Prediction 4634
| Model | LNCC-SURGE-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Sergipe |
Description:
Forecast for UF=SE (Model4 SURGE)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 20.0 | 29.0 | 41.0 |
| 2025-10-12 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 12.0 | 23.0 | 34.0 | 48.0 |
| 2025-10-19 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 14.0 | 27.0 | 39.0 | 56.0 |
| 2025-10-26 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 16.0 | 31.0 | 46.0 | 64.0 |
| 2025-11-02 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 19.0 | 36.0 | 53.0 | 75.0 |
| 2025-11-09 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 22.0 | 42.0 | 62.0 | 87.0 |
| 2025-11-16 | 12.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 26.0 | 49.0 | 71.0 | 101.0 |
| 2025-11-23 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 30.0 | 57.0 | 83.0 | 117.0 |
| 2025-11-30 | 16.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 35.0 | 66.0 | 96.0 | 135.0 |
| 2025-12-07 | 19.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 40.0 | 76.0 | 111.0 | 157.0 |
| 2025-12-14 | 22.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 46.0 | 88.0 | 129.0 | 181.0 |
| 2025-12-21 | 25.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 54.0 | 102.0 | 149.0 | 210.0 |
| 2026-01-04 | 29.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 62.0 | 117.0 | 171.0 | 242.0 |
| 2026-01-11 | 34.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 16.0 | 71.0 | 135.0 | 197.0 | 278.0 |
| 2026-01-18 | 39.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 18.0 | 81.0 | 154.0 | 225.0 | 318.0 |
| 2026-01-25 | 44.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 20.0 | 93.0 | 176.0 | 257.0 | 363.0 |
| 2026-02-01 | 50.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 23.0 | 105.0 | 199.0 | 291.0 | 411.0 |
| 2026-02-08 | 56.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | 26.0 | 118.0 | 224.0 | 328.0 | 462.0 |
| 2026-02-15 | 62.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 15.0 | 29.0 | 131.0 | 249.0 | 365.0 | 514.0 |
| 2026-02-22 | 69.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 16.0 | 32.0 | 145.0 | 274.0 | 401.0 | 566.0 |
| 2026-03-01 | 74.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 18.0 | 34.0 | 157.0 | 297.0 | 435.0 | 613.0 |
| 2026-03-08 | 79.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | 19.0 | 37.0 | 167.0 | 316.0 | 463.0 | 653.0 |
| 2026-03-15 | 83.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | 20.0 | 38.0 | 174.0 | 331.0 | 484.0 | 682.0 |
| 2026-03-22 | 85.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | 20.0 | 39.0 | 178.0 | 338.0 | 495.0 | 698.0 |
| 2026-03-29 | 85.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | 20.0 | 39.0 | 178.0 | 338.0 | 495.0 | 698.0 |
| 2026-04-05 | 83.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | 20.0 | 38.0 | 174.0 | 331.0 | 484.0 | 682.0 |
| 2026-04-12 | 79.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | 19.0 | 37.0 | 167.0 | 317.0 | 463.0 | 653.0 |
| 2026-04-19 | 74.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 18.0 | 34.0 | 157.0 | 297.0 | 435.0 | 613.0 |
| 2026-04-26 | 69.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 16.0 | 32.0 | 145.0 | 274.0 | 401.0 | 566.0 |
| 2026-05-03 | 62.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 15.0 | 29.0 | 132.0 | 249.0 | 365.0 | 515.0 |
| 2026-05-10 | 56.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | 26.0 | 118.0 | 224.0 | 328.0 | 462.0 |
| 2026-05-17 | 50.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 23.0 | 105.0 | 199.0 | 292.0 | 411.0 |
| 2026-05-24 | 44.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 20.0 | 93.0 | 176.0 | 257.0 | 363.0 |
| 2026-05-31 | 39.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 18.0 | 81.0 | 154.0 | 226.0 | 318.0 |
| 2026-06-07 | 34.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 16.0 | 71.0 | 135.0 | 197.0 | 278.0 |
| 2026-06-14 | 29.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 62.0 | 117.0 | 171.0 | 242.0 |
| 2026-06-21 | 25.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 54.0 | 102.0 | 149.0 | 210.0 |
| 2026-06-28 | 22.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 46.0 | 88.0 | 129.0 | 182.0 |
| 2026-07-05 | 19.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 40.0 | 76.0 | 111.0 | 157.0 |
| 2026-07-12 | 16.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 35.0 | 66.0 | 96.0 | 136.0 |
| 2026-07-19 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 30.0 | 57.0 | 83.0 | 117.0 |
| 2026-07-26 | 12.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 26.0 | 49.0 | 72.0 | 101.0 |
| 2026-08-02 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 22.0 | 42.0 | 62.0 | 87.0 |
| 2026-08-09 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 19.0 | 36.0 | 53.0 | 75.0 |
| 2026-08-16 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 16.0 | 31.0 | 46.0 | 65.0 |
| 2026-08-23 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 14.0 | 27.0 | 39.0 | 56.0 |
| 2026-08-30 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 12.0 | 23.0 | 34.0 | 48.0 |
| 2026-09-06 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 20.0 | 29.0 | 41.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 17.0 | 25.0 | 35.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 15.0 | 22.0 | 31.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 19.0 | 26.0 |
| 2026-10-04 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 17.0 | 25.0 | 35.0 |
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