Prediction 4632
| Model | LNCC-SURGE-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Rio Grande do Sul |
Description:
Forecast for UF=RS (Model4 SURGE)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 27.0 | 61.0 |
| 2025-10-12 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 14.0 | 37.0 | 83.0 |
| 2025-10-19 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 19.0 | 50.0 | 112.0 |
| 2025-10-26 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 26.0 | 68.0 | 152.0 |
| 2025-11-02 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 35.0 | 92.0 | 207.0 |
| 2025-11-09 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 48.0 | 124.0 | 280.0 |
| 2025-11-16 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 13.0 | 64.0 | 168.0 | 379.0 |
| 2025-11-23 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 17.0 | 87.0 | 228.0 | 514.0 |
| 2025-11-30 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 24.0 | 118.0 | 309.0 | 696.0 |
| 2025-12-07 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 32.0 | 160.0 | 418.0 | 944.0 |
| 2025-12-14 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 43.0 | 217.0 | 567.0 | 1278.0 |
| 2025-12-21 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 59.0 | 294.0 | 768.0 | 1732.0 |
| 2026-01-04 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 79.0 | 398.0 | 1040.0 | 2346.0 |
| 2026-01-11 | 19.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 108.0 | 540.0 | 1408.0 | 3177.0 |
| 2026-01-18 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 146.0 | 730.0 | 1906.0 | 4300.0 |
| 2026-01-25 | 34.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 197.0 | 987.0 | 2577.0 | 5814.0 |
| 2026-02-01 | 46.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 266.0 | 1333.0 | 3478.0 | 7847.0 |
| 2026-02-08 | 62.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 357.0 | 1793.0 | 4679.0 | 10555.0 |
| 2026-02-15 | 83.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 14.0 | 478.0 | 2397.0 | 6256.0 | 14113.0 |
| 2026-02-22 | 110.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 18.0 | 632.0 | 3171.0 | 8276.0 | 18669.0 |
| 2026-03-01 | 142.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 24.0 | 820.0 | 4117.0 | 10745.0 | 24239.0 |
| 2026-03-08 | 179.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 30.0 | 1032.0 | 5181.0 | 13522.0 | 30503.0 |
| 2026-03-15 | 215.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 36.0 | 1237.0 | 6207.0 | 16201.0 | 36546.0 |
| 2026-03-22 | 240.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 40.0 | 1382.0 | 6936.0 | 18104.0 | 40838.0 |
| 2026-03-29 | 246.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 41.0 | 1417.0 | 7110.0 | 18557.0 | 41860.0 |
| 2026-04-05 | 230.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 39.0 | 1326.0 | 6657.0 | 17375.0 | 39193.0 |
| 2026-04-12 | 199.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 33.0 | 1147.0 | 5755.0 | 15020.0 | 33883.0 |
| 2026-04-19 | 162.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 27.0 | 933.0 | 4684.0 | 12226.0 | 27580.0 |
| 2026-04-26 | 127.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 21.0 | 730.0 | 3662.0 | 9559.0 | 21563.0 |
| 2026-05-03 | 97.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 16.0 | 557.0 | 2793.0 | 7290.0 | 16445.0 |
| 2026-05-10 | 73.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 12.0 | 418.0 | 2099.0 | 5480.0 | 12361.0 |
| 2026-05-17 | 54.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 312.0 | 1565.0 | 4085.0 | 9215.0 |
| 2026-05-24 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 231.0 | 1161.0 | 3032.0 | 6839.0 |
| 2026-05-31 | 30.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 171.0 | 860.0 | 2244.0 | 5062.0 |
| 2026-06-07 | 22.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 127.0 | 636.0 | 1659.0 | 3742.0 |
| 2026-06-14 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 94.0 | 469.0 | 1225.0 | 2764.0 |
| 2026-06-21 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 69.0 | 347.0 | 905.0 | 2041.0 |
| 2026-06-28 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 51.0 | 256.0 | 668.0 | 1506.0 |
| 2026-07-05 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 38.0 | 189.0 | 493.0 | 1112.0 |
| 2026-07-12 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 28.0 | 139.0 | 364.0 | 821.0 |
| 2026-07-19 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 20.0 | 103.0 | 268.0 | 606.0 |
| 2026-07-26 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 76.0 | 198.0 | 447.0 |
| 2026-08-02 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 56.0 | 146.0 | 330.0 |
| 2026-08-09 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 41.0 | 108.0 | 243.0 |
| 2026-08-16 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 31.0 | 80.0 | 180.0 |
| 2026-08-23 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 23.0 | 59.0 | 133.0 |
| 2026-08-30 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 17.0 | 43.0 | 98.0 |
| 2026-09-06 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 12.0 | 32.0 | 72.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 24.0 | 53.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 17.0 | 39.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 13.0 | 29.0 |
| 2026-10-04 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 20.0 | 45.0 |
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