Prediction 4629
| Model | LNCC-SURGE-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Rio Grande do Norte |
Description:
Forecast for UF=RN (Model4 SURGE)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | 31.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 17.0 | 57.0 | 98.0 | 137.0 | 179.0 |
| 2025-10-12 | 36.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 20.0 | 67.0 | 114.0 | 160.0 | 208.0 |
| 2025-10-19 | 42.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 14.0 | 23.0 | 77.0 | 132.0 | 185.0 | 242.0 |
| 2025-10-26 | 49.0 | 9.0 | 11.0 | 16.0 | 27.0 | 90.0 | 153.0 | 215.0 | 281.0 |
| 2025-11-02 | 57.0 | 10.0 | 13.0 | 18.0 | 31.0 | 104.0 | 178.0 | 250.0 | 326.0 |
| 2025-11-09 | 66.0 | 12.0 | 15.0 | 21.0 | 36.0 | 121.0 | 207.0 | 290.0 | 379.0 |
| 2025-11-16 | 76.0 | 14.0 | 18.0 | 25.0 | 42.0 | 141.0 | 240.0 | 337.0 | 440.0 |
| 2025-11-23 | 88.0 | 16.0 | 21.0 | 29.0 | 49.0 | 163.0 | 278.0 | 391.0 | 511.0 |
| 2025-11-30 | 103.0 | 18.0 | 24.0 | 34.0 | 57.0 | 189.0 | 323.0 | 454.0 | 593.0 |
| 2025-12-07 | 119.0 | 21.0 | 28.0 | 39.0 | 66.0 | 220.0 | 375.0 | 526.0 | 687.0 |
| 2025-12-14 | 138.0 | 25.0 | 32.0 | 45.0 | 77.0 | 254.0 | 434.0 | 610.0 | 796.0 |
| 2025-12-21 | 160.0 | 29.0 | 37.0 | 52.0 | 89.0 | 295.0 | 503.0 | 706.0 | 922.0 |
| 2026-01-04 | 185.0 | 33.0 | 43.0 | 60.0 | 103.0 | 341.0 | 581.0 | 817.0 | 1066.0 |
| 2026-01-11 | 213.0 | 38.0 | 50.0 | 70.0 | 118.0 | 394.0 | 671.0 | 943.0 | 1231.0 |
| 2026-01-18 | 246.0 | 44.0 | 57.0 | 80.0 | 137.0 | 453.0 | 774.0 | 1087.0 | 1419.0 |
| 2026-01-25 | 282.0 | 50.0 | 66.0 | 92.0 | 157.0 | 521.0 | 889.0 | 1249.0 | 1630.0 |
| 2026-02-01 | 323.0 | 58.0 | 75.0 | 106.0 | 180.0 | 597.0 | 1018.0 | 1430.0 | 1867.0 |
| 2026-02-08 | 368.0 | 66.0 | 86.0 | 120.0 | 205.0 | 680.0 | 1160.0 | 1629.0 | 2127.0 |
| 2026-02-15 | 417.0 | 75.0 | 97.0 | 136.0 | 232.0 | 770.0 | 1313.0 | 1845.0 | 2408.0 |
| 2026-02-22 | 468.0 | 84.0 | 109.0 | 153.0 | 260.0 | 865.0 | 1475.0 | 2072.0 | 2705.0 |
| 2026-03-01 | 521.0 | 93.0 | 122.0 | 170.0 | 289.0 | 962.0 | 1640.0 | 2305.0 | 3009.0 |
| 2026-03-08 | 572.0 | 102.0 | 134.0 | 187.0 | 318.0 | 1056.0 | 1802.0 | 2532.0 | 3305.0 |
| 2026-03-15 | 619.0 | 111.0 | 144.0 | 202.0 | 344.0 | 1143.0 | 1950.0 | 2739.0 | 3576.0 |
| 2026-03-22 | 658.0 | 118.0 | 154.0 | 215.0 | 366.0 | 1215.0 | 2073.0 | 2912.0 | 3802.0 |
| 2026-03-29 | 686.0 | 123.0 | 160.0 | 224.0 | 381.0 | 1267.0 | 2161.0 | 3036.0 | 3963.0 |
| 2026-04-05 | 700.0 | 125.0 | 163.0 | 229.0 | 389.0 | 1292.0 | 2205.0 | 3098.0 | 4044.0 |
| 2026-04-12 | 699.0 | 125.0 | 163.0 | 228.0 | 388.0 | 1289.0 | 2200.0 | 3091.0 | 4035.0 |
| 2026-04-19 | 682.0 | 122.0 | 159.0 | 223.0 | 379.0 | 1258.0 | 2147.0 | 3016.0 | 3937.0 |
| 2026-04-26 | 651.0 | 116.0 | 152.0 | 213.0 | 362.0 | 1202.0 | 2051.0 | 2881.0 | 3761.0 |
| 2026-05-03 | 610.0 | 109.0 | 142.0 | 200.0 | 339.0 | 1126.0 | 1922.0 | 2700.0 | 3525.0 |
| 2026-05-10 | 562.0 | 100.0 | 131.0 | 184.0 | 312.0 | 1038.0 | 1770.0 | 2487.0 | 3247.0 |
| 2026-05-17 | 511.0 | 91.0 | 119.0 | 167.0 | 284.0 | 942.0 | 1608.0 | 2259.0 | 2948.0 |
| 2026-05-24 | 458.0 | 82.0 | 107.0 | 150.0 | 255.0 | 845.0 | 1442.0 | 2027.0 | 2645.0 |
| 2026-05-31 | 407.0 | 73.0 | 95.0 | 133.0 | 226.0 | 751.0 | 1282.0 | 1801.0 | 2351.0 |
| 2026-06-07 | 359.0 | 64.0 | 84.0 | 117.0 | 199.0 | 663.0 | 1130.0 | 1588.0 | 2073.0 |
| 2026-06-14 | 315.0 | 56.0 | 73.0 | 103.0 | 175.0 | 581.0 | 991.0 | 1392.0 | 1818.0 |
| 2026-06-21 | 275.0 | 49.0 | 64.0 | 90.0 | 153.0 | 507.0 | 865.0 | 1215.0 | 1586.0 |
| 2026-06-28 | 239.0 | 43.0 | 56.0 | 78.0 | 133.0 | 441.0 | 752.0 | 1057.0 | 1380.0 |
| 2026-07-05 | 207.0 | 37.0 | 48.0 | 68.0 | 115.0 | 382.0 | 653.0 | 917.0 | 1197.0 |
| 2026-07-12 | 179.0 | 32.0 | 42.0 | 59.0 | 100.0 | 331.0 | 565.0 | 794.0 | 1036.0 |
| 2026-07-19 | 155.0 | 28.0 | 36.0 | 51.0 | 86.0 | 286.0 | 488.0 | 686.0 | 896.0 |
| 2026-07-26 | 134.0 | 24.0 | 31.0 | 44.0 | 74.0 | 247.0 | 422.0 | 592.0 | 773.0 |
| 2026-08-02 | 116.0 | 21.0 | 27.0 | 38.0 | 64.0 | 213.0 | 364.0 | 511.0 | 667.0 |
| 2026-08-09 | 100.0 | 18.0 | 23.0 | 33.0 | 55.0 | 184.0 | 314.0 | 441.0 | 575.0 |
| 2026-08-16 | 86.0 | 15.0 | 20.0 | 28.0 | 48.0 | 158.0 | 270.0 | 380.0 | 496.0 |
| 2026-08-23 | 74.0 | 13.0 | 17.0 | 24.0 | 41.0 | 137.0 | 233.0 | 327.0 | 427.0 |
| 2026-08-30 | 64.0 | 11.0 | 15.0 | 21.0 | 35.0 | 118.0 | 201.0 | 282.0 | 368.0 |
| 2026-09-06 | 55.0 | 10.0 | 13.0 | 18.0 | 30.0 | 101.0 | 173.0 | 243.0 | 317.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 47.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 15.0 | 26.0 | 87.0 | 149.0 | 209.0 | 273.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 41.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | 23.0 | 75.0 | 128.0 | 180.0 | 235.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 35.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 19.0 | 65.0 | 110.0 | 155.0 | 202.0 |
| 2026-10-04 | 27.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 15.0 | 49.0 | 84.0 | 118.0 | 154.0 |
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