Prediction 4643
| Model | UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Distrito Federal |
Description:
Forecast 2025-2026 for UF=DF (UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | 18.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 78.0 | 157.0 | 221.0 | 289.0 |
| 2025-10-12 | 33.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 103.0 | 196.0 | 272.0 | 353.0 |
| 2025-10-19 | 24.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 90.0 | 180.0 | 254.0 | 333.0 |
| 2025-10-26 | 32.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 105.0 | 205.0 | 286.0 | 374.0 |
| 2025-11-02 | 63.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 155.0 | 282.0 | 386.0 | 500.0 |
| 2025-11-09 | 76.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 12.0 | 179.0 | 321.0 | 439.0 | 568.0 |
| 2025-11-16 | 126.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 42.0 | 260.0 | 448.0 | 604.0 | 775.0 |
| 2025-11-23 | 156.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 59.0 | 311.0 | 530.0 | 713.0 | 915.0 |
| 2025-11-30 | 214.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 26.0 | 94.0 | 408.0 | 684.0 | 916.0 | 1173.0 |
| 2025-12-07 | 257.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 41.0 | 119.0 | 482.0 | 803.0 | 1076.0 | 1377.0 |
| 2025-12-14 | 251.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 37.0 | 114.0 | 476.0 | 800.0 | 1076.0 | 1383.0 |
| 2025-12-21 | 239.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 30.0 | 105.0 | 460.0 | 780.0 | 1054.0 | 1360.0 |
| 2026-01-04 | 511.0 | 39.0 | 76.0 | 132.0 | 267.0 | 918.0 | 1510.0 | 2018.0 | 2587.0 |
| 2026-01-11 | 536.0 | 42.0 | 81.0 | 139.0 | 280.0 | 965.0 | 1595.0 | 2138.0 | 2748.0 |
| 2026-01-18 | 663.0 | 67.0 | 114.0 | 183.0 | 353.0 | 1186.0 | 1957.0 | 2625.0 | 3378.0 |
| 2026-01-25 | 806.0 | 95.0 | 150.0 | 232.0 | 434.0 | 1436.0 | 2369.0 | 3182.0 | 4099.0 |
| 2026-02-01 | 949.0 | 123.0 | 186.0 | 281.0 | 515.0 | 1689.0 | 2791.0 | 3754.0 | 4845.0 |
| 2026-02-08 | 1010.0 | 132.0 | 198.0 | 299.0 | 548.0 | 1804.0 | 2992.0 | 4034.0 | 5218.0 |
| 2026-02-15 | 1002.0 | 127.0 | 192.0 | 292.0 | 539.0 | 1799.0 | 3000.0 | 4057.0 | 5260.0 |
| 2026-02-22 | 1101.0 | 143.0 | 214.0 | 323.0 | 593.0 | 1980.0 | 3311.0 | 4487.0 | 5829.0 |
| 2026-03-01 | 1137.0 | 147.0 | 220.0 | 331.0 | 610.0 | 2053.0 | 3447.0 | 4681.0 | 6095.0 |
| 2026-03-08 | 1115.0 | 139.0 | 211.0 | 320.0 | 595.0 | 2026.0 | 3417.0 | 4654.0 | 6074.0 |
| 2026-03-15 | 1145.0 | 142.0 | 215.0 | 326.0 | 608.0 | 2089.0 | 3536.0 | 4827.0 | 6313.0 |
| 2026-03-22 | 1160.0 | 142.0 | 215.0 | 328.0 | 614.0 | 2125.0 | 3612.0 | 4943.0 | 6477.0 |
| 2026-03-29 | 1018.0 | 112.0 | 176.0 | 276.0 | 530.0 | 1883.0 | 3221.0 | 4422.0 | 5810.0 |
| 2026-04-05 | 1026.0 | 110.0 | 176.0 | 276.0 | 532.0 | 1905.0 | 3271.0 | 4500.0 | 5924.0 |
| 2026-04-12 | 1114.0 | 124.0 | 194.0 | 302.0 | 579.0 | 2072.0 | 3565.0 | 4912.0 | 6476.0 |
| 2026-04-19 | 1044.0 | 109.0 | 174.0 | 276.0 | 537.0 | 1954.0 | 3379.0 | 4669.0 | 6169.0 |
| 2026-04-26 | 946.0 | 89.0 | 149.0 | 242.0 | 480.0 | 1786.0 | 3106.0 | 4303.0 | 5698.0 |
| 2026-05-03 | 863.0 | 72.0 | 127.0 | 212.0 | 432.0 | 1642.0 | 2870.0 | 3988.0 | 5293.0 |
| 2026-05-10 | 786.0 | 56.0 | 107.0 | 185.0 | 388.0 | 1509.0 | 2653.0 | 3697.0 | 4918.0 |
| 2026-05-17 | 711.0 | 42.0 | 88.0 | 159.0 | 345.0 | 1378.0 | 2437.0 | 3405.0 | 4539.0 |
| 2026-05-24 | 601.0 | 21.0 | 61.0 | 122.0 | 283.0 | 1181.0 | 2106.0 | 2953.0 | 3948.0 |
| 2026-05-31 | 520.0 | 6.0 | 41.0 | 96.0 | 238.0 | 1038.0 | 1866.0 | 2626.0 | 3520.0 |
| 2026-06-07 | 406.0 | 1.0 | 14.0 | 59.0 | 175.0 | 831.0 | 1512.0 | 2140.0 | 2879.0 |
| 2026-06-14 | 325.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 32.0 | 130.0 | 684.0 | 1263.0 | 1796.0 | 2425.0 |
| 2026-06-21 | 237.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 82.0 | 525.0 | 989.0 | 1417.0 | 1924.0 |
| 2026-06-28 | 141.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 29.0 | 348.0 | 684.0 | 996.0 | 1365.0 |
| 2026-07-05 | 132.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 24.0 | 334.0 | 662.0 | 968.0 | 1331.0 |
| 2026-07-12 | 105.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 285.0 | 580.0 | 854.0 | 1181.0 |
| 2026-07-19 | 76.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 232.0 | 487.0 | 727.0 | 1012.0 |
| 2026-07-26 | 72.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 226.0 | 480.0 | 719.0 | 1003.0 |
| 2026-08-02 | 82.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 246.0 | 517.0 | 773.0 | 1079.0 |
| 2026-08-09 | 70.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 225.0 | 482.0 | 725.0 | 1017.0 |
| 2026-08-16 | 74.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 233.0 | 499.0 | 750.0 | 1053.0 |
| 2026-08-23 | 63.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 215.0 | 467.0 | 707.0 | 997.0 |
| 2026-08-30 | 68.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 224.0 | 486.0 | 736.0 | 1037.0 |
| 2026-09-06 | 75.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 239.0 | 516.0 | 780.0 | 1099.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 79.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 248.0 | 533.0 | 806.0 | 1137.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 71.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 234.0 | 511.0 | 776.0 | 1097.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 82.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 256.0 | 553.0 | 838.0 | 1185.0 |
| 2026-10-04 | 75.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 243.0 | 531.0 | 808.0 | 1145.0 |
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