Prediction 4627
| Model | LNCC-SURGE-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Paraná |
Description:
Forecast for UF=PR (Model4 SURGE)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | 24.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 86.0 | 312.0 | 653.0 | 1189.0 |
| 2025-10-12 | 30.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 108.0 | 389.0 | 814.0 | 1484.0 |
| 2025-10-19 | 37.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 134.0 | 485.0 | 1016.0 | 1852.0 |
| 2025-10-26 | 46.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 12.0 | 167.0 | 606.0 | 1268.0 | 2311.0 |
| 2025-11-02 | 58.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 15.0 | 209.0 | 756.0 | 1583.0 | 2884.0 |
| 2025-11-09 | 72.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 19.0 | 261.0 | 943.0 | 1975.0 | 3598.0 |
| 2025-11-16 | 90.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 24.0 | 325.0 | 1177.0 | 2464.0 | 4490.0 |
| 2025-11-23 | 112.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 30.0 | 406.0 | 1468.0 | 3074.0 | 5602.0 |
| 2025-11-30 | 140.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 37.0 | 506.0 | 1831.0 | 3835.0 | 6988.0 |
| 2025-12-07 | 174.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 14.0 | 46.0 | 632.0 | 2284.0 | 4783.0 | 8716.0 |
| 2025-12-14 | 217.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 17.0 | 57.0 | 788.0 | 2848.0 | 5964.0 | 10868.0 |
| 2025-12-21 | 271.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 21.0 | 72.0 | 982.0 | 3550.0 | 7434.0 | 13546.0 |
| 2026-01-04 | 337.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 26.0 | 89.0 | 1223.0 | 4422.0 | 9260.0 | 16873.0 |
| 2026-01-11 | 419.0 | 8.0 | 16.0 | 33.0 | 111.0 | 1521.0 | 5502.0 | 11522.0 | 20994.0 |
| 2026-01-18 | 521.0 | 10.0 | 19.0 | 41.0 | 138.0 | 1890.0 | 6835.0 | 14313.0 | 26080.0 |
| 2026-01-25 | 646.0 | 12.0 | 24.0 | 51.0 | 171.0 | 2342.0 | 8470.0 | 17736.0 | 32318.0 |
| 2026-02-01 | 797.0 | 15.0 | 30.0 | 63.0 | 211.0 | 2891.0 | 10455.0 | 21894.0 | 39895.0 |
| 2026-02-08 | 978.0 | 18.0 | 36.0 | 77.0 | 259.0 | 3548.0 | 12832.0 | 26870.0 | 48963.0 |
| 2026-02-15 | 1190.0 | 22.0 | 44.0 | 93.0 | 315.0 | 4316.0 | 15611.0 | 32691.0 | 59568.0 |
| 2026-02-22 | 1429.0 | 27.0 | 53.0 | 112.0 | 378.0 | 5184.0 | 18749.0 | 39262.0 | 71542.0 |
| 2026-03-01 | 1685.0 | 31.0 | 62.0 | 132.0 | 446.0 | 6111.0 | 22104.0 | 46286.0 | 84341.0 |
| 2026-03-08 | 1936.0 | 36.0 | 72.0 | 152.0 | 512.0 | 7022.0 | 25396.0 | 53181.0 | 96904.0 |
| 2026-03-15 | 2150.0 | 40.0 | 80.0 | 169.0 | 569.0 | 7799.0 | 28209.0 | 59071.0 | 107638.0 |
| 2026-03-22 | 2291.0 | 43.0 | 85.0 | 180.0 | 606.0 | 8311.0 | 30058.0 | 62943.0 | 114692.0 |
| 2026-03-29 | 2329.0 | 43.0 | 86.0 | 183.0 | 616.0 | 8448.0 | 30556.0 | 63985.0 | 116592.0 |
| 2026-04-05 | 2255.0 | 42.0 | 84.0 | 177.0 | 596.0 | 8181.0 | 29589.0 | 61960.0 | 112902.0 |
| 2026-04-12 | 2087.0 | 39.0 | 77.0 | 164.0 | 552.0 | 7569.0 | 27374.0 | 57322.0 | 104451.0 |
| 2026-04-19 | 1856.0 | 35.0 | 69.0 | 146.0 | 491.0 | 6733.0 | 24352.0 | 50994.0 | 92920.0 |
| 2026-04-26 | 1601.0 | 30.0 | 59.0 | 126.0 | 423.0 | 5806.0 | 21000.0 | 43974.0 | 80128.0 |
| 2026-05-03 | 1349.0 | 25.0 | 50.0 | 106.0 | 357.0 | 4892.0 | 17693.0 | 37049.0 | 67509.0 |
| 2026-05-10 | 1118.0 | 21.0 | 41.0 | 88.0 | 296.0 | 4054.0 | 14662.0 | 30702.0 | 55944.0 |
| 2026-05-17 | 916.0 | 17.0 | 34.0 | 72.0 | 242.0 | 3321.0 | 12012.0 | 25154.0 | 45834.0 |
| 2026-05-24 | 744.0 | 14.0 | 28.0 | 58.0 | 197.0 | 2700.0 | 9766.0 | 20451.0 | 37265.0 |
| 2026-05-31 | 602.0 | 11.0 | 22.0 | 47.0 | 159.0 | 2184.0 | 7900.0 | 16543.0 | 30145.0 |
| 2026-06-07 | 486.0 | 9.0 | 18.0 | 38.0 | 128.0 | 1761.0 | 6369.0 | 13338.0 | 24304.0 |
| 2026-06-14 | 391.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 31.0 | 103.0 | 1417.0 | 5124.0 | 10730.0 | 19552.0 |
| 2026-06-21 | 314.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 25.0 | 83.0 | 1138.0 | 4117.0 | 8620.0 | 15708.0 |
| 2026-06-28 | 252.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 20.0 | 67.0 | 914.0 | 3304.0 | 6919.0 | 12608.0 |
| 2026-07-05 | 202.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 16.0 | 53.0 | 733.0 | 2651.0 | 5550.0 | 10114.0 |
| 2026-07-12 | 162.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 13.0 | 43.0 | 588.0 | 2125.0 | 4451.0 | 8110.0 |
| 2026-07-19 | 130.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 34.0 | 471.0 | 1704.0 | 3568.0 | 6502.0 |
| 2026-07-26 | 104.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 28.0 | 378.0 | 1366.0 | 2860.0 | 5212.0 |
| 2026-08-02 | 83.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 22.0 | 303.0 | 1095.0 | 2292.0 | 4177.0 |
| 2026-08-09 | 67.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 18.0 | 243.0 | 877.0 | 1837.0 | 3348.0 |
| 2026-08-16 | 54.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 14.0 | 194.0 | 703.0 | 1472.0 | 2683.0 |
| 2026-08-23 | 43.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 11.0 | 156.0 | 563.0 | 1180.0 | 2150.0 |
| 2026-08-30 | 34.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 125.0 | 452.0 | 945.0 | 1723.0 |
| 2026-09-06 | 28.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 100.0 | 362.0 | 758.0 | 1381.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 22.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 80.0 | 290.0 | 607.0 | 1106.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 18.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 64.0 | 232.0 | 487.0 | 887.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 51.0 | 186.0 | 390.0 | 710.0 |
| 2026-10-04 | 19.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 69.0 | 250.0 | 523.0 | 953.0 |
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