Prediction 4647
| Model | UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Minas Gerais |
Description:
Forecast 2025-2026 for UF=MG (UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | 337.0 | 26.0 | 54.0 | 94.0 | 185.0 | 572.0 | 888.0 | 1144.0 | 1420.0 |
| 2025-10-12 | 387.0 | 36.0 | 67.0 | 111.0 | 214.0 | 656.0 | 1023.0 | 1323.0 | 1648.0 |
| 2025-10-19 | 410.0 | 38.0 | 70.0 | 117.0 | 225.0 | 699.0 | 1099.0 | 1428.0 | 1786.0 |
| 2025-10-26 | 425.0 | 38.0 | 71.0 | 119.0 | 232.0 | 732.0 | 1160.0 | 1514.0 | 1901.0 |
| 2025-11-02 | 499.0 | 53.0 | 90.0 | 145.0 | 274.0 | 858.0 | 1362.0 | 1783.0 | 2246.0 |
| 2025-11-09 | 524.0 | 55.0 | 94.0 | 151.0 | 287.0 | 908.0 | 1452.0 | 1908.0 | 2412.0 |
| 2025-11-16 | 676.0 | 88.0 | 136.0 | 207.0 | 376.0 | 1164.0 | 1860.0 | 2450.0 | 3102.0 |
| 2025-11-23 | 724.0 | 95.0 | 146.0 | 221.0 | 401.0 | 1253.0 | 2015.0 | 2663.0 | 3384.0 |
| 2025-11-30 | 845.0 | 118.0 | 176.0 | 262.0 | 470.0 | 1464.0 | 2363.0 | 3132.0 | 3992.0 |
| 2025-12-07 | 920.0 | 130.0 | 192.0 | 285.0 | 511.0 | 1602.0 | 2599.0 | 3457.0 | 4418.0 |
| 2025-12-14 | 863.0 | 113.0 | 171.0 | 259.0 | 473.0 | 1520.0 | 2486.0 | 3322.0 | 4262.0 |
| 2025-12-21 | 857.0 | 107.0 | 165.0 | 252.0 | 465.0 | 1522.0 | 2506.0 | 3361.0 | 4327.0 |
| 2026-01-04 | 1754.0 | 293.0 | 404.0 | 572.0 | 987.0 | 3063.0 | 5014.0 | 6719.0 | 8651.0 |
| 2026-01-11 | 2324.0 | 404.0 | 549.0 | 768.0 | 1312.0 | 4063.0 | 6673.0 | 8963.0 | 11567.0 |
| 2026-01-18 | 2824.0 | 496.0 | 670.0 | 934.0 | 1592.0 | 4954.0 | 8170.0 | 11005.0 | 14240.0 |
| 2026-01-25 | 3291.0 | 579.0 | 779.0 | 1085.0 | 1850.0 | 5799.0 | 9608.0 | 12980.0 | 16840.0 |
| 2026-02-01 | 3857.0 | 678.0 | 911.0 | 1266.0 | 2161.0 | 6824.0 | 11358.0 | 15388.0 | 20016.0 |
| 2026-02-08 | 4257.0 | 742.0 | 997.0 | 1388.0 | 2375.0 | 7570.0 | 12659.0 | 17202.0 | 22434.0 |
| 2026-02-15 | 4855.0 | 842.0 | 1131.0 | 1574.0 | 2699.0 | 8672.0 | 14567.0 | 19851.0 | 25953.0 |
| 2026-02-22 | 5315.0 | 913.0 | 1227.0 | 1710.0 | 2942.0 | 9539.0 | 16098.0 | 21999.0 | 28831.0 |
| 2026-03-01 | 5899.0 | 1006.0 | 1351.0 | 1885.0 | 3252.0 | 10636.0 | 18028.0 | 24702.0 | 32452.0 |
| 2026-03-08 | 6574.0 | 1112.0 | 1494.0 | 2087.0 | 3610.0 | 11906.0 | 20266.0 | 27842.0 | 36662.0 |
| 2026-03-15 | 7339.0 | 1231.0 | 1655.0 | 2315.0 | 4015.0 | 13350.0 | 22819.0 | 31430.0 | 41479.0 |
| 2026-03-22 | 7630.0 | 1264.0 | 1702.0 | 2386.0 | 4155.0 | 13944.0 | 23935.0 | 33052.0 | 43718.0 |
| 2026-03-29 | 7582.0 | 1237.0 | 1671.0 | 2349.0 | 4109.0 | 13921.0 | 23999.0 | 33224.0 | 44041.0 |
| 2026-04-05 | 8302.0 | 1343.0 | 1815.0 | 2555.0 | 4482.0 | 15306.0 | 26487.0 | 36755.0 | 48823.0 |
| 2026-04-12 | 8463.0 | 1352.0 | 1831.0 | 2583.0 | 4549.0 | 15670.0 | 27224.0 | 37867.0 | 50403.0 |
| 2026-04-19 | 7921.0 | 1243.0 | 1690.0 | 2393.0 | 4237.0 | 14737.0 | 25706.0 | 35841.0 | 47804.0 |
| 2026-04-26 | 7537.0 | 1163.0 | 1587.0 | 2255.0 | 4012.0 | 14085.0 | 24665.0 | 34469.0 | 46064.0 |
| 2026-05-03 | 6856.0 | 1037.0 | 1422.0 | 2029.0 | 3630.0 | 12872.0 | 22630.0 | 31697.0 | 42443.0 |
| 2026-05-10 | 6053.0 | 895.0 | 1233.0 | 1769.0 | 3187.0 | 11420.0 | 20157.0 | 28297.0 | 37964.0 |
| 2026-05-17 | 4946.0 | 707.0 | 983.0 | 1422.0 | 2585.0 | 9383.0 | 16632.0 | 23403.0 | 31460.0 |
| 2026-05-24 | 3708.0 | 502.0 | 710.0 | 1040.0 | 1919.0 | 7083.0 | 12616.0 | 17798.0 | 23975.0 |
| 2026-05-31 | 2822.0 | 357.0 | 516.0 | 769.0 | 1443.0 | 5431.0 | 9723.0 | 13753.0 | 18565.0 |
| 2026-06-07 | 2259.0 | 266.0 | 393.0 | 597.0 | 1142.0 | 4381.0 | 7884.0 | 11181.0 | 15125.0 |
| 2026-06-14 | 1711.0 | 178.0 | 276.0 | 432.0 | 850.0 | 3353.0 | 6070.0 | 8633.0 | 11705.0 |
| 2026-06-21 | 1241.0 | 104.0 | 176.0 | 291.0 | 601.0 | 2464.0 | 4495.0 | 6416.0 | 8721.0 |
| 2026-06-28 | 950.0 | 57.0 | 114.0 | 204.0 | 446.0 | 1916.0 | 3529.0 | 5058.0 | 6897.0 |
| 2026-07-05 | 745.0 | 25.0 | 70.0 | 142.0 | 338.0 | 1530.0 | 2846.0 | 4097.0 | 5606.0 |
| 2026-07-12 | 582.0 | 1.0 | 36.0 | 94.0 | 252.0 | 1222.0 | 2299.0 | 3327.0 | 4568.0 |
| 2026-07-19 | 468.0 | 1.0 | 12.0 | 60.0 | 192.0 | 1007.0 | 1916.0 | 2786.0 | 3839.0 |
| 2026-07-26 | 384.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 36.0 | 148.0 | 847.0 | 1631.0 | 2384.0 | 3298.0 |
| 2026-08-02 | 343.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 23.0 | 125.0 | 769.0 | 1494.0 | 2192.0 | 3041.0 |
| 2026-08-09 | 311.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 13.0 | 108.0 | 709.0 | 1390.0 | 2047.0 | 2848.0 |
| 2026-08-16 | 293.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 99.0 | 678.0 | 1337.0 | 1975.0 | 2754.0 |
| 2026-08-23 | 281.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 92.0 | 657.0 | 1304.0 | 1932.0 | 2700.0 |
| 2026-08-30 | 251.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 76.0 | 600.0 | 1203.0 | 1789.0 | 2506.0 |
| 2026-09-06 | 259.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 80.0 | 618.0 | 1240.0 | 1847.0 | 2592.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 293.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 96.0 | 689.0 | 1376.0 | 2049.0 | 2875.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 286.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 92.0 | 678.0 | 1361.0 | 2030.0 | 2853.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 283.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 90.0 | 674.0 | 1357.0 | 2028.0 | 2856.0 |
| 2026-10-04 | 293.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 94.0 | 696.0 | 1404.0 | 2099.0 | 2959.0 |
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