Prediction 4628
| Model | LNCC-SURGE-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Rio de Janeiro |
Description:
Forecast for UF=RJ (Model4 SURGE)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | 58.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 21.0 | 161.0 | 396.0 | 701.0 | 1156.0 |
| 2025-10-12 | 70.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 25.0 | 193.0 | 475.0 | 842.0 | 1388.0 |
| 2025-10-19 | 84.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | 30.0 | 232.0 | 571.0 | 1011.0 | 1666.0 |
| 2025-10-26 | 100.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 14.0 | 36.0 | 278.0 | 685.0 | 1214.0 | 2000.0 |
| 2025-11-02 | 120.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 17.0 | 43.0 | 334.0 | 823.0 | 1457.0 | 2401.0 |
| 2025-11-09 | 145.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 21.0 | 52.0 | 401.0 | 987.0 | 1748.0 | 2882.0 |
| 2025-11-16 | 173.0 | 8.0 | 14.0 | 25.0 | 62.0 | 481.0 | 1185.0 | 2098.0 | 3458.0 |
| 2025-11-23 | 208.0 | 9.0 | 17.0 | 30.0 | 75.0 | 577.0 | 1421.0 | 2517.0 | 4148.0 |
| 2025-11-30 | 249.0 | 11.0 | 20.0 | 35.0 | 89.0 | 692.0 | 1704.0 | 3018.0 | 4974.0 |
| 2025-12-07 | 299.0 | 13.0 | 24.0 | 43.0 | 107.0 | 830.0 | 2042.0 | 3617.0 | 5961.0 |
| 2025-12-14 | 358.0 | 16.0 | 29.0 | 51.0 | 128.0 | 993.0 | 2445.0 | 4331.0 | 7138.0 |
| 2025-12-21 | 428.0 | 19.0 | 34.0 | 61.0 | 154.0 | 1188.0 | 2925.0 | 5179.0 | 8537.0 |
| 2026-01-04 | 511.0 | 23.0 | 41.0 | 73.0 | 183.0 | 1419.0 | 3492.0 | 6184.0 | 10193.0 |
| 2026-01-11 | 609.0 | 27.0 | 49.0 | 87.0 | 218.0 | 1690.0 | 4159.0 | 7366.0 | 12141.0 |
| 2026-01-18 | 723.0 | 32.0 | 58.0 | 103.0 | 259.0 | 2006.0 | 4937.0 | 8743.0 | 14410.0 |
| 2026-01-25 | 854.0 | 38.0 | 68.0 | 121.0 | 306.0 | 2369.0 | 5831.0 | 10327.0 | 17022.0 |
| 2026-02-01 | 1001.0 | 45.0 | 80.0 | 142.0 | 359.0 | 2779.0 | 6841.0 | 12115.0 | 19970.0 |
| 2026-02-08 | 1164.0 | 52.0 | 93.0 | 166.0 | 417.0 | 3230.0 | 7952.0 | 14082.0 | 23212.0 |
| 2026-02-15 | 1336.0 | 59.0 | 106.0 | 190.0 | 479.0 | 3708.0 | 9127.0 | 16164.0 | 26643.0 |
| 2026-02-22 | 1508.0 | 67.0 | 120.0 | 215.0 | 541.0 | 4186.0 | 10305.0 | 18249.0 | 30080.0 |
| 2026-03-01 | 1668.0 | 74.0 | 133.0 | 237.0 | 598.0 | 4628.0 | 11393.0 | 20175.0 | 33255.0 |
| 2026-03-08 | 1797.0 | 80.0 | 143.0 | 256.0 | 644.0 | 4987.0 | 12276.0 | 21740.0 | 35834.0 |
| 2026-03-15 | 1880.0 | 84.0 | 150.0 | 267.0 | 674.0 | 5217.0 | 12841.0 | 22740.0 | 37483.0 |
| 2026-03-22 | 1903.0 | 85.0 | 152.0 | 271.0 | 683.0 | 5283.0 | 13004.0 | 23028.0 | 37957.0 |
| 2026-03-29 | 1864.0 | 83.0 | 149.0 | 265.0 | 669.0 | 5174.0 | 12737.0 | 22556.0 | 37180.0 |
| 2026-04-05 | 1769.0 | 79.0 | 141.0 | 252.0 | 634.0 | 4909.0 | 12084.0 | 21400.0 | 35274.0 |
| 2026-04-12 | 1630.0 | 73.0 | 130.0 | 232.0 | 585.0 | 4525.0 | 11139.0 | 19727.0 | 32516.0 |
| 2026-04-19 | 1467.0 | 65.0 | 117.0 | 209.0 | 526.0 | 4070.0 | 10020.0 | 17744.0 | 29247.0 |
| 2026-04-26 | 1293.0 | 58.0 | 103.0 | 184.0 | 464.0 | 3589.0 | 8835.0 | 15646.0 | 25790.0 |
| 2026-05-03 | 1123.0 | 50.0 | 89.0 | 160.0 | 403.0 | 3116.0 | 7671.0 | 13585.0 | 22392.0 |
| 2026-05-10 | 964.0 | 43.0 | 77.0 | 137.0 | 346.0 | 2674.0 | 6583.0 | 11657.0 | 19215.0 |
| 2026-05-17 | 820.0 | 36.0 | 65.0 | 117.0 | 294.0 | 2275.0 | 5600.0 | 9918.0 | 16347.0 |
| 2026-05-24 | 693.0 | 31.0 | 55.0 | 99.0 | 249.0 | 1924.0 | 4735.0 | 8385.0 | 13821.0 |
| 2026-05-31 | 583.0 | 26.0 | 46.0 | 83.0 | 209.0 | 1619.0 | 3985.0 | 7057.0 | 11633.0 |
| 2026-06-07 | 489.0 | 22.0 | 39.0 | 70.0 | 176.0 | 1358.0 | 3344.0 | 5921.0 | 9760.0 |
| 2026-06-14 | 410.0 | 18.0 | 33.0 | 58.0 | 147.0 | 1137.0 | 2799.0 | 4957.0 | 8171.0 |
| 2026-06-21 | 342.0 | 15.0 | 27.0 | 49.0 | 123.0 | 950.0 | 2340.0 | 4143.0 | 6829.0 |
| 2026-06-28 | 286.0 | 13.0 | 23.0 | 41.0 | 103.0 | 794.0 | 1953.0 | 3459.0 | 5702.0 |
| 2026-07-05 | 239.0 | 11.0 | 19.0 | 34.0 | 86.0 | 662.0 | 1630.0 | 2886.0 | 4757.0 |
| 2026-07-12 | 199.0 | 9.0 | 16.0 | 28.0 | 71.0 | 552.0 | 1359.0 | 2407.0 | 3967.0 |
| 2026-07-19 | 166.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 24.0 | 59.0 | 460.0 | 1133.0 | 2006.0 | 3306.0 |
| 2026-07-26 | 138.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | 20.0 | 50.0 | 383.0 | 944.0 | 1672.0 | 2755.0 |
| 2026-08-02 | 115.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 16.0 | 41.0 | 319.0 | 786.0 | 1393.0 | 2296.0 |
| 2026-08-09 | 96.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 14.0 | 34.0 | 266.0 | 655.0 | 1160.0 | 1912.0 |
| 2026-08-16 | 80.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | 29.0 | 222.0 | 546.0 | 966.0 | 1593.0 |
| 2026-08-23 | 67.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 24.0 | 185.0 | 455.0 | 805.0 | 1327.0 |
| 2026-08-30 | 55.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 20.0 | 154.0 | 379.0 | 671.0 | 1105.0 |
| 2026-09-06 | 46.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 17.0 | 128.0 | 315.0 | 558.0 | 921.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 38.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 14.0 | 107.0 | 263.0 | 465.0 | 767.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 32.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 89.0 | 219.0 | 387.0 | 639.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 27.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 74.0 | 182.0 | 323.0 | 532.0 |
| 2026-10-04 | 48.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 17.0 | 134.0 | 330.0 | 584.0 | 963.0 |
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