Prediction 4611
| Model | LNCC-SURGE-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Alagoas |
Description:
Forecast for UF=AL (Model4 SURGE)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | 21.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 43.0 | 80.0 | 118.0 | 165.0 |
| 2025-10-12 | 24.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 50.0 | 93.0 | 137.0 | 192.0 |
| 2025-10-19 | 28.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 58.0 | 109.0 | 160.0 | 223.0 |
| 2025-10-26 | 33.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 16.0 | 67.0 | 126.0 | 185.0 | 259.0 |
| 2025-11-02 | 38.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 19.0 | 78.0 | 146.0 | 215.0 | 301.0 |
| 2025-11-09 | 44.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 22.0 | 90.0 | 170.0 | 250.0 | 349.0 |
| 2025-11-16 | 51.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | 25.0 | 105.0 | 197.0 | 290.0 | 406.0 |
| 2025-11-23 | 59.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 15.0 | 29.0 | 121.0 | 229.0 | 337.0 | 471.0 |
| 2025-11-30 | 69.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 18.0 | 34.0 | 141.0 | 266.0 | 391.0 | 546.0 |
| 2025-12-07 | 80.0 | 10.0 | 13.0 | 20.0 | 39.0 | 163.0 | 308.0 | 453.0 | 633.0 |
| 2025-12-14 | 93.0 | 11.0 | 15.0 | 24.0 | 45.0 | 189.0 | 357.0 | 525.0 | 734.0 |
| 2025-12-21 | 107.0 | 13.0 | 18.0 | 27.0 | 53.0 | 219.0 | 413.0 | 608.0 | 849.0 |
| 2026-01-04 | 124.0 | 15.0 | 21.0 | 32.0 | 61.0 | 253.0 | 478.0 | 702.0 | 982.0 |
| 2026-01-11 | 143.0 | 17.0 | 24.0 | 37.0 | 70.0 | 292.0 | 551.0 | 811.0 | 1133.0 |
| 2026-01-18 | 165.0 | 20.0 | 28.0 | 42.0 | 81.0 | 336.0 | 635.0 | 934.0 | 1305.0 |
| 2026-01-25 | 189.0 | 23.0 | 32.0 | 48.0 | 93.0 | 386.0 | 729.0 | 1072.0 | 1499.0 |
| 2026-02-01 | 216.0 | 26.0 | 36.0 | 55.0 | 106.0 | 442.0 | 834.0 | 1226.0 | 1714.0 |
| 2026-02-08 | 246.0 | 30.0 | 41.0 | 63.0 | 121.0 | 503.0 | 949.0 | 1395.0 | 1950.0 |
| 2026-02-15 | 278.0 | 34.0 | 47.0 | 71.0 | 137.0 | 568.0 | 1072.0 | 1577.0 | 2204.0 |
| 2026-02-22 | 312.0 | 38.0 | 52.0 | 80.0 | 153.0 | 637.0 | 1202.0 | 1767.0 | 2470.0 |
| 2026-03-01 | 346.0 | 42.0 | 58.0 | 89.0 | 170.0 | 706.0 | 1333.0 | 1960.0 | 2740.0 |
| 2026-03-08 | 378.0 | 46.0 | 63.0 | 97.0 | 186.0 | 773.0 | 1459.0 | 2145.0 | 2999.0 |
| 2026-03-15 | 408.0 | 50.0 | 68.0 | 104.0 | 200.0 | 833.0 | 1572.0 | 2311.0 | 3231.0 |
| 2026-03-22 | 432.0 | 53.0 | 72.0 | 111.0 | 212.0 | 881.0 | 1664.0 | 2446.0 | 3420.0 |
| 2026-03-29 | 448.0 | 55.0 | 75.0 | 115.0 | 220.0 | 914.0 | 1725.0 | 2537.0 | 3546.0 |
| 2026-04-05 | 454.0 | 56.0 | 76.0 | 116.0 | 223.0 | 927.0 | 1751.0 | 2574.0 | 3598.0 |
| 2026-04-12 | 451.0 | 55.0 | 75.0 | 115.0 | 221.0 | 920.0 | 1737.0 | 2554.0 | 3570.0 |
| 2026-04-19 | 437.0 | 53.0 | 73.0 | 112.0 | 215.0 | 893.0 | 1686.0 | 2479.0 | 3465.0 |
| 2026-04-26 | 416.0 | 51.0 | 70.0 | 106.0 | 204.0 | 849.0 | 1603.0 | 2356.0 | 3294.0 |
| 2026-05-03 | 388.0 | 47.0 | 65.0 | 99.0 | 191.0 | 792.0 | 1495.0 | 2198.0 | 3073.0 |
| 2026-05-10 | 356.0 | 44.0 | 60.0 | 91.0 | 175.0 | 727.0 | 1372.0 | 2017.0 | 2820.0 |
| 2026-05-17 | 322.0 | 39.0 | 54.0 | 83.0 | 158.0 | 658.0 | 1242.0 | 1826.0 | 2553.0 |
| 2026-05-24 | 288.0 | 35.0 | 48.0 | 74.0 | 142.0 | 589.0 | 1111.0 | 1634.0 | 2285.0 |
| 2026-05-31 | 256.0 | 31.0 | 43.0 | 65.0 | 126.0 | 522.0 | 986.0 | 1449.0 | 2026.0 |
| 2026-06-07 | 225.0 | 28.0 | 38.0 | 58.0 | 111.0 | 460.0 | 868.0 | 1276.0 | 1784.0 |
| 2026-06-14 | 197.0 | 24.0 | 33.0 | 50.0 | 97.0 | 403.0 | 760.0 | 1117.0 | 1562.0 |
| 2026-06-21 | 172.0 | 21.0 | 29.0 | 44.0 | 84.0 | 351.0 | 663.0 | 974.0 | 1362.0 |
| 2026-06-28 | 149.0 | 18.0 | 25.0 | 38.0 | 73.0 | 305.0 | 576.0 | 847.0 | 1184.0 |
| 2026-07-05 | 130.0 | 16.0 | 22.0 | 33.0 | 64.0 | 264.0 | 499.0 | 734.0 | 1026.0 |
| 2026-07-12 | 112.0 | 14.0 | 19.0 | 29.0 | 55.0 | 229.0 | 432.0 | 635.0 | 888.0 |
| 2026-07-19 | 97.0 | 12.0 | 16.0 | 25.0 | 48.0 | 198.0 | 373.0 | 549.0 | 767.0 |
| 2026-07-26 | 84.0 | 10.0 | 14.0 | 21.0 | 41.0 | 171.0 | 322.0 | 474.0 | 662.0 |
| 2026-08-02 | 72.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 | 18.0 | 35.0 | 147.0 | 278.0 | 409.0 | 571.0 |
| 2026-08-09 | 62.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 16.0 | 31.0 | 127.0 | 240.0 | 352.0 | 493.0 |
| 2026-08-16 | 54.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 14.0 | 26.0 | 109.0 | 207.0 | 304.0 | 425.0 |
| 2026-08-23 | 46.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 23.0 | 94.0 | 178.0 | 262.0 | 366.0 |
| 2026-08-30 | 40.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 20.0 | 81.0 | 153.0 | 225.0 | 315.0 |
| 2026-09-06 | 34.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 17.0 | 70.0 | 132.0 | 194.0 | 271.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 29.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 14.0 | 60.0 | 114.0 | 167.0 | 234.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 25.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | 52.0 | 98.0 | 144.0 | 201.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 22.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | 45.0 | 84.0 | 124.0 | 173.0 |
| 2026-10-04 | 18.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 37.0 | 69.0 | 102.0 | 142.0 |
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