Prediction 4625
| Model | LNCC-SURGE-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Pernambuco |
Description:
Forecast for UF=PE (Model4 SURGE)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | 54.0 | 10.0 | 13.0 | 18.0 | 31.0 | 96.0 | 162.0 | 217.0 | 291.0 |
| 2025-10-12 | 63.0 | 12.0 | 15.0 | 21.0 | 36.0 | 112.0 | 188.0 | 253.0 | 338.0 |
| 2025-10-19 | 73.0 | 14.0 | 18.0 | 24.0 | 41.0 | 130.0 | 219.0 | 293.0 | 393.0 |
| 2025-10-26 | 85.0 | 16.0 | 21.0 | 28.0 | 48.0 | 150.0 | 254.0 | 341.0 | 456.0 |
| 2025-11-02 | 98.0 | 18.0 | 24.0 | 33.0 | 56.0 | 175.0 | 295.0 | 395.0 | 530.0 |
| 2025-11-09 | 114.0 | 21.0 | 28.0 | 38.0 | 65.0 | 203.0 | 342.0 | 459.0 | 615.0 |
| 2025-11-16 | 133.0 | 25.0 | 32.0 | 44.0 | 75.0 | 235.0 | 397.0 | 533.0 | 714.0 |
| 2025-11-23 | 154.0 | 29.0 | 37.0 | 52.0 | 87.0 | 273.0 | 461.0 | 618.0 | 828.0 |
| 2025-11-30 | 178.0 | 33.0 | 43.0 | 60.0 | 101.0 | 316.0 | 534.0 | 716.0 | 960.0 |
| 2025-12-07 | 207.0 | 39.0 | 50.0 | 69.0 | 117.0 | 366.0 | 618.0 | 830.0 | 1112.0 |
| 2025-12-14 | 239.0 | 45.0 | 58.0 | 80.0 | 135.0 | 424.0 | 715.0 | 960.0 | 1286.0 |
| 2025-12-21 | 276.0 | 52.0 | 67.0 | 93.0 | 156.0 | 490.0 | 827.0 | 1109.0 | 1486.0 |
| 2026-01-04 | 319.0 | 60.0 | 78.0 | 107.0 | 180.0 | 565.0 | 953.0 | 1279.0 | 1714.0 |
| 2026-01-11 | 367.0 | 69.0 | 89.0 | 123.0 | 207.0 | 650.0 | 1097.0 | 1472.0 | 1972.0 |
| 2026-01-18 | 420.0 | 79.0 | 102.0 | 141.0 | 237.0 | 745.0 | 1258.0 | 1687.0 | 2261.0 |
| 2026-01-25 | 480.0 | 90.0 | 117.0 | 161.0 | 271.0 | 851.0 | 1436.0 | 1926.0 | 2581.0 |
| 2026-02-01 | 545.0 | 102.0 | 133.0 | 183.0 | 307.0 | 966.0 | 1630.0 | 2187.0 | 2930.0 |
| 2026-02-08 | 614.0 | 115.0 | 150.0 | 206.0 | 346.0 | 1088.0 | 1837.0 | 2465.0 | 3302.0 |
| 2026-02-15 | 685.0 | 129.0 | 167.0 | 230.0 | 387.0 | 1215.0 | 2051.0 | 2752.0 | 3687.0 |
| 2026-02-22 | 757.0 | 142.0 | 184.0 | 254.0 | 427.0 | 1342.0 | 2264.0 | 3038.0 | 4070.0 |
| 2026-03-01 | 824.0 | 155.0 | 201.0 | 276.0 | 465.0 | 1460.0 | 2465.0 | 3307.0 | 4431.0 |
| 2026-03-08 | 882.0 | 165.0 | 215.0 | 296.0 | 498.0 | 1564.0 | 2639.0 | 3540.0 | 4744.0 |
| 2026-03-15 | 926.0 | 174.0 | 226.0 | 310.0 | 523.0 | 1643.0 | 2772.0 | 3719.0 | 4983.0 |
| 2026-03-22 | 953.0 | 179.0 | 232.0 | 319.0 | 538.0 | 1690.0 | 2852.0 | 3826.0 | 5127.0 |
| 2026-03-29 | 959.0 | 180.0 | 234.0 | 321.0 | 541.0 | 1700.0 | 2870.0 | 3850.0 | 5159.0 |
| 2026-04-05 | 944.0 | 177.0 | 230.0 | 316.0 | 533.0 | 1673.0 | 2824.0 | 3789.0 | 5076.0 |
| 2026-04-12 | 909.0 | 171.0 | 221.0 | 305.0 | 513.0 | 1611.0 | 2719.0 | 3648.0 | 4888.0 |
| 2026-04-19 | 857.0 | 161.0 | 209.0 | 287.0 | 484.0 | 1520.0 | 2566.0 | 3443.0 | 4613.0 |
| 2026-04-26 | 795.0 | 149.0 | 194.0 | 266.0 | 449.0 | 1409.0 | 2379.0 | 3191.0 | 4276.0 |
| 2026-05-03 | 725.0 | 136.0 | 177.0 | 243.0 | 409.0 | 1286.0 | 2171.0 | 2913.0 | 3903.0 |
| 2026-05-10 | 654.0 | 123.0 | 159.0 | 219.0 | 369.0 | 1159.0 | 1956.0 | 2625.0 | 3516.0 |
| 2026-05-17 | 583.0 | 109.0 | 142.0 | 195.0 | 329.0 | 1033.0 | 1744.0 | 2340.0 | 3135.0 |
| 2026-05-24 | 515.0 | 97.0 | 126.0 | 173.0 | 291.0 | 914.0 | 1542.0 | 2069.0 | 2773.0 |
| 2026-05-31 | 453.0 | 85.0 | 110.0 | 152.0 | 256.0 | 803.0 | 1355.0 | 1818.0 | 2436.0 |
| 2026-06-07 | 396.0 | 74.0 | 96.0 | 133.0 | 223.0 | 702.0 | 1184.0 | 1589.0 | 2129.0 |
| 2026-06-14 | 345.0 | 65.0 | 84.0 | 115.0 | 194.0 | 611.0 | 1031.0 | 1384.0 | 1854.0 |
| 2026-06-21 | 299.0 | 56.0 | 73.0 | 100.0 | 169.0 | 531.0 | 895.0 | 1201.0 | 1610.0 |
| 2026-06-28 | 259.0 | 49.0 | 63.0 | 87.0 | 146.0 | 460.0 | 776.0 | 1041.0 | 1394.0 |
| 2026-07-05 | 224.0 | 42.0 | 55.0 | 75.0 | 127.0 | 398.0 | 671.0 | 900.0 | 1206.0 |
| 2026-07-12 | 194.0 | 36.0 | 47.0 | 65.0 | 109.0 | 343.0 | 580.0 | 778.0 | 1042.0 |
| 2026-07-19 | 167.0 | 31.0 | 41.0 | 56.0 | 94.0 | 296.0 | 500.0 | 671.0 | 899.0 |
| 2026-07-26 | 144.0 | 27.0 | 35.0 | 48.0 | 81.0 | 256.0 | 431.0 | 579.0 | 775.0 |
| 2026-08-02 | 124.0 | 23.0 | 30.0 | 42.0 | 70.0 | 220.0 | 372.0 | 499.0 | 668.0 |
| 2026-08-09 | 107.0 | 20.0 | 26.0 | 36.0 | 60.0 | 190.0 | 320.0 | 430.0 | 576.0 |
| 2026-08-16 | 92.0 | 17.0 | 22.0 | 31.0 | 52.0 | 164.0 | 276.0 | 370.0 | 496.0 |
| 2026-08-23 | 79.0 | 15.0 | 19.0 | 27.0 | 45.0 | 141.0 | 238.0 | 319.0 | 427.0 |
| 2026-08-30 | 68.0 | 13.0 | 17.0 | 23.0 | 39.0 | 121.0 | 205.0 | 275.0 | 368.0 |
| 2026-09-06 | 59.0 | 11.0 | 14.0 | 20.0 | 33.0 | 104.0 | 176.0 | 236.0 | 317.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 51.0 | 10.0 | 12.0 | 17.0 | 29.0 | 90.0 | 152.0 | 204.0 | 273.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 44.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 15.0 | 25.0 | 77.0 | 131.0 | 175.0 | 235.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 38.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | 21.0 | 67.0 | 112.0 | 151.0 | 202.0 |
| 2026-10-04 | 47.0 | 9.0 | 11.0 | 16.0 | 26.0 | 83.0 | 140.0 | 187.0 | 251.0 |
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