Prediction 4649
| Model | UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Mato Grosso |
Description:
Forecast 2025-2026 for UF=MT (UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | 125.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 28.0 | 67.0 | 202.0 | 295.0 | 364.0 | 433.0 |
| 2025-10-12 | 140.0 | 1.0 | 15.0 | 35.0 | 77.0 | 225.0 | 327.0 | 403.0 | 480.0 |
| 2025-10-19 | 143.0 | 1.0 | 15.0 | 35.0 | 79.0 | 231.0 | 337.0 | 416.0 | 496.0 |
| 2025-10-26 | 156.0 | 3.0 | 19.0 | 41.0 | 87.0 | 250.0 | 364.0 | 449.0 | 536.0 |
| 2025-11-02 | 191.0 | 16.0 | 34.0 | 59.0 | 112.0 | 300.0 | 433.0 | 533.0 | 635.0 |
| 2025-11-09 | 210.0 | 21.0 | 41.0 | 68.0 | 124.0 | 328.0 | 472.0 | 581.0 | 692.0 |
| 2025-11-16 | 259.0 | 39.0 | 62.0 | 93.0 | 159.0 | 397.0 | 568.0 | 696.0 | 827.0 |
| 2025-11-23 | 299.0 | 53.0 | 78.0 | 113.0 | 187.0 | 455.0 | 648.0 | 794.0 | 943.0 |
| 2025-11-30 | 346.0 | 69.0 | 97.0 | 136.0 | 219.0 | 523.0 | 742.0 | 908.0 | 1078.0 |
| 2025-12-07 | 347.0 | 67.0 | 96.0 | 135.0 | 219.0 | 527.0 | 750.0 | 920.0 | 1094.0 |
| 2025-12-14 | 290.0 | 45.0 | 70.0 | 104.0 | 177.0 | 448.0 | 646.0 | 796.0 | 951.0 |
| 2025-12-21 | 275.0 | 38.0 | 62.0 | 95.0 | 166.0 | 430.0 | 622.0 | 770.0 | 921.0 |
| 2026-01-04 | 579.0 | 147.0 | 191.0 | 251.0 | 380.0 | 861.0 | 1213.0 | 1483.0 | 1762.0 |
| 2026-01-11 | 694.0 | 187.0 | 238.0 | 308.0 | 460.0 | 1027.0 | 1445.0 | 1765.0 | 2097.0 |
| 2026-01-18 | 785.0 | 218.0 | 275.0 | 353.0 | 522.0 | 1160.0 | 1631.0 | 1993.0 | 2368.0 |
| 2026-01-25 | 852.0 | 239.0 | 300.0 | 385.0 | 567.0 | 1257.0 | 1769.0 | 2163.0 | 2571.0 |
| 2026-02-01 | 915.0 | 259.0 | 324.0 | 414.0 | 610.0 | 1351.0 | 1901.0 | 2326.0 | 2768.0 |
| 2026-02-08 | 931.0 | 262.0 | 329.0 | 420.0 | 619.0 | 1377.0 | 1942.0 | 2378.0 | 2832.0 |
| 2026-02-15 | 951.0 | 267.0 | 335.0 | 428.0 | 632.0 | 1409.0 | 1990.0 | 2440.0 | 2908.0 |
| 2026-02-22 | 903.0 | 248.0 | 313.0 | 402.0 | 597.0 | 1343.0 | 1902.0 | 2336.0 | 2787.0 |
| 2026-03-01 | 880.0 | 239.0 | 302.0 | 389.0 | 580.0 | 1313.0 | 1864.0 | 2291.0 | 2737.0 |
| 2026-03-08 | 856.0 | 228.0 | 290.0 | 375.0 | 562.0 | 1280.0 | 1822.0 | 2242.0 | 2681.0 |
| 2026-03-15 | 874.0 | 233.0 | 296.0 | 383.0 | 574.0 | 1310.0 | 1865.0 | 2298.0 | 2749.0 |
| 2026-03-22 | 859.0 | 226.0 | 288.0 | 374.0 | 562.0 | 1289.0 | 1840.0 | 2269.0 | 2717.0 |
| 2026-03-29 | 796.0 | 204.0 | 262.0 | 342.0 | 518.0 | 1201.0 | 1719.0 | 2123.0 | 2545.0 |
| 2026-04-05 | 813.0 | 208.0 | 267.0 | 349.0 | 528.0 | 1227.0 | 1758.0 | 2173.0 | 2606.0 |
| 2026-04-12 | 825.0 | 211.0 | 270.0 | 353.0 | 536.0 | 1246.0 | 1787.0 | 2209.0 | 2652.0 |
| 2026-04-19 | 765.0 | 190.0 | 246.0 | 323.0 | 494.0 | 1161.0 | 1670.0 | 2067.0 | 2484.0 |
| 2026-04-26 | 746.0 | 182.0 | 237.0 | 313.0 | 480.0 | 1135.0 | 1635.0 | 2027.0 | 2437.0 |
| 2026-05-03 | 740.0 | 179.0 | 233.0 | 309.0 | 475.0 | 1127.0 | 1626.0 | 2016.0 | 2426.0 |
| 2026-05-10 | 740.0 | 178.0 | 233.0 | 308.0 | 474.0 | 1128.0 | 1629.0 | 2022.0 | 2434.0 |
| 2026-05-17 | 679.0 | 157.0 | 207.0 | 278.0 | 432.0 | 1040.0 | 1506.0 | 1872.0 | 2257.0 |
| 2026-05-24 | 594.0 | 128.0 | 173.0 | 236.0 | 373.0 | 916.0 | 1333.0 | 1661.0 | 2005.0 |
| 2026-05-31 | 483.0 | 92.0 | 129.0 | 182.0 | 298.0 | 755.0 | 1108.0 | 1384.0 | 1675.0 |
| 2026-06-07 | 443.0 | 78.0 | 113.0 | 162.0 | 270.0 | 697.0 | 1026.0 | 1284.0 | 1556.0 |
| 2026-06-14 | 375.0 | 55.0 | 86.0 | 129.0 | 224.0 | 598.0 | 888.0 | 1115.0 | 1354.0 |
| 2026-06-21 | 327.0 | 39.0 | 67.0 | 105.0 | 191.0 | 528.0 | 789.0 | 995.0 | 1211.0 |
| 2026-06-28 | 280.0 | 23.0 | 48.0 | 82.0 | 158.0 | 460.0 | 694.0 | 879.0 | 1073.0 |
| 2026-07-05 | 252.0 | 13.0 | 36.0 | 68.0 | 138.0 | 419.0 | 637.0 | 809.0 | 990.0 |
| 2026-07-12 | 217.0 | 2.0 | 22.0 | 51.0 | 114.0 | 368.0 | 566.0 | 722.0 | 887.0 |
| 2026-07-19 | 183.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 34.0 | 91.0 | 318.0 | 496.0 | 636.0 | 784.0 |
| 2026-07-26 | 172.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 28.0 | 83.0 | 303.0 | 474.0 | 610.0 | 753.0 |
| 2026-08-02 | 165.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 25.0 | 78.0 | 293.0 | 461.0 | 594.0 | 735.0 |
| 2026-08-09 | 146.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 16.0 | 66.0 | 266.0 | 423.0 | 548.0 | 680.0 |
| 2026-08-16 | 139.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 12.0 | 61.0 | 257.0 | 410.0 | 532.0 | 661.0 |
| 2026-08-23 | 125.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 51.0 | 235.0 | 380.0 | 495.0 | 617.0 |
| 2026-08-30 | 106.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 38.0 | 207.0 | 340.0 | 446.0 | 558.0 |
| 2026-09-06 | 108.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 39.0 | 210.0 | 345.0 | 453.0 | 567.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 107.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 38.0 | 209.0 | 344.0 | 452.0 | 566.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 103.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 36.0 | 205.0 | 338.0 | 444.0 | 557.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 93.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 29.0 | 189.0 | 316.0 | 417.0 | 524.0 |
| 2026-10-04 | 97.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 31.0 | 195.0 | 325.0 | 429.0 | 539.0 |
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