Prediction 4651
| Model | UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Paraíba |
Description:
Forecast 2025-2026 for UF=PB (UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | 29.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 72.0 | 122.0 | 158.0 | 195.0 |
| 2025-10-12 | 24.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 65.0 | 114.0 | 151.0 | 187.0 |
| 2025-10-19 | 19.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 59.0 | 108.0 | 144.0 | 180.0 |
| 2025-10-26 | 18.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 60.0 | 109.0 | 146.0 | 183.0 |
| 2025-11-02 | 18.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 60.0 | 111.0 | 148.0 | 186.0 |
| 2025-11-09 | 19.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 61.0 | 113.0 | 151.0 | 190.0 |
| 2025-11-16 | 18.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 62.0 | 114.0 | 153.0 | 192.0 |
| 2025-11-23 | 22.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 67.0 | 121.0 | 162.0 | 204.0 |
| 2025-11-30 | 31.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 80.0 | 140.0 | 185.0 | 231.0 |
| 2025-12-07 | 27.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 75.0 | 134.0 | 178.0 | 223.0 |
| 2025-12-14 | 21.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 68.0 | 125.0 | 167.0 | 211.0 |
| 2025-12-21 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 55.0 | 107.0 | 147.0 | 188.0 |
| 2026-01-04 | 28.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 78.0 | 140.0 | 187.0 | 234.0 |
| 2026-01-11 | 35.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 88.0 | 154.0 | 203.0 | 254.0 |
| 2026-01-18 | 45.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 102.0 | 173.0 | 227.0 | 282.0 |
| 2026-01-25 | 60.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 14.0 | 123.0 | 202.0 | 262.0 | 324.0 |
| 2026-02-01 | 76.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 25.0 | 147.0 | 234.0 | 301.0 | 369.0 |
| 2026-02-08 | 88.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 34.0 | 165.0 | 260.0 | 332.0 | 406.0 |
| 2026-02-15 | 114.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 12.0 | 52.0 | 201.0 | 309.0 | 392.0 | 477.0 |
| 2026-02-22 | 136.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 23.0 | 68.0 | 233.0 | 354.0 | 446.0 | 541.0 |
| 2026-03-01 | 156.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 33.0 | 81.0 | 261.0 | 393.0 | 493.0 | 597.0 |
| 2026-03-08 | 176.0 | 1.0 | 19.0 | 43.0 | 95.0 | 290.0 | 432.0 | 542.0 | 654.0 |
| 2026-03-15 | 207.0 | 12.0 | 32.0 | 59.0 | 117.0 | 335.0 | 495.0 | 618.0 | 745.0 |
| 2026-03-22 | 212.0 | 13.0 | 33.0 | 61.0 | 120.0 | 343.0 | 506.0 | 632.0 | 761.0 |
| 2026-03-29 | 212.0 | 13.0 | 33.0 | 60.0 | 120.0 | 343.0 | 507.0 | 633.0 | 763.0 |
| 2026-04-05 | 245.0 | 24.0 | 46.0 | 77.0 | 143.0 | 390.0 | 573.0 | 713.0 | 858.0 |
| 2026-04-12 | 269.0 | 32.0 | 56.0 | 89.0 | 159.0 | 425.0 | 621.0 | 772.0 | 928.0 |
| 2026-04-19 | 284.0 | 37.0 | 62.0 | 96.0 | 169.0 | 446.0 | 651.0 | 808.0 | 972.0 |
| 2026-04-26 | 287.0 | 38.0 | 63.0 | 97.0 | 171.0 | 452.0 | 659.0 | 818.0 | 984.0 |
| 2026-05-03 | 304.0 | 44.0 | 70.0 | 106.0 | 183.0 | 477.0 | 694.0 | 861.0 | 1035.0 |
| 2026-05-10 | 322.0 | 50.0 | 77.0 | 114.0 | 195.0 | 502.0 | 730.0 | 905.0 | 1087.0 |
| 2026-05-17 | 329.0 | 52.0 | 79.0 | 118.0 | 200.0 | 513.0 | 745.0 | 924.0 | 1110.0 |
| 2026-05-24 | 297.0 | 40.0 | 66.0 | 101.0 | 178.0 | 468.0 | 683.0 | 850.0 | 1023.0 |
| 2026-05-31 | 285.0 | 36.0 | 61.0 | 95.0 | 169.0 | 451.0 | 661.0 | 824.0 | 992.0 |
| 2026-06-07 | 269.0 | 30.0 | 53.0 | 86.0 | 157.0 | 428.0 | 629.0 | 785.0 | 947.0 |
| 2026-06-14 | 239.0 | 19.0 | 41.0 | 71.0 | 137.0 | 386.0 | 572.0 | 716.0 | 865.0 |
| 2026-06-21 | 211.0 | 9.0 | 29.0 | 57.0 | 117.0 | 347.0 | 518.0 | 650.0 | 788.0 |
| 2026-06-28 | 200.0 | 5.0 | 24.0 | 51.0 | 109.0 | 331.0 | 497.0 | 625.0 | 758.0 |
| 2026-07-05 | 200.0 | 5.0 | 24.0 | 50.0 | 109.0 | 330.0 | 496.0 | 625.0 | 759.0 |
| 2026-07-12 | 226.0 | 13.0 | 34.0 | 63.0 | 127.0 | 369.0 | 550.0 | 691.0 | 837.0 |
| 2026-07-19 | 213.0 | 9.0 | 29.0 | 57.0 | 117.0 | 350.0 | 524.0 | 660.0 | 801.0 |
| 2026-07-26 | 189.0 | 1.0 | 19.0 | 44.0 | 100.0 | 316.0 | 478.0 | 603.0 | 734.0 |
| 2026-08-02 | 174.0 | 1.0 | 12.0 | 37.0 | 90.0 | 294.0 | 448.0 | 567.0 | 691.0 |
| 2026-08-09 | 157.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 28.0 | 78.0 | 270.0 | 415.0 | 527.0 | 644.0 |
| 2026-08-16 | 151.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 25.0 | 74.0 | 263.0 | 405.0 | 515.0 | 630.0 |
| 2026-08-23 | 121.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 53.0 | 220.0 | 345.0 | 442.0 | 544.0 |
| 2026-08-30 | 119.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 52.0 | 217.0 | 341.0 | 438.0 | 539.0 |
| 2026-09-06 | 103.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 41.0 | 194.0 | 310.0 | 400.0 | 494.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 89.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 31.0 | 173.0 | 281.0 | 365.0 | 452.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 81.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 25.0 | 162.0 | 266.0 | 347.0 | 431.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 69.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 17.0 | 145.0 | 242.0 | 317.0 | 396.0 |
| 2026-10-04 | 70.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 18.0 | 147.0 | 244.0 | 320.0 | 400.0 |
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