Prediction 4617
| Model | LNCC-SURGE-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | EspĂrito Santo |
Description:
Forecast for UF=ES (Model4 SURGE)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | 66.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 17.0 | 33.0 | 134.0 | 256.0 | 372.0 | 527.0 |
| 2025-10-12 | 77.0 | 10.0 | 14.0 | 20.0 | 38.0 | 155.0 | 297.0 | 432.0 | 612.0 |
| 2025-10-19 | 89.0 | 11.0 | 16.0 | 23.0 | 44.0 | 180.0 | 345.0 | 502.0 | 711.0 |
| 2025-10-26 | 104.0 | 13.0 | 19.0 | 27.0 | 51.0 | 209.0 | 401.0 | 583.0 | 825.0 |
| 2025-11-02 | 120.0 | 15.0 | 22.0 | 32.0 | 60.0 | 243.0 | 466.0 | 677.0 | 958.0 |
| 2025-11-09 | 140.0 | 18.0 | 25.0 | 37.0 | 69.0 | 282.0 | 541.0 | 786.0 | 1113.0 |
| 2025-11-16 | 162.0 | 21.0 | 29.0 | 43.0 | 81.0 | 328.0 | 628.0 | 913.0 | 1292.0 |
| 2025-11-23 | 188.0 | 24.0 | 34.0 | 49.0 | 93.0 | 380.0 | 729.0 | 1060.0 | 1500.0 |
| 2025-11-30 | 219.0 | 28.0 | 39.0 | 57.0 | 108.0 | 441.0 | 846.0 | 1229.0 | 1740.0 |
| 2025-12-07 | 254.0 | 32.0 | 46.0 | 66.0 | 126.0 | 512.0 | 981.0 | 1426.0 | 2019.0 |
| 2025-12-14 | 294.0 | 38.0 | 53.0 | 77.0 | 146.0 | 593.0 | 1137.0 | 1653.0 | 2340.0 |
| 2025-12-21 | 340.0 | 43.0 | 61.0 | 89.0 | 169.0 | 687.0 | 1317.0 | 1914.0 | 2710.0 |
| 2026-01-04 | 394.0 | 50.0 | 71.0 | 103.0 | 195.0 | 795.0 | 1523.0 | 2215.0 | 3135.0 |
| 2026-01-11 | 455.0 | 58.0 | 82.0 | 119.0 | 226.0 | 918.0 | 1760.0 | 2558.0 | 3622.0 |
| 2026-01-18 | 525.0 | 67.0 | 94.0 | 137.0 | 260.0 | 1059.0 | 2029.0 | 2950.0 | 4176.0 |
| 2026-01-25 | 603.0 | 77.0 | 108.0 | 158.0 | 299.0 | 1218.0 | 2333.0 | 3393.0 | 4803.0 |
| 2026-02-01 | 692.0 | 88.0 | 124.0 | 181.0 | 343.0 | 1396.0 | 2674.0 | 3888.0 | 5504.0 |
| 2026-02-08 | 789.0 | 101.0 | 142.0 | 207.0 | 391.0 | 1593.0 | 3052.0 | 4437.0 | 6281.0 |
| 2026-02-15 | 895.0 | 114.0 | 161.0 | 234.0 | 444.0 | 1807.0 | 3462.0 | 5033.0 | 7125.0 |
| 2026-02-22 | 1008.0 | 129.0 | 181.0 | 264.0 | 500.0 | 2034.0 | 3898.0 | 5667.0 | 8022.0 |
| 2026-03-01 | 1124.0 | 143.0 | 202.0 | 294.0 | 558.0 | 2269.0 | 4347.0 | 6320.0 | 8947.0 |
| 2026-03-08 | 1239.0 | 158.0 | 223.0 | 325.0 | 615.0 | 2501.0 | 4792.0 | 6967.0 | 9863.0 |
| 2026-03-15 | 1347.0 | 172.0 | 242.0 | 353.0 | 668.0 | 2718.0 | 5207.0 | 7571.0 | 10717.0 |
| 2026-03-22 | 1439.0 | 184.0 | 258.0 | 377.0 | 714.0 | 2904.0 | 5564.0 | 8089.0 | 11451.0 |
| 2026-03-29 | 1508.0 | 192.0 | 271.0 | 395.0 | 748.0 | 3044.0 | 5832.0 | 8479.0 | 12003.0 |
| 2026-04-05 | 1548.0 | 198.0 | 278.0 | 405.0 | 768.0 | 3124.0 | 5985.0 | 8702.0 | 12319.0 |
| 2026-04-12 | 1554.0 | 198.0 | 279.0 | 407.0 | 771.0 | 3136.0 | 6008.0 | 8735.0 | 12365.0 |
| 2026-04-19 | 1525.0 | 195.0 | 274.0 | 399.0 | 757.0 | 3078.0 | 5897.0 | 8574.0 | 12138.0 |
| 2026-04-26 | 1465.0 | 187.0 | 263.0 | 384.0 | 727.0 | 2957.0 | 5665.0 | 8237.0 | 11660.0 |
| 2026-05-03 | 1380.0 | 176.0 | 248.0 | 361.0 | 684.0 | 2785.0 | 5335.0 | 7756.0 | 10980.0 |
| 2026-05-10 | 1277.0 | 163.0 | 229.0 | 334.0 | 633.0 | 2576.0 | 4936.0 | 7176.0 | 10159.0 |
| 2026-05-17 | 1163.0 | 148.0 | 209.0 | 305.0 | 577.0 | 2348.0 | 4498.0 | 6540.0 | 9258.0 |
| 2026-05-24 | 1047.0 | 134.0 | 188.0 | 274.0 | 519.0 | 2113.0 | 4048.0 | 5885.0 | 8331.0 |
| 2026-05-31 | 932.0 | 119.0 | 167.0 | 244.0 | 463.0 | 1882.0 | 3606.0 | 5242.0 | 7421.0 |
| 2026-06-07 | 824.0 | 105.0 | 148.0 | 216.0 | 409.0 | 1663.0 | 3186.0 | 4632.0 | 6557.0 |
| 2026-06-14 | 723.0 | 92.0 | 130.0 | 189.0 | 359.0 | 1460.0 | 2797.0 | 4067.0 | 5757.0 |
| 2026-06-21 | 632.0 | 81.0 | 114.0 | 166.0 | 314.0 | 1276.0 | 2444.0 | 3553.0 | 5030.0 |
| 2026-06-28 | 550.0 | 70.0 | 99.0 | 144.0 | 273.0 | 1110.0 | 2127.0 | 3093.0 | 4378.0 |
| 2026-07-05 | 477.0 | 61.0 | 86.0 | 125.0 | 237.0 | 964.0 | 1846.0 | 2684.0 | 3800.0 |
| 2026-07-12 | 414.0 | 53.0 | 74.0 | 108.0 | 205.0 | 835.0 | 1599.0 | 2325.0 | 3291.0 |
| 2026-07-19 | 358.0 | 46.0 | 64.0 | 94.0 | 177.0 | 722.0 | 1383.0 | 2011.0 | 2846.0 |
| 2026-07-26 | 309.0 | 39.0 | 55.0 | 81.0 | 153.0 | 623.0 | 1194.0 | 1737.0 | 2458.0 |
| 2026-08-02 | 267.0 | 34.0 | 48.0 | 70.0 | 132.0 | 538.0 | 1031.0 | 1499.0 | 2121.0 |
| 2026-08-09 | 230.0 | 29.0 | 41.0 | 60.0 | 114.0 | 464.0 | 889.0 | 1292.0 | 1829.0 |
| 2026-08-16 | 198.0 | 25.0 | 36.0 | 52.0 | 98.0 | 400.0 | 766.0 | 1114.0 | 1577.0 |
| 2026-08-23 | 171.0 | 22.0 | 31.0 | 45.0 | 85.0 | 345.0 | 660.0 | 960.0 | 1359.0 |
| 2026-08-30 | 147.0 | 19.0 | 26.0 | 39.0 | 73.0 | 297.0 | 569.0 | 827.0 | 1170.0 |
| 2026-09-06 | 127.0 | 16.0 | 23.0 | 33.0 | 63.0 | 256.0 | 490.0 | 712.0 | 1008.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 109.0 | 14.0 | 20.0 | 29.0 | 54.0 | 220.0 | 422.0 | 613.0 | 868.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 94.0 | 12.0 | 17.0 | 25.0 | 47.0 | 189.0 | 363.0 | 528.0 | 747.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 81.0 | 10.0 | 15.0 | 21.0 | 40.0 | 163.0 | 313.0 | 454.0 | 643.0 |
| 2026-10-04 | 57.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 15.0 | 28.0 | 115.0 | 220.0 | 320.0 | 453.0 |
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