Prediction 4653
| Model | UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Piauí |
Description:
Forecast 2025-2026 for UF=PI (UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | 45.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 13.0 | 85.0 | 132.0 | 165.0 | 198.0 |
| 2025-10-12 | 45.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 12.0 | 87.0 | 134.0 | 169.0 | 202.0 |
| 2025-10-19 | 42.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 83.0 | 131.0 | 165.0 | 199.0 |
| 2025-10-26 | 42.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 84.0 | 133.0 | 168.0 | 202.0 |
| 2025-11-02 | 47.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 13.0 | 91.0 | 142.0 | 179.0 | 215.0 |
| 2025-11-09 | 50.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 15.0 | 95.0 | 148.0 | 186.0 | 223.0 |
| 2025-11-16 | 49.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 14.0 | 95.0 | 149.0 | 187.0 | 225.0 |
| 2025-11-23 | 51.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 15.0 | 98.0 | 152.0 | 192.0 | 231.0 |
| 2025-11-30 | 49.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 14.0 | 96.0 | 151.0 | 190.0 | 229.0 |
| 2025-12-07 | 50.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 14.0 | 97.0 | 152.0 | 192.0 | 232.0 |
| 2025-12-14 | 43.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 88.0 | 141.0 | 180.0 | 218.0 |
| 2025-12-21 | 40.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 85.0 | 137.0 | 176.0 | 214.0 |
| 2026-01-04 | 75.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 33.0 | 132.0 | 198.0 | 246.0 | 294.0 |
| 2026-01-11 | 91.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 12.0 | 44.0 | 152.0 | 225.0 | 278.0 | 330.0 |
| 2026-01-18 | 98.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 16.0 | 50.0 | 163.0 | 238.0 | 294.0 | 349.0 |
| 2026-01-25 | 110.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 23.0 | 58.0 | 178.0 | 259.0 | 318.0 | 377.0 |
| 2026-02-01 | 135.0 | 3.0 | 17.0 | 37.0 | 77.0 | 211.0 | 302.0 | 368.0 | 435.0 |
| 2026-02-08 | 152.0 | 10.0 | 26.0 | 47.0 | 90.0 | 235.0 | 333.0 | 405.0 | 477.0 |
| 2026-02-15 | 172.0 | 18.0 | 35.0 | 58.0 | 104.0 | 261.0 | 367.0 | 445.0 | 523.0 |
| 2026-02-22 | 192.0 | 27.0 | 45.0 | 70.0 | 119.0 | 289.0 | 403.0 | 487.0 | 571.0 |
| 2026-03-01 | 218.0 | 38.0 | 58.0 | 84.0 | 139.0 | 324.0 | 449.0 | 541.0 | 633.0 |
| 2026-03-08 | 256.0 | 54.0 | 76.0 | 106.0 | 167.0 | 375.0 | 515.0 | 618.0 | 721.0 |
| 2026-03-15 | 299.0 | 73.0 | 98.0 | 131.0 | 199.0 | 433.0 | 591.0 | 707.0 | 823.0 |
| 2026-03-22 | 328.0 | 85.0 | 111.0 | 147.0 | 220.0 | 471.0 | 641.0 | 766.0 | 891.0 |
| 2026-03-29 | 329.0 | 85.0 | 112.0 | 147.0 | 221.0 | 473.0 | 644.0 | 769.0 | 895.0 |
| 2026-04-05 | 375.0 | 105.0 | 134.0 | 174.0 | 256.0 | 535.0 | 725.0 | 865.0 | 1005.0 |
| 2026-04-12 | 405.0 | 117.0 | 149.0 | 191.0 | 278.0 | 575.0 | 777.0 | 926.0 | 1075.0 |
| 2026-04-19 | 419.0 | 123.0 | 155.0 | 199.0 | 288.0 | 595.0 | 803.0 | 956.0 | 1110.0 |
| 2026-04-26 | 423.0 | 124.0 | 157.0 | 200.0 | 290.0 | 599.0 | 809.0 | 964.0 | 1119.0 |
| 2026-05-03 | 418.0 | 122.0 | 154.0 | 198.0 | 287.0 | 594.0 | 802.0 | 956.0 | 1110.0 |
| 2026-05-10 | 443.0 | 132.0 | 166.0 | 212.0 | 305.0 | 627.0 | 846.0 | 1007.0 | 1169.0 |
| 2026-05-17 | 435.0 | 129.0 | 162.0 | 207.0 | 300.0 | 617.0 | 834.0 | 993.0 | 1153.0 |
| 2026-05-24 | 372.0 | 101.0 | 131.0 | 170.0 | 252.0 | 532.0 | 723.0 | 863.0 | 1004.0 |
| 2026-05-31 | 343.0 | 89.0 | 117.0 | 154.0 | 230.0 | 493.0 | 673.0 | 805.0 | 938.0 |
| 2026-06-07 | 306.0 | 73.0 | 99.0 | 133.0 | 203.0 | 445.0 | 609.0 | 731.0 | 853.0 |
| 2026-06-14 | 269.0 | 57.0 | 80.0 | 111.0 | 175.0 | 395.0 | 545.0 | 656.0 | 767.0 |
| 2026-06-21 | 232.0 | 41.0 | 62.0 | 90.0 | 148.0 | 346.0 | 481.0 | 581.0 | 681.0 |
| 2026-06-28 | 191.0 | 24.0 | 42.0 | 66.0 | 117.0 | 291.0 | 409.0 | 497.0 | 585.0 |
| 2026-07-05 | 170.0 | 15.0 | 31.0 | 54.0 | 101.0 | 262.0 | 372.0 | 453.0 | 535.0 |
| 2026-07-12 | 136.0 | 1.0 | 15.0 | 35.0 | 75.0 | 217.0 | 313.0 | 384.0 | 456.0 |
| 2026-07-19 | 118.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 25.0 | 62.0 | 193.0 | 283.0 | 349.0 | 415.0 |
| 2026-07-26 | 102.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 15.0 | 50.0 | 172.0 | 255.0 | 316.0 | 378.0 |
| 2026-08-02 | 92.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 43.0 | 158.0 | 237.0 | 295.0 | 354.0 |
| 2026-08-09 | 82.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 35.0 | 145.0 | 220.0 | 275.0 | 330.0 |
| 2026-08-16 | 67.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 24.0 | 124.0 | 193.0 | 244.0 | 295.0 |
| 2026-08-23 | 65.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 23.0 | 122.0 | 191.0 | 241.0 | 292.0 |
| 2026-08-30 | 56.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 16.0 | 110.0 | 175.0 | 222.0 | 270.0 |
| 2026-09-06 | 52.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 13.0 | 104.0 | 167.0 | 213.0 | 260.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 45.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 95.0 | 155.0 | 199.0 | 244.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 42.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 91.0 | 150.0 | 194.0 | 237.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 37.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 84.0 | 140.0 | 182.0 | 224.0 |
| 2026-10-04 | 38.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 86.0 | 143.0 | 185.0 | 228.0 |
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