Prediction 4642
| Model | UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Ceará |
Description:
Forecast 2025-2026 for UF=CE (UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | 17.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 73.0 | 148.0 | 207.0 | 270.0 |
| 2025-10-12 | 21.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 80.0 | 159.0 | 222.0 | 289.0 |
| 2025-10-19 | 19.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 79.0 | 158.0 | 222.0 | 290.0 |
| 2025-10-26 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 54.0 | 123.0 | 179.0 | 238.0 |
| 2025-11-02 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 65.0 | 141.0 | 202.0 | 267.0 |
| 2025-11-09 | 14.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 75.0 | 156.0 | 221.0 | 291.0 |
| 2025-11-16 | 38.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 112.0 | 211.0 | 291.0 | 377.0 |
| 2025-11-23 | 18.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 82.0 | 168.0 | 238.0 | 313.0 |
| 2025-11-30 | 13.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 75.0 | 158.0 | 226.0 | 299.0 |
| 2025-12-07 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 59.0 | 135.0 | 198.0 | 265.0 |
| 2025-12-14 | 14.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 76.0 | 162.0 | 232.0 | 307.0 |
| 2025-12-21 | 1.0 | -7.0 | -7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 45.0 | 116.0 | 174.0 | 236.0 |
| 2026-01-04 | 1.0 | -4.0 | -4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 49.0 | 123.0 | 183.0 | 248.0 |
| 2026-01-11 | 20.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 87.0 | 180.0 | 256.0 | 339.0 |
| 2026-01-18 | 30.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 103.0 | 204.0 | 287.0 | 377.0 |
| 2026-01-25 | 32.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 107.0 | 211.0 | 296.0 | 388.0 |
| 2026-02-01 | 32.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 108.0 | 212.0 | 298.0 | 392.0 |
| 2026-02-08 | 40.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 120.0 | 231.0 | 322.0 | 422.0 |
| 2026-02-15 | 58.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 148.0 | 274.0 | 378.0 | 491.0 |
| 2026-02-22 | 71.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 170.0 | 307.0 | 420.0 | 544.0 |
| 2026-03-01 | 47.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 133.0 | 252.0 | 350.0 | 457.0 |
| 2026-03-08 | 56.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 146.0 | 272.0 | 376.0 | 490.0 |
| 2026-03-15 | 107.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 31.0 | 228.0 | 395.0 | 534.0 | 686.0 |
| 2026-03-22 | 130.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 45.0 | 265.0 | 452.0 | 607.0 | 777.0 |
| 2026-03-29 | 160.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 64.0 | 313.0 | 526.0 | 702.0 | 895.0 |
| 2026-04-05 | 173.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 14.0 | 72.0 | 334.0 | 558.0 | 744.0 | 947.0 |
| 2026-04-12 | 177.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 15.0 | 74.0 | 340.0 | 567.0 | 756.0 | 963.0 |
| 2026-04-19 | 162.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 65.0 | 317.0 | 532.0 | 712.0 | 908.0 |
| 2026-04-26 | 159.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 63.0 | 312.0 | 525.0 | 703.0 | 897.0 |
| 2026-05-03 | 197.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 23.0 | 87.0 | 373.0 | 618.0 | 822.0 | 1046.0 |
| 2026-05-10 | 205.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 26.0 | 91.0 | 385.0 | 637.0 | 847.0 | 1077.0 |
| 2026-05-17 | 224.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 34.0 | 104.0 | 417.0 | 686.0 | 910.0 | 1156.0 |
| 2026-05-24 | 173.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 13.0 | 71.0 | 335.0 | 562.0 | 751.0 | 958.0 |
| 2026-05-31 | 124.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 40.0 | 257.0 | 443.0 | 598.0 | 768.0 |
| 2026-06-07 | 117.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 36.0 | 246.0 | 427.0 | 577.0 | 743.0 |
| 2026-06-14 | 87.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 17.0 | 198.0 | 354.0 | 484.0 | 626.0 |
| 2026-06-21 | 99.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 24.0 | 217.0 | 383.0 | 521.0 | 673.0 |
| 2026-06-28 | 82.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 12.0 | 195.0 | 357.0 | 493.0 | 644.0 |
| 2026-07-05 | 109.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 26.0 | 247.0 | 447.0 | 618.0 | 810.0 |
| 2026-07-12 | 97.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 17.0 | 233.0 | 434.0 | 608.0 | 804.0 |
| 2026-07-19 | 72.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 195.0 | 380.0 | 541.0 | 726.0 |
| 2026-07-26 | 50.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 162.0 | 331.0 | 482.0 | 654.0 |
| 2026-08-02 | 72.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 204.0 | 406.0 | 587.0 | 796.0 |
| 2026-08-09 | 78.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 218.0 | 437.0 | 633.0 | 861.0 |
| 2026-08-16 | 61.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 191.0 | 395.0 | 581.0 | 797.0 |
| 2026-08-23 | 49.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 172.0 | 368.0 | 546.0 | 755.0 |
| 2026-08-30 | 36.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 150.0 | 333.0 | 501.0 | 699.0 |
| 2026-09-06 | 27.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 136.0 | 312.0 | 474.0 | 666.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 30.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 142.0 | 325.0 | 496.0 | 698.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 20.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 125.0 | 297.0 | 458.0 | 650.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 29.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 145.0 | 334.0 | 513.0 | 725.0 |
| 2026-10-04 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 104.0 | 263.0 | 414.0 | 594.0 |
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