Prediction 4646
| Model | UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Maranhão |
Description:
Forecast 2025-2026 for UF=MA (UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | 28.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 65.0 | 108.0 | 138.0 | 168.0 |
| 2025-10-12 | 32.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 71.0 | 116.0 | 148.0 | 179.0 |
| 2025-10-19 | 30.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 69.0 | 114.0 | 146.0 | 178.0 |
| 2025-10-26 | 39.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 81.0 | 129.0 | 164.0 | 198.0 |
| 2025-11-02 | 37.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 79.0 | 128.0 | 163.0 | 197.0 |
| 2025-11-09 | 40.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 83.0 | 133.0 | 169.0 | 204.0 |
| 2025-11-16 | 42.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 87.0 | 138.0 | 175.0 | 212.0 |
| 2025-11-23 | 42.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 86.0 | 138.0 | 175.0 | 212.0 |
| 2025-11-30 | 48.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 13.0 | 95.0 | 149.0 | 188.0 | 228.0 |
| 2025-12-07 | 44.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 90.0 | 143.0 | 182.0 | 221.0 |
| 2025-12-14 | 37.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 81.0 | 132.0 | 169.0 | 207.0 |
| 2025-12-21 | 40.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 85.0 | 137.0 | 176.0 | 214.0 |
| 2026-01-04 | 74.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 32.0 | 130.0 | 195.0 | 243.0 | 291.0 |
| 2026-01-11 | 107.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 22.0 | 57.0 | 174.0 | 252.0 | 310.0 | 367.0 |
| 2026-01-18 | 126.0 | 1.0 | 14.0 | 32.0 | 70.0 | 199.0 | 285.0 | 347.0 | 410.0 |
| 2026-01-25 | 129.0 | 1.0 | 15.0 | 34.0 | 73.0 | 203.0 | 291.0 | 355.0 | 419.0 |
| 2026-02-01 | 151.0 | 10.0 | 26.0 | 47.0 | 89.0 | 232.0 | 329.0 | 399.0 | 469.0 |
| 2026-02-08 | 191.0 | 28.0 | 46.0 | 70.0 | 119.0 | 287.0 | 399.0 | 481.0 | 563.0 |
| 2026-02-15 | 233.0 | 46.0 | 67.0 | 94.0 | 151.0 | 342.0 | 471.0 | 566.0 | 660.0 |
| 2026-02-22 | 257.0 | 56.0 | 78.0 | 108.0 | 169.0 | 375.0 | 513.0 | 615.0 | 716.0 |
| 2026-03-01 | 270.0 | 62.0 | 85.0 | 115.0 | 178.0 | 392.0 | 536.0 | 641.0 | 747.0 |
| 2026-03-08 | 274.0 | 63.0 | 87.0 | 118.0 | 181.0 | 398.0 | 544.0 | 651.0 | 758.0 |
| 2026-03-15 | 279.0 | 65.0 | 89.0 | 120.0 | 185.0 | 405.0 | 553.0 | 662.0 | 771.0 |
| 2026-03-22 | 282.0 | 66.0 | 90.0 | 122.0 | 187.0 | 409.0 | 559.0 | 668.0 | 778.0 |
| 2026-03-29 | 255.0 | 54.0 | 76.0 | 106.0 | 167.0 | 373.0 | 512.0 | 615.0 | 717.0 |
| 2026-04-05 | 261.0 | 57.0 | 79.0 | 109.0 | 171.0 | 381.0 | 523.0 | 627.0 | 731.0 |
| 2026-04-12 | 242.0 | 48.0 | 70.0 | 98.0 | 157.0 | 356.0 | 491.0 | 590.0 | 689.0 |
| 2026-04-19 | 250.0 | 52.0 | 74.0 | 103.0 | 163.0 | 367.0 | 505.0 | 607.0 | 709.0 |
| 2026-04-26 | 234.0 | 45.0 | 66.0 | 93.0 | 151.0 | 346.0 | 478.0 | 575.0 | 672.0 |
| 2026-05-03 | 224.0 | 40.0 | 60.0 | 87.0 | 143.0 | 332.0 | 460.0 | 554.0 | 648.0 |
| 2026-05-10 | 205.0 | 32.0 | 51.0 | 76.0 | 128.0 | 307.0 | 427.0 | 516.0 | 605.0 |
| 2026-05-17 | 193.0 | 26.0 | 45.0 | 69.0 | 119.0 | 291.0 | 407.0 | 492.0 | 577.0 |
| 2026-05-24 | 173.0 | 18.0 | 35.0 | 58.0 | 104.0 | 264.0 | 372.0 | 452.0 | 532.0 |
| 2026-05-31 | 149.0 | 7.0 | 23.0 | 44.0 | 86.0 | 232.0 | 331.0 | 404.0 | 477.0 |
| 2026-06-07 | 139.0 | 3.0 | 18.0 | 38.0 | 79.0 | 219.0 | 314.0 | 384.0 | 454.0 |
| 2026-06-14 | 113.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 23.0 | 60.0 | 185.0 | 270.0 | 332.0 | 394.0 |
| 2026-06-21 | 101.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 16.0 | 50.0 | 168.0 | 248.0 | 307.0 | 366.0 |
| 2026-06-28 | 88.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 41.0 | 152.0 | 227.0 | 282.0 | 338.0 |
| 2026-07-05 | 81.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 35.0 | 142.0 | 215.0 | 268.0 | 322.0 |
| 2026-07-12 | 55.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 16.0 | 107.0 | 170.0 | 216.0 | 262.0 |
| 2026-07-19 | 51.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 13.0 | 102.0 | 163.0 | 208.0 | 253.0 |
| 2026-07-26 | 45.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 94.0 | 153.0 | 196.0 | 239.0 |
| 2026-08-02 | 51.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 13.0 | 103.0 | 164.0 | 209.0 | 254.0 |
| 2026-08-09 | 55.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 15.0 | 107.0 | 170.0 | 216.0 | 262.0 |
| 2026-08-16 | 52.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 13.0 | 104.0 | 166.0 | 211.0 | 257.0 |
| 2026-08-23 | 46.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 96.0 | 156.0 | 200.0 | 244.0 |
| 2026-08-30 | 41.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 89.0 | 147.0 | 189.0 | 232.0 |
| 2026-09-06 | 42.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 90.0 | 148.0 | 191.0 | 234.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 44.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 94.0 | 153.0 | 196.0 | 240.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 44.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 94.0 | 153.0 | 196.0 | 240.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 32.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 77.0 | 131.0 | 170.0 | 210.0 |
| 2026-10-04 | 35.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 82.0 | 137.0 | 178.0 | 219.0 |
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