Prediction 4624
| Model | LNCC-SURGE-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Paraíba |
Description:
Forecast for UF=PB (Model4 SURGE)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | 39.0 | 9.0 | 11.0 | 15.0 | 23.0 | 65.0 | 100.0 | 130.0 | 160.0 |
| 2025-10-12 | 45.0 | 10.0 | 13.0 | 17.0 | 27.0 | 75.0 | 116.0 | 150.0 | 186.0 |
| 2025-10-19 | 53.0 | 12.0 | 15.0 | 20.0 | 32.0 | 87.0 | 135.0 | 175.0 | 216.0 |
| 2025-10-26 | 61.0 | 14.0 | 18.0 | 23.0 | 37.0 | 101.0 | 157.0 | 203.0 | 250.0 |
| 2025-11-02 | 71.0 | 16.0 | 21.0 | 27.0 | 43.0 | 118.0 | 182.0 | 235.0 | 290.0 |
| 2025-11-09 | 82.0 | 19.0 | 24.0 | 31.0 | 49.0 | 136.0 | 211.0 | 273.0 | 337.0 |
| 2025-11-16 | 96.0 | 22.0 | 28.0 | 36.0 | 57.0 | 158.0 | 245.0 | 316.0 | 391.0 |
| 2025-11-23 | 111.0 | 25.0 | 32.0 | 42.0 | 66.0 | 183.0 | 284.0 | 367.0 | 452.0 |
| 2025-11-30 | 128.0 | 30.0 | 37.0 | 49.0 | 77.0 | 212.0 | 328.0 | 424.0 | 523.0 |
| 2025-12-07 | 148.0 | 34.0 | 43.0 | 56.0 | 89.0 | 245.0 | 379.0 | 490.0 | 605.0 |
| 2025-12-14 | 171.0 | 39.0 | 49.0 | 65.0 | 102.0 | 282.0 | 438.0 | 565.0 | 698.0 |
| 2025-12-21 | 197.0 | 45.0 | 57.0 | 75.0 | 118.0 | 325.0 | 504.0 | 651.0 | 803.0 |
| 2026-01-04 | 226.0 | 52.0 | 65.0 | 86.0 | 135.0 | 373.0 | 578.0 | 746.0 | 921.0 |
| 2026-01-11 | 258.0 | 59.0 | 75.0 | 98.0 | 154.0 | 426.0 | 660.0 | 852.0 | 1052.0 |
| 2026-01-18 | 293.0 | 67.0 | 85.0 | 111.0 | 175.0 | 484.0 | 749.0 | 968.0 | 1195.0 |
| 2026-01-25 | 330.0 | 76.0 | 95.0 | 125.0 | 198.0 | 545.0 | 845.0 | 1092.0 | 1348.0 |
| 2026-02-01 | 369.0 | 85.0 | 107.0 | 140.0 | 221.0 | 610.0 | 945.0 | 1221.0 | 1506.0 |
| 2026-02-08 | 408.0 | 94.0 | 118.0 | 155.0 | 244.0 | 674.0 | 1044.0 | 1349.0 | 1665.0 |
| 2026-02-15 | 444.0 | 102.0 | 129.0 | 169.0 | 266.0 | 734.0 | 1138.0 | 1470.0 | 1814.0 |
| 2026-02-22 | 476.0 | 110.0 | 138.0 | 181.0 | 286.0 | 787.0 | 1220.0 | 1577.0 | 1946.0 |
| 2026-03-01 | 501.0 | 115.0 | 145.0 | 191.0 | 301.0 | 829.0 | 1284.0 | 1659.0 | 2048.0 |
| 2026-03-08 | 517.0 | 119.0 | 150.0 | 196.0 | 310.0 | 854.0 | 1324.0 | 1711.0 | 2111.0 |
| 2026-03-15 | 521.0 | 120.0 | 151.0 | 198.0 | 312.0 | 861.0 | 1335.0 | 1725.0 | 2128.0 |
| 2026-03-22 | 514.0 | 118.0 | 149.0 | 195.0 | 308.0 | 849.0 | 1316.0 | 1701.0 | 2099.0 |
| 2026-03-29 | 496.0 | 114.0 | 143.0 | 188.0 | 297.0 | 819.0 | 1270.0 | 1641.0 | 2025.0 |
| 2026-04-05 | 469.0 | 108.0 | 136.0 | 178.0 | 281.0 | 775.0 | 1200.0 | 1551.0 | 1914.0 |
| 2026-04-12 | 435.0 | 100.0 | 126.0 | 165.0 | 261.0 | 719.0 | 1114.0 | 1440.0 | 1777.0 |
| 2026-04-19 | 398.0 | 92.0 | 115.0 | 151.0 | 238.0 | 657.0 | 1019.0 | 1316.0 | 1624.0 |
| 2026-04-26 | 359.0 | 83.0 | 104.0 | 136.0 | 215.0 | 593.0 | 919.0 | 1187.0 | 1465.0 |
| 2026-05-03 | 320.0 | 74.0 | 93.0 | 122.0 | 192.0 | 529.0 | 820.0 | 1059.0 | 1307.0 |
| 2026-05-10 | 283.0 | 65.0 | 82.0 | 108.0 | 170.0 | 468.0 | 726.0 | 937.0 | 1157.0 |
| 2026-05-17 | 249.0 | 57.0 | 72.0 | 95.0 | 149.0 | 411.0 | 638.0 | 824.0 | 1017.0 |
| 2026-05-24 | 218.0 | 50.0 | 63.0 | 83.0 | 130.0 | 360.0 | 558.0 | 721.0 | 889.0 |
| 2026-05-31 | 190.0 | 44.0 | 55.0 | 72.0 | 114.0 | 313.0 | 486.0 | 628.0 | 774.0 |
| 2026-06-07 | 165.0 | 38.0 | 48.0 | 63.0 | 99.0 | 272.0 | 422.0 | 545.0 | 673.0 |
| 2026-06-14 | 143.0 | 33.0 | 41.0 | 54.0 | 86.0 | 236.0 | 366.0 | 472.0 | 583.0 |
| 2026-06-21 | 123.0 | 28.0 | 36.0 | 47.0 | 74.0 | 204.0 | 316.0 | 408.0 | 504.0 |
| 2026-06-28 | 107.0 | 25.0 | 31.0 | 41.0 | 64.0 | 176.0 | 273.0 | 353.0 | 435.0 |
| 2026-07-05 | 92.0 | 21.0 | 27.0 | 35.0 | 55.0 | 152.0 | 236.0 | 305.0 | 376.0 |
| 2026-07-12 | 79.0 | 18.0 | 23.0 | 30.0 | 48.0 | 131.0 | 203.0 | 263.0 | 324.0 |
| 2026-07-19 | 68.0 | 16.0 | 20.0 | 26.0 | 41.0 | 113.0 | 175.0 | 226.0 | 279.0 |
| 2026-07-26 | 59.0 | 14.0 | 17.0 | 22.0 | 35.0 | 97.0 | 151.0 | 195.0 | 241.0 |
| 2026-08-02 | 51.0 | 12.0 | 15.0 | 19.0 | 30.0 | 84.0 | 130.0 | 168.0 | 207.0 |
| 2026-08-09 | 44.0 | 10.0 | 13.0 | 17.0 | 26.0 | 72.0 | 112.0 | 145.0 | 179.0 |
| 2026-08-16 | 38.0 | 9.0 | 11.0 | 14.0 | 23.0 | 62.0 | 96.0 | 125.0 | 154.0 |
| 2026-08-23 | 32.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 | 19.0 | 54.0 | 83.0 | 107.0 | 132.0 |
| 2026-08-30 | 28.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 17.0 | 46.0 | 72.0 | 92.0 | 114.0 |
| 2026-09-06 | 24.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 14.0 | 40.0 | 62.0 | 80.0 | 98.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 21.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 34.0 | 53.0 | 68.0 | 84.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 18.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 29.0 | 46.0 | 59.0 | 73.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 15.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 25.0 | 39.0 | 51.0 | 63.0 |
| 2026-10-04 | 34.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 13.0 | 20.0 | 56.0 | 86.0 | 112.0 | 138.0 |
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