Prediction 4654
| Model | UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Paraná |
Description:
Forecast 2025-2026 for UF=PR (UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | 173.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 13.0 | 71.0 | 334.0 | 560.0 | 748.0 | 954.0 |
| 2025-10-12 | 188.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 16.0 | 79.0 | 364.0 | 613.0 | 822.0 | 1052.0 |
| 2025-10-19 | 199.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 18.0 | 83.0 | 387.0 | 656.0 | 884.0 | 1137.0 |
| 2025-10-26 | 218.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 23.0 | 93.0 | 424.0 | 721.0 | 975.0 | 1257.0 |
| 2025-11-02 | 248.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 32.0 | 109.0 | 479.0 | 816.0 | 1106.0 | 1431.0 |
| 2025-11-09 | 265.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 36.0 | 117.0 | 514.0 | 880.0 | 1197.0 | 1554.0 |
| 2025-11-16 | 328.0 | 1.0 | 18.0 | 57.0 | 152.0 | 628.0 | 1072.0 | 1459.0 | 1897.0 |
| 2025-11-23 | 349.0 | 1.0 | 21.0 | 61.0 | 162.0 | 669.0 | 1150.0 | 1571.0 | 2049.0 |
| 2025-11-30 | 393.0 | 1.0 | 30.0 | 74.0 | 185.0 | 753.0 | 1296.0 | 1775.0 | 2322.0 |
| 2025-12-07 | 460.0 | 11.0 | 44.0 | 95.0 | 221.0 | 877.0 | 1512.0 | 2075.0 | 2720.0 |
| 2025-12-14 | 445.0 | 6.0 | 38.0 | 86.0 | 210.0 | 858.0 | 1492.0 | 2057.0 | 2708.0 |
| 2025-12-21 | 414.0 | 1.0 | 27.0 | 73.0 | 190.0 | 811.0 | 1425.0 | 1976.0 | 2612.0 |
| 2026-01-04 | 544.0 | 19.0 | 57.0 | 114.0 | 261.0 | 1050.0 | 1838.0 | 2549.0 | 3373.0 |
| 2026-01-11 | 669.0 | 40.0 | 84.0 | 152.0 | 327.0 | 1283.0 | 2245.0 | 3117.0 | 4133.0 |
| 2026-01-18 | 842.0 | 68.0 | 121.0 | 205.0 | 420.0 | 1606.0 | 2812.0 | 3911.0 | 5194.0 |
| 2026-01-25 | 978.0 | 88.0 | 149.0 | 244.0 | 491.0 | 1865.0 | 3276.0 | 4566.0 | 6079.0 |
| 2026-02-01 | 1201.0 | 123.0 | 196.0 | 310.0 | 609.0 | 2288.0 | 4026.0 | 5624.0 | 7503.0 |
| 2026-02-08 | 1412.0 | 154.0 | 238.0 | 371.0 | 718.0 | 2693.0 | 4753.0 | 6655.0 | 8899.0 |
| 2026-02-15 | 1768.0 | 208.0 | 312.0 | 475.0 | 905.0 | 3372.0 | 5967.0 | 8373.0 | 11220.0 |
| 2026-02-22 | 2063.0 | 251.0 | 370.0 | 558.0 | 1057.0 | 3946.0 | 7007.0 | 9857.0 | 13240.0 |
| 2026-03-01 | 2438.0 | 305.0 | 444.0 | 664.0 | 1249.0 | 4674.0 | 8330.0 | 11748.0 | 15816.0 |
| 2026-03-08 | 2830.0 | 360.0 | 519.0 | 773.0 | 1449.0 | 5442.0 | 9736.0 | 13765.0 | 18575.0 |
| 2026-03-15 | 3255.0 | 418.0 | 600.0 | 889.0 | 1664.0 | 6280.0 | 11277.0 | 15984.0 | 21618.0 |
| 2026-03-22 | 3628.0 | 467.0 | 668.0 | 988.0 | 1850.0 | 7026.0 | 12668.0 | 18002.0 | 24402.0 |
| 2026-03-29 | 3632.0 | 459.0 | 659.0 | 979.0 | 1842.0 | 7071.0 | 12807.0 | 18248.0 | 24794.0 |
| 2026-04-05 | 3791.0 | 475.0 | 682.0 | 1015.0 | 1915.0 | 7414.0 | 13485.0 | 19263.0 | 26231.0 |
| 2026-04-12 | 3784.0 | 466.0 | 672.0 | 1003.0 | 1902.0 | 7436.0 | 13582.0 | 19452.0 | 26547.0 |
| 2026-04-19 | 3436.0 | 409.0 | 595.0 | 895.0 | 1714.0 | 6793.0 | 12467.0 | 17903.0 | 24489.0 |
| 2026-04-26 | 3100.0 | 354.0 | 522.0 | 793.0 | 1535.0 | 6166.0 | 11370.0 | 16371.0 | 22443.0 |
| 2026-05-03 | 2713.0 | 294.0 | 441.0 | 678.0 | 1331.0 | 5431.0 | 10065.0 | 14531.0 | 19966.0 |
| 2026-05-10 | 2389.0 | 245.0 | 374.0 | 583.0 | 1161.0 | 4815.0 | 8967.0 | 12980.0 | 17874.0 |
| 2026-05-17 | 1936.0 | 179.0 | 284.0 | 455.0 | 927.0 | 3937.0 | 7375.0 | 10708.0 | 14780.0 |
| 2026-05-24 | 1461.0 | 111.0 | 191.0 | 322.0 | 684.0 | 3007.0 | 5673.0 | 8265.0 | 11438.0 |
| 2026-05-31 | 1042.0 | 53.0 | 111.0 | 206.0 | 471.0 | 2181.0 | 4154.0 | 6076.0 | 8435.0 |
| 2026-06-07 | 719.0 | 8.0 | 50.0 | 118.0 | 308.0 | 1542.0 | 2973.0 | 4370.0 | 6088.0 |
| 2026-06-14 | 600.0 | 1.0 | 27.0 | 85.0 | 248.0 | 1310.0 | 2546.0 | 3758.0 | 5249.0 |
| 2026-06-21 | 448.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 44.0 | 171.0 | 1007.0 | 1985.0 | 2945.0 | 4129.0 |
| 2026-06-28 | 369.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 22.0 | 131.0 | 852.0 | 1701.0 | 2537.0 | 3571.0 |
| 2026-07-05 | 290.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 91.0 | 695.0 | 1411.0 | 2119.0 | 2997.0 |
| 2026-07-12 | 236.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 64.0 | 588.0 | 1214.0 | 1835.0 | 2607.0 |
| 2026-07-19 | 196.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 44.0 | 511.0 | 1072.0 | 1630.0 | 2326.0 |
| 2026-07-26 | 182.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 36.0 | 484.0 | 1026.0 | 1566.0 | 2242.0 |
| 2026-08-02 | 161.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 25.0 | 443.0 | 951.0 | 1460.0 | 2097.0 |
| 2026-08-09 | 142.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 16.0 | 407.0 | 884.0 | 1364.0 | 1966.0 |
| 2026-08-16 | 129.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 382.0 | 839.0 | 1300.0 | 1880.0 |
| 2026-08-23 | 131.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 386.0 | 852.0 | 1323.0 | 1916.0 |
| 2026-08-30 | 120.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 365.0 | 813.0 | 1268.0 | 1842.0 |
| 2026-09-06 | 120.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 368.0 | 822.0 | 1284.0 | 1869.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 129.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 390.0 | 869.0 | 1357.0 | 1976.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 129.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 390.0 | 873.0 | 1366.0 | 1993.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 132.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 399.0 | 893.0 | 1401.0 | 2046.0 |
| 2026-10-04 | 135.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 408.0 | 915.0 | 1436.0 | 2101.0 |
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