23 | 169.0 | 22.0 | 30.0 | 44.0 | 83.0 | 334.0 | 618.0 | 895.0 | 1228.0 |
| 2025-11-30 | 164.0 | 21.0 | 28.0 | 41.0 | 80.0 | 327.0 | 612.0 | 891.0 | 1246.0 |
| 2025-12-07 | 163.0 | 20.0 | 28.0 | 40.0 | 78.0 | 332.0 | 633.0 | 926.0 | 1296.0 |
| 2025-12-14 | 159.0 | 19.0 | 26.0 | 39.0 | 76.0 | 327.0 | 625.0 | 921.0 | 1308.0 |
| 2025-12-21 | 161.0 | 19.0 | 26.0 | 38.0 | 76.0 | 335.0 | 650.0 | 961.0 | 1369.0 |
| 2026-01-04 | 155.0 | 18.0 | 25.0 | 37.0 | 73.0 | 327.0 | 639.0 | 948.0 | 1357.0 |
| 2026-01-11 | 157.0 | 18.0 | 25.0 | 37.0 | 74.0 | 335.0 | 659.0 | 979.0 | 1420.0 |
| 2026-01-18 | 151.0 | 17.0 | 23.0 | 35.0 | 70.0 | 325.0 | 647.0 | 964.0 | 1390.0 |
| 2026-01-25 | 149.0 | 16.0 | 23.0 | 34.0 | 69.0 | 325.0 | 649.0 | 967.0 | 1416.0 |
| 2026-02-01 | 147.0 | 16.0 | 22.0 | 33.0 | 68.0 | 322.0 | 647.0 | 964.0 | 1397.0 |
| 2026-02-08 | 143.0 | 15.0 | 21.0 | 32.0 | 66.0 | 317.0 | 637.0 | 951.0 | 1393.0 |
| 2026-02-15 | 140.0 | 15.0 | 21.0 | 31.0 | 64.0 | 313.0 | 632.0 | 946.0 | 1374.0 |
| 2026-02-22 | 135.0 | 14.0 | 20.0 | 30.0 | 62.0 | 303.0 | 613.0 | 922.0 | 1338.0 |
| 2026-03-01 | 132.0 | 13.0 | 19.0 | 29.0 | 60.0 | 296.0 | 598.0 | 904.0 | 1311.0 |
| 2026-03-08 | 126.0 | 13.0 | 18.0 | 28.0 | 58.0 | 284.0 | 575.0 | 875.0 | 1264.0 |
| 2026-03-15 | 121.0 | 12.0 | 17.0 | 27.0 | 55.0 | 273.0 | 553.0 | 844.0 | 1221.0 |
| 2026-03-22 | 116.0 | 12.0 | 17.0 | 25.0 | 53.0 | 260.0 | 529.0 | 813.0 | 1166.0 |
| 2026-03-29 | 110.0 | 11.0 | 16.0 | 24.0 | 50.0 | 246.0 | 499.0 | 770.0 | 1111.0 |
| 2026-04-05 | 104.0 | 10.0 | 15.0 | 23.0 | 47.0 | 232.0 | 476.0 | 734.0 | 1049.0 |
| 2026-04-12 | 99.0 | 10.0 | 14.0 | 21.0 | 44.0 | 219.0 | 447.0 | 691.0 | 995.0 |
| 2026-04-19 | 93.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | 20.0 | 42.0 | 206.0 | 422.0 | 656.0 | 934.0 |
| 2026-04-26 | 88.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 19.0 | 39.0 | 192.0 | 396.0 | 614.0 | 883.0 |
| 2026-05-03 | 84.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 18.0 | 37.0 | 183.0 | 376.0 | 585.0 | 841.0 |
| 2026-05-10 | 78.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 17.0 | 34.0 | 170.0 | 351.0 | 547.0 | 790.0 |
| 2026-05-17 | 74.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 16.0 | 33.0 | 162.0 | 332.0 | 517.0 | 755.0 |
| 2026-05-24 | 72.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 15.0 | 31.0 | 156.0 | 322.0 | 500.0 | 736.0 |
| 2026-05-31 | 67.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 14.0 | 29.0 | 146.0 | 300.0 | 466.0 | 691.0 |
| 2026-06-07 | 66.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 14.0 | 28.0 | 144.0 | 297.0 | 462.0 | 693.0 |
| 2026-06-14 | 63.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 13.0 | 27.0 | 139.0 | 283.0 | 441.0 | 663.0 |
| 2026-06-21 | 61.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 26.0 | 135.0 | 278.0 | 433.0 | 660.0 |
| 2026-06-28 | 59.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 25.0 | 133.0 | 272.0 | 422.0 | 640.0 |
| 2026-07-05 | 58.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 25.0 | 131.0 | 269.0 | 420.0 | 643.0 |
| 2026-07-12 | 56.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 24.0 | 129.0 | 267.0 | 415.0 | 629.0 |
| 2026-07-19 | 56.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 24.0 | 129.0 | 268.0 | 417.0 | 637.0 |
| 2026-07-26 | 56.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 24.0 | 130.0 | 273.0 | 426.0 | 643.0 |
| 2026-08-02 | 54.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 23.0 | 126.0 | 266.0 | 414.0 | 627.0 |
| 2026-08-09 | 56.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 24.0 | 132.0 | 279.0 | 438.0 | 655.0 |
| 2026-08-16 | 54.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 22.0 | 126.0 | 270.0 | 423.0 | 631.0 |
| 2026-08-23 | 54.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 23.0 | 129.0 | 277.0 | 441.0 | 656.0 |
| 2026-08-30 | 53.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 22.0 | 127.0 | 274.0 | 434.0 | 638.0 |
| 2026-09-06 | 54.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 22.0 | 128.0 | 277.0 | 444.0 | 658.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 53.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 22.0 | 126.0 | 274.0 | 438.0 | 640.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 53.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 22.0 | 126.0 | 275.0 | 442.0 | 655.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 52.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 21.0 | 124.0 | 273.0 | 439.0 | 646.0 |
| 2026-10-04 | 52.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 21.0 | 123.0 | 270.0 | 434.0 | 644.0 |
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Interval Bounds
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