Prediction 4638
| Model | UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Alagoas |
Description:
Forecast 2025-2026 for UF=AL (UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | 22.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 63.0 | 112.0 | 148.0 | 184.0 |
| 2025-10-12 | 26.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 69.0 | 121.0 | 160.0 | 199.0 |
| 2025-10-19 | 15.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 56.0 | 105.0 | 141.0 | 178.0 |
| 2025-10-26 | 14.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 55.0 | 105.0 | 143.0 | 180.0 |
| 2025-11-02 | 16.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 59.0 | 112.0 | 151.0 | 191.0 |
| 2025-11-09 | 14.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 57.0 | 110.0 | 150.0 | 190.0 |
| 2025-11-16 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 52.0 | 104.0 | 143.0 | 183.0 |
| 2025-11-23 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 47.0 | 98.0 | 137.0 | 176.0 |
| 2025-11-30 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 49.0 | 102.0 | 142.0 | 183.0 |
| 2025-12-07 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 45.0 | 97.0 | 137.0 | 178.0 |
| 2025-12-14 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 39.0 | 90.0 | 129.0 | 169.0 |
| 2025-12-21 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 38.0 | 88.0 | 127.0 | 168.0 |
| 2026-01-04 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 55.0 | 113.0 | 157.0 | 203.0 |
| 2026-01-11 | 18.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 69.0 | 133.0 | 183.0 | 234.0 |
| 2026-01-18 | 20.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 72.0 | 137.0 | 188.0 | 241.0 |
| 2026-01-25 | 18.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 70.0 | 136.0 | 187.0 | 241.0 |
| 2026-02-01 | 28.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 85.0 | 157.0 | 213.0 | 272.0 |
| 2026-02-08 | 39.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 101.0 | 180.0 | 242.0 | 307.0 |
| 2026-02-15 | 40.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 103.0 | 184.0 | 247.0 | 313.0 |
| 2026-02-22 | 45.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 111.0 | 197.0 | 263.0 | 333.0 |
| 2026-03-01 | 57.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 130.0 | 223.0 | 296.0 | 373.0 |
| 2026-03-08 | 62.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 138.0 | 235.0 | 311.0 | 391.0 |
| 2026-03-15 | 68.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 14.0 | 146.0 | 247.0 | 327.0 | 411.0 |
| 2026-03-22 | 82.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 23.0 | 167.0 | 278.0 | 366.0 | 458.0 |
| 2026-03-29 | 87.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 26.0 | 175.0 | 290.0 | 381.0 | 477.0 |
| 2026-04-05 | 110.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 42.0 | 211.0 | 342.0 | 445.0 | 554.0 |
| 2026-04-12 | 121.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 49.0 | 228.0 | 367.0 | 477.0 | 593.0 |
| 2026-04-19 | 130.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 55.0 | 242.0 | 388.0 | 504.0 | 626.0 |
| 2026-04-26 | 144.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 15.0 | 64.0 | 264.0 | 420.0 | 544.0 | 675.0 |
| 2026-05-03 | 165.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 24.0 | 78.0 | 295.0 | 466.0 | 602.0 | 745.0 |
| 2026-05-10 | 181.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 31.0 | 88.0 | 319.0 | 502.0 | 647.0 | 801.0 |
| 2026-05-17 | 193.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 36.0 | 96.0 | 338.0 | 530.0 | 683.0 | 845.0 |
| 2026-05-24 | 189.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 34.0 | 93.0 | 332.0 | 522.0 | 674.0 | 835.0 |
| 2026-05-31 | 200.0 | 1.0 | 12.0 | 39.0 | 100.0 | 351.0 | 550.0 | 709.0 | 877.0 |
| 2026-06-07 | 213.0 | 1.0 | 16.0 | 44.0 | 108.0 | 370.0 | 579.0 | 746.0 | 923.0 |
| 2026-06-14 | 229.0 | 1.0 | 21.0 | 51.0 | 118.0 | 395.0 | 616.0 | 793.0 | 981.0 |
| 2026-06-21 | 207.0 | 1.0 | 13.0 | 40.0 | 103.0 | 362.0 | 569.0 | 735.0 | 912.0 |
| 2026-06-28 | 196.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 35.0 | 96.0 | 347.0 | 549.0 | 711.0 | 883.0 |
| 2026-07-05 | 196.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 35.0 | 96.0 | 348.0 | 551.0 | 715.0 | 889.0 |
| 2026-07-12 | 205.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 38.0 | 101.0 | 363.0 | 574.0 | 744.0 | 925.0 |
| 2026-07-19 | 184.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 28.0 | 87.0 | 332.0 | 530.0 | 690.0 | 860.0 |
| 2026-07-26 | 167.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 20.0 | 75.0 | 307.0 | 494.0 | 645.0 | 807.0 |
| 2026-08-02 | 162.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 17.0 | 71.0 | 299.0 | 484.0 | 633.0 | 793.0 |
| 2026-08-09 | 146.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 61.0 | 276.0 | 450.0 | 592.0 | 743.0 |
| 2026-08-16 | 139.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 56.0 | 266.0 | 436.0 | 575.0 | 723.0 |
| 2026-08-23 | 117.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 41.0 | 232.0 | 388.0 | 514.0 | 650.0 |
| 2026-08-30 | 113.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 39.0 | 227.0 | 381.0 | 506.0 | 641.0 |
| 2026-09-06 | 106.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 34.0 | 217.0 | 367.0 | 488.0 | 620.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 92.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 24.0 | 195.0 | 335.0 | 449.0 | 572.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 90.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 23.0 | 193.0 | 333.0 | 447.0 | 570.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 85.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 20.0 | 186.0 | 323.0 | 435.0 | 555.0 |
| 2026-10-04 | 65.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 155.0 | 277.0 | 377.0 | 485.0 |
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