Prediction 4652
| Model | UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Pernambuco |
Description:
Forecast 2025-2026 for UF=PE (UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | 222.0 | 17.0 | 38.0 | 66.0 | 127.0 | 355.0 | 523.0 | 651.0 | 783.0 |
| 2025-10-12 | 228.0 | 17.0 | 38.0 | 67.0 | 130.0 | 368.0 | 544.0 | 680.0 | 820.0 |
| 2025-10-19 | 230.0 | 15.0 | 37.0 | 66.0 | 130.0 | 374.0 | 557.0 | 699.0 | 846.0 |
| 2025-10-26 | 227.0 | 12.0 | 33.0 | 62.0 | 126.0 | 373.0 | 559.0 | 703.0 | 854.0 |
| 2025-11-02 | 249.0 | 17.0 | 40.0 | 71.0 | 140.0 | 408.0 | 611.0 | 771.0 | 937.0 |
| 2025-11-09 | 233.0 | 10.0 | 32.0 | 61.0 | 128.0 | 387.0 | 587.0 | 743.0 | 907.0 |
| 2025-11-16 | 236.0 | 9.0 | 31.0 | 61.0 | 128.0 | 394.0 | 600.0 | 762.0 | 932.0 |
| 2025-11-23 | 239.0 | 9.0 | 31.0 | 61.0 | 129.0 | 402.0 | 615.0 | 782.0 | 960.0 |
| 2025-11-30 | 241.0 | 8.0 | 30.0 | 60.0 | 129.0 | 407.0 | 624.0 | 797.0 | 979.0 |
| 2025-12-07 | 247.0 | 8.0 | 30.0 | 62.0 | 132.0 | 418.0 | 644.0 | 823.0 | 1014.0 |
| 2025-12-14 | 206.0 | 1.0 | 14.0 | 42.0 | 104.0 | 360.0 | 563.0 | 725.0 | 897.0 |
| 2025-12-21 | 156.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 18.0 | 70.0 | 286.0 | 459.0 | 597.0 | 744.0 |
| 2026-01-04 | 224.0 | 1.0 | 18.0 | 48.0 | 114.0 | 391.0 | 613.0 | 791.0 | 981.0 |
| 2026-01-11 | 242.0 | 2.0 | 23.0 | 55.0 | 125.0 | 419.0 | 657.0 | 848.0 | 1052.0 |
| 2026-01-18 | 255.0 | 4.0 | 27.0 | 59.0 | 133.0 | 441.0 | 691.0 | 892.0 | 1108.0 |
| 2026-01-25 | 279.0 | 10.0 | 34.0 | 69.0 | 147.0 | 479.0 | 749.0 | 968.0 | 1202.0 |
| 2026-02-01 | 344.0 | 28.0 | 56.0 | 97.0 | 189.0 | 581.0 | 902.0 | 1162.0 | 1442.0 |
| 2026-02-08 | 387.0 | 39.0 | 70.0 | 115.0 | 216.0 | 650.0 | 1006.0 | 1296.0 | 1608.0 |
| 2026-02-15 | 442.0 | 53.0 | 88.0 | 137.0 | 251.0 | 737.0 | 1137.0 | 1463.0 | 1815.0 |
| 2026-02-22 | 482.0 | 63.0 | 100.0 | 154.0 | 276.0 | 802.0 | 1237.0 | 1592.0 | 1976.0 |
| 2026-03-01 | 523.0 | 73.0 | 113.0 | 170.0 | 301.0 | 867.0 | 1338.0 | 1723.0 | 2139.0 |
| 2026-03-08 | 601.0 | 94.0 | 138.0 | 202.0 | 350.0 | 991.0 | 1526.0 | 1963.0 | 2438.0 |
| 2026-03-15 | 655.0 | 107.0 | 155.0 | 224.0 | 384.0 | 1079.0 | 1660.0 | 2138.0 | 2655.0 |
| 2026-03-22 | 699.0 | 117.0 | 168.0 | 241.0 | 410.0 | 1150.0 | 1770.0 | 2280.0 | 2834.0 |
| 2026-03-29 | 673.0 | 109.0 | 158.0 | 229.0 | 393.0 | 1112.0 | 1717.0 | 2215.0 | 2756.0 |
| 2026-04-05 | 763.0 | 132.0 | 187.0 | 266.0 | 449.0 | 1257.0 | 1939.0 | 2501.0 | 3113.0 |
| 2026-04-12 | 754.0 | 128.0 | 182.0 | 260.0 | 442.0 | 1245.0 | 1924.0 | 2485.0 | 3096.0 |
| 2026-04-19 | 817.0 | 144.0 | 201.0 | 285.0 | 481.0 | 1347.0 | 2081.0 | 2689.0 | 3352.0 |
| 2026-04-26 | 773.0 | 131.0 | 186.0 | 265.0 | 452.0 | 1280.0 | 1984.0 | 2567.0 | 3203.0 |
| 2026-05-03 | 797.0 | 136.0 | 192.0 | 274.0 | 466.0 | 1320.0 | 2049.0 | 2653.0 | 3312.0 |
| 2026-05-10 | 804.0 | 136.0 | 193.0 | 276.0 | 470.0 | 1334.0 | 2072.0 | 2686.0 | 3356.0 |
| 2026-05-17 | 776.0 | 128.0 | 183.0 | 263.0 | 451.0 | 1292.0 | 2011.0 | 2610.0 | 3265.0 |
| 2026-05-24 | 701.0 | 108.0 | 158.0 | 231.0 | 403.0 | 1175.0 | 1838.0 | 2389.0 | 2993.0 |
| 2026-05-31 | 665.0 | 97.0 | 145.0 | 216.0 | 380.0 | 1120.0 | 1757.0 | 2287.0 | 2868.0 |
| 2026-06-07 | 639.0 | 90.0 | 136.0 | 204.0 | 363.0 | 1079.0 | 1697.0 | 2211.0 | 2776.0 |
| 2026-06-14 | 579.0 | 74.0 | 116.0 | 178.0 | 325.0 | 985.0 | 1555.0 | 2031.0 | 2554.0 |
| 2026-06-21 | 496.0 | 52.0 | 89.0 | 144.0 | 273.0 | 855.0 | 1358.0 | 1778.0 | 2240.0 |
| 2026-06-28 | 454.0 | 41.0 | 75.0 | 126.0 | 246.0 | 789.0 | 1260.0 | 1654.0 | 2088.0 |
| 2026-07-05 | 437.0 | 35.0 | 69.0 | 118.0 | 234.0 | 762.0 | 1222.0 | 1606.0 | 2029.0 |
| 2026-07-12 | 382.0 | 21.0 | 51.0 | 95.0 | 199.0 | 676.0 | 1090.0 | 1438.0 | 1821.0 |
| 2026-07-19 | 359.0 | 15.0 | 43.0 | 85.0 | 185.0 | 640.0 | 1037.0 | 1370.0 | 1738.0 |
| 2026-07-26 | 304.0 | 1.0 | 26.0 | 63.0 | 150.0 | 552.0 | 904.0 | 1200.0 | 1526.0 |
| 2026-08-02 | 303.0 | 1.0 | 25.0 | 62.0 | 149.0 | 552.0 | 905.0 | 1202.0 | 1530.0 |
| 2026-08-09 | 299.0 | 1.0 | 23.0 | 60.0 | 147.0 | 547.0 | 898.0 | 1194.0 | 1521.0 |
| 2026-08-16 | 268.0 | 1.0 | 13.0 | 47.0 | 127.0 | 497.0 | 823.0 | 1097.0 | 1401.0 |
| 2026-08-23 | 262.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 44.0 | 123.0 | 488.0 | 810.0 | 1082.0 | 1382.0 |
| 2026-08-30 | 238.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 34.0 | 108.0 | 450.0 | 752.0 | 1007.0 | 1289.0 |
| 2026-09-06 | 242.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 35.0 | 110.0 | 456.0 | 762.0 | 1021.0 | 1307.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 235.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 32.0 | 105.0 | 446.0 | 747.0 | 1001.0 | 1284.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 222.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 27.0 | 97.0 | 425.0 | 715.0 | 961.0 | 1234.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 226.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 28.0 | 100.0 | 432.0 | 727.0 | 978.0 | 1255.0 |
| 2026-10-04 | 223.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 27.0 | 98.0 | 428.0 | 722.0 | 971.0 | 1247.0 |
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