Prediction 4614
| Model | LNCC-SURGE-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Bahia |
Description:
Forecast for UF=BA (Model4 SURGE)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | 73.0 | 12.0 | 16.0 | 23.0 | 39.0 | 133.0 | 228.0 | 318.0 | 420.0 |
| 2025-10-12 | 87.0 | 14.0 | 19.0 | 27.0 | 47.0 | 157.0 | 270.0 | 377.0 | 497.0 |
| 2025-10-19 | 102.0 | 17.0 | 23.0 | 32.0 | 55.0 | 186.0 | 320.0 | 445.0 | 588.0 |
| 2025-10-26 | 121.0 | 20.0 | 27.0 | 38.0 | 65.0 | 220.0 | 378.0 | 527.0 | 695.0 |
| 2025-11-02 | 143.0 | 24.0 | 32.0 | 45.0 | 77.0 | 260.0 | 447.0 | 623.0 | 821.0 |
| 2025-11-09 | 169.0 | 28.0 | 38.0 | 53.0 | 91.0 | 308.0 | 528.0 | 736.0 | 971.0 |
| 2025-11-16 | 200.0 | 33.0 | 45.0 | 63.0 | 108.0 | 363.0 | 624.0 | 870.0 | 1148.0 |
| 2025-11-23 | 237.0 | 39.0 | 53.0 | 74.0 | 127.0 | 430.0 | 738.0 | 1028.0 | 1356.0 |
| 2025-11-30 | 279.0 | 46.0 | 62.0 | 88.0 | 150.0 | 507.0 | 871.0 | 1215.0 | 1602.0 |
| 2025-12-07 | 330.0 | 55.0 | 74.0 | 104.0 | 177.0 | 599.0 | 1029.0 | 1434.0 | 1892.0 |
| 2025-12-14 | 389.0 | 64.0 | 87.0 | 123.0 | 209.0 | 707.0 | 1214.0 | 1692.0 | 2232.0 |
| 2025-12-21 | 459.0 | 76.0 | 103.0 | 144.0 | 246.0 | 833.0 | 1430.0 | 1994.0 | 2630.0 |
| 2026-01-04 | 540.0 | 89.0 | 121.0 | 170.0 | 290.0 | 980.0 | 1683.0 | 2347.0 | 3096.0 |
| 2026-01-11 | 634.0 | 105.0 | 142.0 | 200.0 | 341.0 | 1151.0 | 1977.0 | 2757.0 | 3636.0 |
| 2026-01-18 | 743.0 | 123.0 | 166.0 | 234.0 | 399.0 | 1349.0 | 2317.0 | 3230.0 | 4260.0 |
| 2026-01-25 | 867.0 | 144.0 | 194.0 | 273.0 | 466.0 | 1575.0 | 2704.0 | 3770.0 | 4972.0 |
| 2026-02-01 | 1007.0 | 167.0 | 225.0 | 317.0 | 541.0 | 1829.0 | 3141.0 | 4378.0 | 5775.0 |
| 2026-02-08 | 1162.0 | 192.0 | 260.0 | 366.0 | 624.0 | 2110.0 | 3623.0 | 5051.0 | 6663.0 |
| 2026-02-15 | 1328.0 | 220.0 | 297.0 | 418.0 | 714.0 | 2412.0 | 4143.0 | 5775.0 | 7618.0 |
| 2026-02-22 | 1501.0 | 249.0 | 336.0 | 473.0 | 807.0 | 2726.0 | 4682.0 | 6527.0 | 8609.0 |
| 2026-03-01 | 1672.0 | 277.0 | 374.0 | 526.0 | 898.0 | 3036.0 | 5213.0 | 7268.0 | 9586.0 |
| 2026-03-08 | 1827.0 | 303.0 | 409.0 | 575.0 | 982.0 | 3318.0 | 5699.0 | 7945.0 | 10479.0 |
| 2026-03-15 | 1954.0 | 324.0 | 437.0 | 615.0 | 1050.0 | 3549.0 | 6095.0 | 8496.0 | 11207.0 |
| 2026-03-22 | 2038.0 | 338.0 | 456.0 | 642.0 | 1095.0 | 3701.0 | 6356.0 | 8861.0 | 11688.0 |
| 2026-03-29 | 2068.0 | 343.0 | 463.0 | 651.0 | 1112.0 | 3756.0 | 6451.0 | 8993.0 | 11862.0 |
| 2026-04-05 | 2041.0 | 338.0 | 456.0 | 643.0 | 1097.0 | 3707.0 | 6366.0 | 8875.0 | 11706.0 |
| 2026-04-12 | 1960.0 | 325.0 | 438.0 | 617.0 | 1053.0 | 3560.0 | 6113.0 | 8522.0 | 11241.0 |
| 2026-04-19 | 1835.0 | 304.0 | 410.0 | 578.0 | 986.0 | 3333.0 | 5724.0 | 7979.0 | 10525.0 |
| 2026-04-26 | 1681.0 | 278.0 | 376.0 | 529.0 | 903.0 | 3052.0 | 5242.0 | 7308.0 | 9639.0 |
| 2026-05-03 | 1511.0 | 250.0 | 338.0 | 476.0 | 812.0 | 2744.0 | 4712.0 | 6569.0 | 8665.0 |
| 2026-05-10 | 1338.0 | 222.0 | 299.0 | 421.0 | 719.0 | 2430.0 | 4173.0 | 5817.0 | 7673.0 |
| 2026-05-17 | 1171.0 | 194.0 | 262.0 | 369.0 | 629.0 | 2126.0 | 3651.0 | 5090.0 | 6714.0 |
| 2026-05-24 | 1015.0 | 168.0 | 227.0 | 320.0 | 546.0 | 1844.0 | 3166.0 | 4414.0 | 5822.0 |
| 2026-05-31 | 874.0 | 145.0 | 196.0 | 275.0 | 470.0 | 1588.0 | 2727.0 | 3802.0 | 5015.0 |
| 2026-06-07 | 749.0 | 124.0 | 168.0 | 236.0 | 403.0 | 1361.0 | 2337.0 | 3258.0 | 4297.0 |
| 2026-06-14 | 640.0 | 106.0 | 143.0 | 201.0 | 344.0 | 1162.0 | 1995.0 | 2781.0 | 3669.0 |
| 2026-06-21 | 545.0 | 90.0 | 122.0 | 172.0 | 293.0 | 989.0 | 1699.0 | 2368.0 | 3124.0 |
| 2026-06-28 | 463.0 | 77.0 | 103.0 | 146.0 | 249.0 | 841.0 | 1443.0 | 2012.0 | 2654.0 |
| 2026-07-05 | 393.0 | 65.0 | 88.0 | 124.0 | 211.0 | 713.0 | 1225.0 | 1707.0 | 2252.0 |
| 2026-07-12 | 333.0 | 55.0 | 74.0 | 105.0 | 179.0 | 605.0 | 1038.0 | 1447.0 | 1909.0 |
| 2026-07-19 | 282.0 | 47.0 | 63.0 | 89.0 | 152.0 | 512.0 | 879.0 | 1226.0 | 1617.0 |
| 2026-07-26 | 239.0 | 40.0 | 53.0 | 75.0 | 128.0 | 434.0 | 745.0 | 1038.0 | 1369.0 |
| 2026-08-02 | 202.0 | 33.0 | 45.0 | 64.0 | 109.0 | 367.0 | 630.0 | 878.0 | 1159.0 |
| 2026-08-09 | 171.0 | 28.0 | 38.0 | 54.0 | 92.0 | 310.0 | 533.0 | 743.0 | 980.0 |
| 2026-08-16 | 145.0 | 24.0 | 32.0 | 46.0 | 78.0 | 263.0 | 451.0 | 629.0 | 829.0 |
| 2026-08-23 | 122.0 | 20.0 | 27.0 | 39.0 | 66.0 | 222.0 | 381.0 | 532.0 | 701.0 |
| 2026-08-30 | 103.0 | 17.0 | 23.0 | 33.0 | 56.0 | 188.0 | 323.0 | 450.0 | 593.0 |
| 2026-09-06 | 87.0 | 14.0 | 20.0 | 28.0 | 47.0 | 159.0 | 273.0 | 380.0 | 501.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 74.0 | 12.0 | 17.0 | 23.0 | 40.0 | 134.0 | 231.0 | 321.0 | 424.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 63.0 | 10.0 | 14.0 | 20.0 | 34.0 | 114.0 | 195.0 | 272.0 | 359.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 53.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 | 17.0 | 28.0 | 96.0 | 165.0 | 230.0 | 303.0 |
| 2026-10-04 | 62.0 | 10.0 | 14.0 | 20.0 | 33.0 | 112.0 | 193.0 | 269.0 | 355.0 |
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