Prediction 4633
| Model | LNCC-SURGE-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Santa Catarina |
Description:
Forecast for UF=SC (Model4 SURGE)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 28.0 | 85.0 | 206.0 |
| 2025-10-12 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 37.0 | 112.0 | 272.0 |
| 2025-10-19 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 49.0 | 149.0 | 361.0 |
| 2025-10-26 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 65.0 | 197.0 | 478.0 |
| 2025-11-02 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 14.0 | 86.0 | 261.0 | 633.0 |
| 2025-11-09 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 19.0 | 113.0 | 345.0 | 838.0 |
| 2025-11-16 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 25.0 | 150.0 | 457.0 | 1110.0 |
| 2025-11-23 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 33.0 | 199.0 | 606.0 | 1470.0 |
| 2025-11-30 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 44.0 | 263.0 | 802.0 | 1947.0 |
| 2025-12-07 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 58.0 | 348.0 | 1062.0 | 2578.0 |
| 2025-12-14 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 76.0 | 461.0 | 1406.0 | 3413.0 |
| 2025-12-21 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 101.0 | 611.0 | 1862.0 | 4519.0 |
| 2026-01-04 | 18.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 134.0 | 808.0 | 2465.0 | 5981.0 |
| 2026-01-11 | 24.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 177.0 | 1069.0 | 3261.0 | 7913.0 |
| 2026-01-18 | 32.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 234.0 | 1413.0 | 4310.0 | 10460.0 |
| 2026-01-25 | 42.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 309.0 | 1866.0 | 5691.0 | 13810.0 |
| 2026-02-01 | 55.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 407.0 | 2458.0 | 7495.0 | 18189.0 |
| 2026-02-08 | 72.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 534.0 | 3224.0 | 9832.0 | 23860.0 |
| 2026-02-15 | 94.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 14.0 | 695.0 | 4200.0 | 12807.0 | 31081.0 |
| 2026-02-22 | 121.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 18.0 | 895.0 | 5407.0 | 16488.0 | 40012.0 |
| 2026-03-01 | 153.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 22.0 | 1130.0 | 6826.0 | 20816.0 | 50514.0 |
| 2026-03-08 | 187.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 27.0 | 1383.0 | 8355.0 | 25480.0 | 61833.0 |
| 2026-03-15 | 219.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 32.0 | 1617.0 | 9768.0 | 29788.0 | 72289.0 |
| 2026-03-22 | 241.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 35.0 | 1776.0 | 10730.0 | 32722.0 | 79409.0 |
| 2026-03-29 | 245.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 35.0 | 1810.0 | 10939.0 | 33358.0 | 80952.0 |
| 2026-04-05 | 232.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 33.0 | 1708.0 | 10320.0 | 31470.0 | 76370.0 |
| 2026-04-12 | 204.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 29.0 | 1503.0 | 9084.0 | 27701.0 | 67224.0 |
| 2026-04-19 | 170.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 25.0 | 1254.0 | 7575.0 | 23100.0 | 56058.0 |
| 2026-04-26 | 136.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 20.0 | 1006.0 | 6082.0 | 18546.0 | 45007.0 |
| 2026-05-03 | 107.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 15.0 | 788.0 | 4764.0 | 14528.0 | 35256.0 |
| 2026-05-10 | 82.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 12.0 | 608.0 | 3676.0 | 11209.0 | 27202.0 |
| 2026-05-17 | 63.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 465.0 | 2810.0 | 8571.0 | 20799.0 |
| 2026-05-24 | 48.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 354.0 | 2137.0 | 6518.0 | 15818.0 |
| 2026-05-31 | 36.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 268.0 | 1621.0 | 4942.0 | 11994.0 |
| 2026-06-07 | 28.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 203.0 | 1227.0 | 3741.0 | 9078.0 |
| 2026-06-14 | 21.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 153.0 | 927.0 | 2828.0 | 6864.0 |
| 2026-06-21 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 116.0 | 701.0 | 2137.0 | 5187.0 |
| 2026-06-28 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 88.0 | 529.0 | 1615.0 | 3918.0 |
| 2026-07-05 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 66.0 | 400.0 | 1219.0 | 2959.0 |
| 2026-07-12 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 50.0 | 302.0 | 921.0 | 2235.0 |
| 2026-07-19 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 38.0 | 228.0 | 695.0 | 1688.0 |
| 2026-07-26 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 28.0 | 172.0 | 525.0 | 1274.0 |
| 2026-08-02 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 22.0 | 130.0 | 397.0 | 962.0 |
| 2026-08-09 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 16.0 | 98.0 | 299.0 | 727.0 |
| 2026-08-16 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 12.0 | 74.0 | 226.0 | 549.0 |
| 2026-08-23 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 56.0 | 171.0 | 414.0 |
| 2026-08-30 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 42.0 | 129.0 | 313.0 |
| 2026-09-06 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 32.0 | 97.0 | 236.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 24.0 | 74.0 | 178.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 18.0 | 56.0 | 135.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 14.0 | 42.0 | 102.0 |
| 2026-10-04 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 21.0 | 64.0 | 155.0 |
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