Prediction 4616
| Model | LNCC-SURGE-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Distrito Federal |
Description:
Forecast for UF=DF (Model4 SURGE)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | 23.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 60.0 | 142.0 | 249.0 | 398.0 |
| 2025-10-12 | 27.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 71.0 | 167.0 | 292.0 | 466.0 |
| 2025-10-19 | 32.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | 83.0 | 196.0 | 342.0 | 547.0 |
| 2025-10-26 | 37.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 14.0 | 97.0 | 230.0 | 401.0 | 642.0 |
| 2025-11-02 | 44.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 16.0 | 114.0 | 270.0 | 471.0 | 753.0 |
| 2025-11-09 | 51.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 19.0 | 134.0 | 316.0 | 552.0 | 883.0 |
| 2025-11-16 | 60.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 22.0 | 157.0 | 371.0 | 648.0 | 1036.0 |
| 2025-11-23 | 71.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | 26.0 | 184.0 | 435.0 | 759.0 | 1215.0 |
| 2025-11-30 | 83.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 31.0 | 216.0 | 510.0 | 890.0 | 1424.0 |
| 2025-12-07 | 97.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 15.0 | 36.0 | 253.0 | 598.0 | 1044.0 | 1670.0 |
| 2025-12-14 | 114.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 17.0 | 42.0 | 297.0 | 700.0 | 1223.0 | 1956.0 |
| 2025-12-21 | 133.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 20.0 | 49.0 | 348.0 | 820.0 | 1432.0 | 2291.0 |
| 2026-01-04 | 156.0 | 9.0 | 14.0 | 24.0 | 58.0 | 407.0 | 960.0 | 1676.0 | 2681.0 |
| 2026-01-11 | 182.0 | 10.0 | 16.0 | 28.0 | 67.0 | 476.0 | 1122.0 | 1960.0 | 3135.0 |
| 2026-01-18 | 213.0 | 12.0 | 19.0 | 32.0 | 79.0 | 556.0 | 1311.0 | 2288.0 | 3660.0 |
| 2026-01-25 | 248.0 | 14.0 | 22.0 | 38.0 | 92.0 | 648.0 | 1528.0 | 2667.0 | 4267.0 |
| 2026-02-01 | 288.0 | 17.0 | 26.0 | 44.0 | 106.0 | 753.0 | 1776.0 | 3102.0 | 4962.0 |
| 2026-02-08 | 334.0 | 19.0 | 30.0 | 51.0 | 123.0 | 873.0 | 2059.0 | 3595.0 | 5751.0 |
| 2026-02-15 | 386.0 | 22.0 | 35.0 | 58.0 | 142.0 | 1008.0 | 2376.0 | 4149.0 | 6637.0 |
| 2026-02-22 | 443.0 | 25.0 | 40.0 | 67.0 | 163.0 | 1156.0 | 2727.0 | 4761.0 | 7616.0 |
| 2026-03-01 | 504.0 | 29.0 | 45.0 | 76.0 | 186.0 | 1317.0 | 3105.0 | 5422.0 | 8673.0 |
| 2026-03-08 | 568.0 | 33.0 | 51.0 | 86.0 | 210.0 | 1485.0 | 3501.0 | 6113.0 | 9779.0 |
| 2026-03-15 | 633.0 | 36.0 | 57.0 | 96.0 | 234.0 | 1654.0 | 3899.0 | 6808.0 | 10890.0 |
| 2026-03-22 | 694.0 | 40.0 | 62.0 | 105.0 | 256.0 | 1813.0 | 4275.0 | 7465.0 | 11941.0 |
| 2026-03-29 | 747.0 | 43.0 | 67.0 | 113.0 | 276.0 | 1951.0 | 4602.0 | 8034.0 | 12852.0 |
| 2026-04-05 | 787.0 | 45.0 | 71.0 | 119.0 | 290.0 | 2056.0 | 4847.0 | 8463.0 | 13539.0 |
| 2026-04-12 | 809.0 | 46.0 | 73.0 | 123.0 | 299.0 | 2115.0 | 4986.0 | 8706.0 | 13927.0 |
| 2026-04-19 | 812.0 | 47.0 | 73.0 | 123.0 | 300.0 | 2121.0 | 5001.0 | 8732.0 | 13969.0 |
| 2026-04-26 | 794.0 | 46.0 | 71.0 | 120.0 | 293.0 | 2074.0 | 4891.0 | 8540.0 | 13661.0 |
| 2026-05-03 | 758.0 | 43.0 | 68.0 | 115.0 | 280.0 | 1980.0 | 4669.0 | 8151.0 | 13040.0 |
| 2026-05-10 | 707.0 | 41.0 | 64.0 | 107.0 | 261.0 | 1848.0 | 4359.0 | 7610.0 | 12174.0 |
| 2026-05-17 | 648.0 | 37.0 | 58.0 | 98.0 | 239.0 | 1693.0 | 3992.0 | 6970.0 | 11149.0 |
| 2026-05-24 | 584.0 | 33.0 | 53.0 | 89.0 | 216.0 | 1525.0 | 3597.0 | 6280.0 | 10046.0 |
| 2026-05-31 | 519.0 | 30.0 | 47.0 | 79.0 | 192.0 | 1356.0 | 3199.0 | 5585.0 | 8934.0 |
| 2026-06-07 | 457.0 | 26.0 | 41.0 | 69.0 | 169.0 | 1194.0 | 2815.0 | 4914.0 | 7862.0 |
| 2026-06-14 | 399.0 | 23.0 | 36.0 | 60.0 | 147.0 | 1042.0 | 2457.0 | 4290.0 | 6863.0 |
| 2026-06-21 | 346.0 | 20.0 | 31.0 | 52.0 | 128.0 | 904.0 | 2132.0 | 3722.0 | 5954.0 |
| 2026-06-28 | 299.0 | 17.0 | 27.0 | 45.0 | 110.0 | 781.0 | 1841.0 | 3214.0 | 5141.0 |
| 2026-07-05 | 257.0 | 15.0 | 23.0 | 39.0 | 95.0 | 672.0 | 1584.0 | 2766.0 | 4424.0 |
| 2026-07-12 | 221.0 | 13.0 | 20.0 | 33.0 | 81.0 | 577.0 | 1360.0 | 2374.0 | 3797.0 |
| 2026-07-19 | 189.0 | 11.0 | 17.0 | 29.0 | 70.0 | 494.0 | 1165.0 | 2034.0 | 3253.0 |
| 2026-07-26 | 162.0 | 9.0 | 15.0 | 25.0 | 60.0 | 423.0 | 996.0 | 1740.0 | 2783.0 |
| 2026-08-02 | 138.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 21.0 | 51.0 | 361.0 | 852.0 | 1487.0 | 2379.0 |
| 2026-08-09 | 118.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 18.0 | 44.0 | 308.0 | 727.0 | 1270.0 | 2031.0 |
| 2026-08-16 | 101.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 15.0 | 37.0 | 263.0 | 621.0 | 1084.0 | 1734.0 |
| 2026-08-23 | 86.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 13.0 | 32.0 | 225.0 | 530.0 | 925.0 | 1479.0 |
| 2026-08-30 | 73.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 27.0 | 192.0 | 452.0 | 789.0 | 1262.0 |
| 2026-09-06 | 63.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 23.0 | 163.0 | 385.0 | 673.0 | 1076.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 53.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 20.0 | 139.0 | 328.0 | 574.0 | 917.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 45.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 17.0 | 119.0 | 280.0 | 489.0 | 782.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 39.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 14.0 | 101.0 | 239.0 | 417.0 | 667.0 |
| 2026-10-04 | 20.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 51.0 | 121.0 | 212.0 | 339.0 |
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