Prediction 4648
| Model | UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Mato Grosso do Sul |
Description:
Forecast 2025-2026 for UF=MS (UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | 74.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 17.0 | 158.0 | 268.0 | 355.0 | 447.0 |
| 2025-10-12 | 86.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 24.0 | 178.0 | 300.0 | 397.0 | 500.0 |
| 2025-10-19 | 89.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 25.0 | 185.0 | 314.0 | 416.0 | 526.0 |
| 2025-10-26 | 99.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 31.0 | 203.0 | 342.0 | 454.0 | 574.0 |
| 2025-11-02 | 122.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 45.0 | 240.0 | 399.0 | 528.0 | 667.0 |
| 2025-11-09 | 135.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 53.0 | 263.0 | 437.0 | 578.0 | 730.0 |
| 2025-11-16 | 170.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 17.0 | 74.0 | 320.0 | 524.0 | 691.0 | 871.0 |
| 2025-11-23 | 171.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 16.0 | 74.0 | 324.0 | 534.0 | 706.0 | 893.0 |
| 2025-11-30 | 186.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 21.0 | 82.0 | 349.0 | 575.0 | 761.0 | 964.0 |
| 2025-12-07 | 194.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 23.0 | 86.0 | 364.0 | 601.0 | 797.0 | 1011.0 |
| 2025-12-14 | 159.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 63.0 | 312.0 | 525.0 | 702.0 | 895.0 |
| 2025-12-21 | 169.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 68.0 | 329.0 | 554.0 | 742.0 | 947.0 |
| 2026-01-04 | 304.0 | 2.0 | 27.0 | 64.0 | 152.0 | 547.0 | 891.0 | 1178.0 | 1494.0 |
| 2026-01-11 | 396.0 | 24.0 | 55.0 | 100.0 | 208.0 | 699.0 | 1128.0 | 1488.0 | 1884.0 |
| 2026-01-18 | 476.0 | 42.0 | 78.0 | 131.0 | 256.0 | 832.0 | 1338.0 | 1763.0 | 2233.0 |
| 2026-01-25 | 552.0 | 59.0 | 100.0 | 159.0 | 301.0 | 960.0 | 1541.0 | 2031.0 | 2574.0 |
| 2026-02-01 | 616.0 | 73.0 | 117.0 | 183.0 | 339.0 | 1068.0 | 1715.0 | 2262.0 | 2869.0 |
| 2026-02-08 | 655.0 | 80.0 | 127.0 | 196.0 | 361.0 | 1136.0 | 1826.0 | 2411.0 | 3062.0 |
| 2026-02-15 | 724.0 | 95.0 | 146.0 | 221.0 | 402.0 | 1254.0 | 2017.0 | 2666.0 | 3388.0 |
| 2026-02-22 | 732.0 | 95.0 | 146.0 | 222.0 | 405.0 | 1271.0 | 2050.0 | 2715.0 | 3455.0 |
| 2026-03-01 | 785.0 | 105.0 | 159.0 | 240.0 | 435.0 | 1363.0 | 2200.0 | 2916.0 | 3715.0 |
| 2026-03-08 | 828.0 | 113.0 | 170.0 | 255.0 | 460.0 | 1440.0 | 2328.0 | 3089.0 | 3939.0 |
| 2026-03-15 | 885.0 | 124.0 | 185.0 | 275.0 | 492.0 | 1539.0 | 2491.0 | 3309.0 | 4224.0 |
| 2026-03-22 | 926.0 | 132.0 | 195.0 | 288.0 | 515.0 | 1612.0 | 2613.0 | 3474.0 | 4440.0 |
| 2026-03-29 | 911.0 | 127.0 | 188.0 | 281.0 | 505.0 | 1592.0 | 2588.0 | 3446.0 | 4409.0 |
| 2026-04-05 | 899.0 | 122.0 | 183.0 | 274.0 | 496.0 | 1575.0 | 2568.0 | 3424.0 | 4387.0 |
| 2026-04-12 | 892.0 | 119.0 | 180.0 | 270.0 | 490.0 | 1567.0 | 2561.0 | 3420.0 | 4387.0 |
| 2026-04-19 | 824.0 | 103.0 | 159.0 | 243.0 | 448.0 | 1456.0 | 2389.0 | 3196.0 | 4106.0 |
| 2026-04-26 | 741.0 | 83.0 | 134.0 | 211.0 | 398.0 | 1319.0 | 2174.0 | 2916.0 | 3752.0 |
| 2026-05-03 | 686.0 | 70.0 | 118.0 | 189.0 | 364.0 | 1230.0 | 2035.0 | 2735.0 | 3525.0 |
| 2026-05-10 | 607.0 | 53.0 | 95.0 | 159.0 | 317.0 | 1100.0 | 1829.0 | 2464.0 | 3182.0 |
| 2026-05-17 | 497.0 | 28.0 | 64.0 | 118.0 | 251.0 | 914.0 | 1533.0 | 2073.0 | 2683.0 |
| 2026-05-24 | 386.0 | 4.0 | 33.0 | 77.0 | 186.0 | 728.0 | 1236.0 | 1679.0 | 2181.0 |
| 2026-05-31 | 315.0 | 1.0 | 13.0 | 51.0 | 144.0 | 608.0 | 1045.0 | 1426.0 | 1858.0 |
| 2026-06-07 | 251.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 27.0 | 106.0 | 500.0 | 871.0 | 1195.0 | 1563.0 |
| 2026-06-14 | 222.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 16.0 | 88.0 | 450.0 | 792.0 | 1092.0 | 1431.0 |
| 2026-06-21 | 190.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 69.0 | 396.0 | 705.0 | 976.0 | 1284.0 |
| 2026-06-28 | 163.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 53.0 | 352.0 | 636.0 | 885.0 | 1168.0 |
| 2026-07-05 | 136.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 37.0 | 306.0 | 562.0 | 787.0 | 1044.0 |
| 2026-07-12 | 115.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 24.0 | 271.0 | 506.0 | 713.0 | 949.0 |
| 2026-07-19 | 100.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 16.0 | 246.0 | 466.0 | 661.0 | 883.0 |
| 2026-07-26 | 89.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 228.0 | 439.0 | 624.0 | 837.0 |
| 2026-08-02 | 86.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 223.0 | 432.0 | 616.0 | 827.0 |
| 2026-08-09 | 73.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 201.0 | 395.0 | 568.0 | 765.0 |
| 2026-08-16 | 68.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 193.0 | 383.0 | 552.0 | 745.0 |
| 2026-08-23 | 60.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 180.0 | 363.0 | 525.0 | 712.0 |
| 2026-08-30 | 62.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 183.0 | 368.0 | 533.0 | 722.0 |
| 2026-09-06 | 50.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 163.0 | 336.0 | 490.0 | 667.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 60.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 180.0 | 365.0 | 530.0 | 719.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 59.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 179.0 | 363.0 | 528.0 | 717.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 61.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 183.0 | 371.0 | 539.0 | 732.0 |
| 2026-10-04 | 61.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 183.0 | 372.0 | 541.0 | 735.0 |
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