Prediction 4644
| Model | UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Espírito Santo |
Description:
Forecast 2025-2026 for UF=ES (UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | 254.0 | 1.0 | 23.0 | 55.0 | 130.0 | 446.0 | 707.0 | 919.0 | 1148.0 |
| 2025-10-12 | 250.0 | 1.0 | 18.0 | 50.0 | 124.0 | 446.0 | 714.0 | 934.0 | 1173.0 |
| 2025-10-19 | 257.0 | 1.0 | 18.0 | 50.0 | 126.0 | 462.0 | 747.0 | 982.0 | 1238.0 |
| 2025-10-26 | 258.0 | 1.0 | 15.0 | 48.0 | 125.0 | 469.0 | 765.0 | 1011.0 | 1281.0 |
| 2025-11-02 | 261.0 | 1.0 | 13.0 | 46.0 | 124.0 | 479.0 | 788.0 | 1046.0 | 1330.0 |
| 2025-11-09 | 256.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 42.0 | 120.0 | 478.0 | 792.0 | 1058.0 | 1351.0 |
| 2025-11-16 | 268.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 44.0 | 125.0 | 502.0 | 837.0 | 1121.0 | 1437.0 |
| 2025-11-23 | 290.0 | 1.0 | 15.0 | 51.0 | 137.0 | 543.0 | 910.0 | 1222.0 | 1570.0 |
| 2025-11-30 | 299.0 | 1.0 | 15.0 | 52.0 | 140.0 | 563.0 | 948.0 | 1278.0 | 1647.0 |
| 2025-12-07 | 312.0 | 1.0 | 17.0 | 55.0 | 146.0 | 591.0 | 999.0 | 1352.0 | 1748.0 |
| 2025-12-14 | 342.0 | 1.0 | 23.0 | 63.0 | 162.0 | 646.0 | 1095.0 | 1485.0 | 1924.0 |
| 2025-12-21 | 513.0 | 31.0 | 68.0 | 124.0 | 260.0 | 942.0 | 1581.0 | 2137.0 | 2767.0 |
| 2026-01-04 | 703.0 | 68.0 | 116.0 | 189.0 | 369.0 | 1274.0 | 2130.0 | 2879.0 | 3730.0 |
| 2026-01-11 | 778.0 | 81.0 | 133.0 | 212.0 | 410.0 | 1414.0 | 2372.0 | 3214.0 | 4174.0 |
| 2026-01-18 | 913.0 | 104.0 | 164.0 | 256.0 | 484.0 | 1657.0 | 2785.0 | 3782.0 | 4922.0 |
| 2026-01-25 | 936.0 | 105.0 | 166.0 | 260.0 | 494.0 | 1709.0 | 2888.0 | 3933.0 | 5133.0 |
| 2026-02-01 | 1020.0 | 118.0 | 184.0 | 284.0 | 538.0 | 1867.0 | 3166.0 | 4323.0 | 5655.0 |
| 2026-02-08 | 1124.0 | 134.0 | 206.0 | 315.0 | 593.0 | 2063.0 | 3510.0 | 4805.0 | 6299.0 |
| 2026-02-15 | 1165.0 | 138.0 | 212.0 | 325.0 | 612.0 | 2148.0 | 3671.0 | 5040.0 | 6623.0 |
| 2026-02-22 | 1235.0 | 147.0 | 224.0 | 343.0 | 647.0 | 2285.0 | 3921.0 | 5396.0 | 7108.0 |
| 2026-03-01 | 1317.0 | 159.0 | 240.0 | 366.0 | 689.0 | 2446.0 | 4212.0 | 5811.0 | 7670.0 |
| 2026-03-08 | 1384.0 | 167.0 | 251.0 | 383.0 | 722.0 | 2579.0 | 4458.0 | 6166.0 | 8157.0 |
| 2026-03-15 | 1453.0 | 175.0 | 263.0 | 401.0 | 756.0 | 2717.0 | 4715.0 | 6536.0 | 8665.0 |
| 2026-03-22 | 1421.0 | 166.0 | 252.0 | 386.0 | 735.0 | 2673.0 | 4661.0 | 6479.0 | 8609.0 |
| 2026-03-29 | 1422.0 | 162.0 | 248.0 | 382.0 | 731.0 | 2688.0 | 4707.0 | 6559.0 | 8734.0 |
| 2026-04-05 | 1402.0 | 155.0 | 240.0 | 372.0 | 717.0 | 2664.0 | 4684.0 | 6544.0 | 8733.0 |
| 2026-04-12 | 1370.0 | 147.0 | 229.0 | 358.0 | 696.0 | 2617.0 | 4622.0 | 6473.0 | 8657.0 |
| 2026-04-19 | 1339.0 | 139.0 | 219.0 | 344.0 | 675.0 | 2570.0 | 4558.0 | 6399.0 | 8576.0 |
| 2026-04-26 | 1241.0 | 120.0 | 194.0 | 311.0 | 620.0 | 2399.0 | 4275.0 | 6018.0 | 8083.0 |
| 2026-05-03 | 1208.0 | 112.0 | 184.0 | 298.0 | 599.0 | 2347.0 | 4200.0 | 5926.0 | 7975.0 |
| 2026-05-10 | 1112.0 | 94.0 | 161.0 | 266.0 | 545.0 | 2176.0 | 3914.0 | 5538.0 | 7468.0 |
| 2026-05-17 | 1029.0 | 79.0 | 140.0 | 238.0 | 499.0 | 2028.0 | 3666.0 | 5200.0 | 7027.0 |
| 2026-05-24 | 921.0 | 60.0 | 115.0 | 204.0 | 439.0 | 1832.0 | 3330.0 | 4737.0 | 6416.0 |
| 2026-05-31 | 934.0 | 60.0 | 116.0 | 206.0 | 444.0 | 1864.0 | 3398.0 | 4841.0 | 6567.0 |
| 2026-06-07 | 893.0 | 52.0 | 106.0 | 192.0 | 421.0 | 1793.0 | 3282.0 | 4687.0 | 6371.0 |
| 2026-06-14 | 864.0 | 46.0 | 98.0 | 181.0 | 404.0 | 1743.0 | 3203.0 | 4584.0 | 6241.0 |
| 2026-06-21 | 802.0 | 36.0 | 84.0 | 161.0 | 370.0 | 1630.0 | 3010.0 | 4318.0 | 5890.0 |
| 2026-06-28 | 654.0 | 12.0 | 52.0 | 117.0 | 291.0 | 1352.0 | 2519.0 | 3628.0 | 4964.0 |
| 2026-07-05 | 645.0 | 10.0 | 49.0 | 113.0 | 285.0 | 1339.0 | 2505.0 | 3615.0 | 4955.0 |
| 2026-07-12 | 514.0 | 1.0 | 22.0 | 74.0 | 217.0 | 1091.0 | 2063.0 | 2991.0 | 4112.0 |
| 2026-07-19 | 426.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 48.0 | 170.0 | 924.0 | 1766.0 | 2571.0 | 3546.0 |
| 2026-07-26 | 429.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 48.0 | 171.0 | 934.0 | 1789.0 | 2609.0 | 3604.0 |
| 2026-08-02 | 402.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 40.0 | 156.0 | 885.0 | 1704.0 | 2492.0 | 3450.0 |
| 2026-08-09 | 368.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 30.0 | 138.0 | 820.0 | 1591.0 | 2334.0 | 3237.0 |
| 2026-08-16 | 342.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 22.0 | 124.0 | 772.0 | 1506.0 | 2215.0 | 3080.0 |
| 2026-08-23 | 336.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 19.0 | 120.0 | 762.0 | 1492.0 | 2199.0 | 3062.0 |
| 2026-08-30 | 298.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 101.0 | 690.0 | 1364.0 | 2017.0 | 2816.0 |
| 2026-09-06 | 279.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 90.0 | 654.0 | 1300.0 | 1928.0 | 2696.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 299.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 100.0 | 696.0 | 1382.0 | 2050.0 | 2869.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 320.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 12.0 | 110.0 | 739.0 | 1467.0 | 2176.0 | 3047.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 330.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 15.0 | 115.0 | 763.0 | 1515.0 | 2250.0 | 3153.0 |
| 2026-10-04 | 342.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 17.0 | 120.0 | 788.0 | 1565.0 | 2326.0 | 3263.0 |
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